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freddymo 12-02-2009 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Just so words aren't put in my mouth, I'll give you my recap of the race: Rachel set a rapid (not suicidal, as has been described) pace. Calvin chose to put her on the pace and out in the 2-3 path rather than taking back and getting boxed (as many people before the race thought Past the Point was likely to be a "dead send" from the outside post, as he was in last year's Woodward, and if Borel rated, Rachel could end up a marked horse like Ginger Punch was in the 2008 Go For Wand). She faced steady pressure to her inside from a weak race horse in Da' Tara for about five furlongs. When Da' Tara gave way, Rachel was hounded by Past the Point, but hard, head-to-head pressure from that rival never materialized. She shook loose on the turn and held off a determined challenge from an in-form closer in Macho Again (no world beater, but a legitimate Grade II type) under steady pressure in a very gutsy effort.

She was clearly the best horse in the Woodward, as she was in all her races this year and is a future Hall of Famer, but the attempts by some to elevate the Woodward performance to some kind of other-worldly performance, IMO, are wrong. Efforts of that caliber in this race belong to horses such as Holy Bull, Formal Gold and Ghostzapper. When trying to compare great performances in an historic race, I don't think "for a filly" is the standard. (And just so no one thinks I'm Rachel-bashing, while Zenyatta's win in the Classic was an outstanding performance by a terrific mare, it pales in comparison to the Breeders' Cup Classic performances of horses like Ghostzapper, Ferdinand, Sunday Silence, Awesome Again and the 3YO Tiznow.)


Agree with most of these thoughts.. 1 question name any horse that ran this year that could have successfully navigated the Wood described above? Name the horse that was capable of running the Preakness or Haskel she ran? IMO there isn't a horse that could have accomplished what she did. Zenyatta's race is always going to difficult to judge because it was on rubber.

Travis Stone 12-02-2009 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Just so words aren't put in my mouth, I'll give you my recap of the race: Rachel set a rapid (not suicidal, as has been described) pace. Calvin chose to put her on the pace and out in the 2-3 path rather than taking back and getting boxed (as many people before the race thought Past the Point was likely to be a "dead send" from the outside post, as he was in last year's Woodward, and if Borel rated, Rachel could end up a marked horse like Ginger Punch was in the 2008 Go For Wand). She faced steady pressure to her inside from a weak race horse in Da' Tara for about five furlongs. When Da' Tara gave way, Rachel was hounded by Past the Point, but hard, head-to-head pressure from that rival never materialized. She shook loose on the turn and held off a determined challenge from an in-form closer in Macho Again (no world beater, but a legitimate Grade II type) under steady pressure in a very gutsy effort.

She was clearly the best horse in the Woodward, as she was in all her races this year and is a future Hall of Famer, but the attempts by some to elevate the Woodward performance to some kind of other-worldly performance, IMO, are wrong. Efforts of that caliber in this race belong to horses such as Holy Bull, Formal Gold and Ghostzapper. When trying to compare great performances in an historic race, I don't think "for a filly" is the standard. (And just so no one thinks I'm Rachel-bashing, while Zenyatta's win in the Classic was an outstanding performance by a terrific mare, it pales in comparison to the Breeders' Cup Classic performances of horses like Ghostzapper, Ferdinand, Sunday Silence, Awesome Again and the 3YO Tiznow.)

I appreciate this response because it has a lot of valid statements and is not just throwing a blanket over the debate like so many seem to be doing.

You bring up a lot of fair points... I still disagree a bit on the setup she received in the Wood, I don't think she was really given any breathers... they each took a shot, one-by-one, and failed.

As for the Formal Gold's of the world... well, truthfully, those type horses seem to be long gone. So, it's a tough comparison. Honestly, I think Zenyatta pales in comparison to that group as well. I think that's a reflection on the changing state of the game and not a negative reflection on her win.

The best horses in racing used to run 115-120... now it's 108-113 or so... it's a changing game.

The point of my initial post today was that ultimately, in the end, Rachel did more, the Woodward being one positive notch amongst many.

philcski 12-02-2009 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
Based upon Moss pace figures, the pace of the Woodward was one of the faster routes of the year. But the kicker is she was a 3-year-old filly facing elders! That's pretty remarkable. Furthermore, in the two of the faster races to the standard route pace call, she was a winner...



Above that, pace dynamics, race shapes and flow aren't just about the fractions. It's about pressure... which was there non-stop. She wilted the competition in the Woodward. Say what you want about Macho Again and his inconsequential future starts, but he was a quality race horse at Saratoga and in good form, yet he still couldn't catch her.



I will certainly give credit where credit is due, and Zenyatta overcame some pretty insane pace scenarios in her wins this year. Many of her races were very slow early. The question there is who you are running down. Running down a weak horse with a slow pace is a lot easier than holding off a quality horse with a fast pace, in my opinion.

For the record, the Classic was very similar to last year... as Per Moss...



But I'm not about criticizing the abilities of either. I recognize both as pretty special. The arguments people are attempting to make to dispel Rachel Alexandra's year-long domination of horse racing, however, does not trump the big win for Zenyatta, in my opinion.

Using comparative handicapping and conditional results such as "If she beat him, then he should beat her and him while they beat the others" is baseless. Arguments about overall career records "need not apply." Speed figures? They don't count... two different surfaces. The fact Rachel Alexandra skipped the Classic? How is it fair to criticize synthetics in everyday handicapping but when someone uses the surface to dictate a decision, it's suddenly not?

Horse of the Year is not about who would beat whom. Does anyone think Favorite Trick would have beat Skip Away? Of course not. Horse of the Year is about recognizing the body of work for the year. And in my opinion, and it's unfortunate because truthfully, and ultimately, Zenyatta probably wins her fair share of head-to-head match-ups against Rachel, the body of work Rachel Alexandra put out this year was a notch or two better.

Great post... and note the fastest route pace of the year was the Haskell... set jointly by Rachel while 3 wide with the best dirt router in training and a crack sprinter... only to absolutely dominate in the end. Yeah, she can't take pace pressure. :rolleyes:

Smooth Operator 12-02-2009 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
you are right and its a damn shame that sh*t plastic made a champ like Curlin look like a 40 claimer. Its a travesty. Dirt is the bar not plastic

You must be joking, kgar311 … the surface had nothing to do with Curlin getting exposed, imo.

He was the Winstrol "champ" … the Barry Bonds of horses, if you will.

Never had that same acceleration after the 'roid influence waned in spring of '08.

Smooth Operator 12-02-2009 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
If the Classic means everything then why wasn't Ravens Pass HOY last year? I believe he whooped up the eventual HOY in that race too! I think because Curlin had the better YEAR and RP had the better 1 race.
And it will not be a mistake WHEN they give RA HOY

Would be an absolute TRAGEDY if the career undefeated, dual Breeders' Cup and Eclipse-award-winning champion older mare doesn't get the award, kgar311

Let the young Alexander filly take her shot against world-class open competition on her 'preferred surface' at the Downs next fall.

Somehow I doubt she'll get her picture taken after the 10f affair.



By the way, CSC … fine body of work in a thread filled with bad opinions…

parsixfarms 12-02-2009 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Agree with most of these thoughts.. 1 question name any horse that ran this year that could have successfully navigated the Wood described above? Name the horse that was capable of running the Preakness or Haskel she ran? IMO there isn't a horse that could have accomplished what she did. Zenyatta's race is always going to difficult to judge because it was on rubber.

Probably none, which is reflective of racing in 2009.

I think several of the horses that I previously listed above would have won either the Preakness or Woodward more impressively, had they contested that sort of race with similar pace dynamics and similar quality of opponents. While I think Rachel had several things in her favor in the Haskell, her performance in that race is now pretty hard to knock.

letswastemoney 12-02-2009 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator
Would be an absolute TRAGEDY if the career undefeated, dual Breeders' Cup and Eclipse-award-winning champion older mare doesn't get the award, kgar311

Let the young Alexander filly take her shot against world-class open competition on her 'preferred surface' at the Downs next fall.

Somehow I doubt she'll get her picture taken after the 10f affair.



By the way, CSC … fine body of work in a thread filled with bad opinions…

nothing that happened last year should count towards an argument for HOY this year...

freddymo 12-02-2009 01:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Probably none, which is reflective of racing in 2009.

I think several of the horses that I previously listed above would have won either the Preakness or Woodward more impressively, had they contested that sort of race with similar pace dynamics and similar quality of opponents. While I think Rachel had several things in her favor in the Haskell, her performance in that race is now pretty hard to knock.


So the best (fastest, game etc) races were run by the same horse that being Rachel Hence it is crystal clear she is HoY at least in 2009.. Again that doesnt mean she is better then Zenyatta..that is a question that we will never have a definative answer too.

parsixfarms 12-02-2009 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
So the best (fastest, game etc) races were run by the same horse that being Rachel Hence it is crystal clear she is HoY at least in 2009.. Again that doesnt mean she is better then Zenyatta..that is a question that we will never have a definative answer too.

Not so fast, my friend. The question was whether any other horse in training in 2009 could have navigated the Woodward or Preakness in the same fashion as Rachel did. That does not mean she should be horse of the year.

Now my turn for one question: in light of the Breeders' Cup Classic result, do you believe that if Zenyatta had been the horse coming after Rachel in the Woodward, as opposed to Macho Again, that Rachel still would have won the race?

Travis Stone 12-02-2009 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Now my turn for one question: in light of the Breeders' Cup Classic result, do you believe that if Zenyatta had been the horse coming after Rachel in the Woodward, as opposed to Macho Again, that Rachel still would have won the race?

I'll take the bait knowing the what-if game shouldn't factor on a Horse of the Year vote...

It depends if Zenyatta's dirt form is of the 109-110 variety... her only dirt start was not. That said, she would probably be closing late for sure.

But, it wasn't her... she was waiting to beat-up the same ole's in the Lady's Secret. She could have made this whole thread a moot point by running in the Pacific Classic instead.

In a typical year, what she did would be a-okay - a few easy starts before winning the Classic - and she'd have the trophy. But this was not a typical year because of the score Rachel Alexandra posted. Rachel posted 5-under par, and while Zenyatta finished with an eagle, she was a stroke short.

kgar311 12-02-2009 01:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator
Would be an absolute TRAGEDY if the career undefeated, dual Breeders' Cup and Eclipse-award-winning champion older mare doesn't get the award, kgar311

Let the young Alexander filly take her shot against world-class open competition on her 'preferred surface' at the Downs next fall.

Somehow I doubt she'll get her picture taken after the 10f affair.



By the way, CSC … fine body of work in a thread filled with bad opinions…

When will you people get this through your thick skulls????????????????????:zz: :zz: :zz: Its not horse of the career its horse of the year Sherriffs and Co have nobody else to blame but themselves for costing Zen HOY. All they had to do was either put her in the Pacific Classic or the Goodwood and won that respective race and they maybe would of had a shot at the title. But they didnt, they were chicken s*it muther f*ckers. They ducked and dived with this horse throughout her career and it cost her HOY. Case closed, game over she loses, Rachel wins period end of story.:wf

Travis Stone 12-02-2009 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311
When will you people get this through your thick skulls????????????????????:zz: :zz: :zz: Its not horse of the career its horse of the year Sherriffs and Co have nobody else to blame but themselves for costing Zen HOY. All they had to do was either put her in the Pacific Classic or the Goodwood and won that respective race and they maybe would of had a shot at the title. But they didnt, they were chicken s*it muther f*ckers. They ducked and dived with this horse throughout her career and it cost her HOY. Case closed, game over she loses, Rachel wins period end of story.:wf

It's not their fault the BC was in their backyard again. I'm willing to bet most people would have stayed put as well. But, in doing so, you're gambling that no one else steps-up with a bigger campaign, which is what happened.

slotdirt 12-02-2009 01:29 PM

Why people keep responding to the troll, and have for 400-odd posts since 2006, is beyond me.

parsixfarms 12-02-2009 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone
I'll take the bait knowing the what-if game shouldn't factor on a Horse of the Year vote...

It depends if Zenyatta's dirt form is of the 109-110 variety... her only dirt start was not. That said, she would probably be closing late for sure.

But, it wasn't her... she was waiting to beat-up the same ole's in the Lady's Secret. She could have made this whole thread a moot point by running in the Pacific Classic instead.

In a typical year, what she did would be a-okay - a few easy starts before winning the Classic - and she'd have the trophy. But this was not a typical year because of the score Rachel Alexandra posted. Rachel posted 5-under par, and while Zenyatta finished with an eagle, she was a stroke short.

Come on, you didn't answer the question. After watching the 2008 Apple Blossom - Zenyatta's fourth lifetime start - I'm hard-pressed to come to the conclusion that, had she been campaigned on dirt, she would not have been just as effective. I think both Dick Jerardi and Randy Moss recently wrote columns about how speed figures are not a particularly useful measure when looking at a horse with Zenyatta's running style, so quoting me the Beyer figure from the Apple Blossom does not say much to me.

I respect the opinion of those who think that Rachel should be horse of the year, based on her "body of work" in 2009, and that the award need not necessarily go to the "best horse." At the same time, however, it amazes me how the Rachel backers go to great lengths to avoid conceding any point that might even remotely suggest that Zenyatta may have been the better horse.

freddymo 12-02-2009 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Not so fast, my friend. The question was whether any other horse in training in 2009 could have navigated the Woodward or Preakness in the same fashion as Rachel did. That does not mean she should be horse of the year.

Now my turn for one question: in light of the Breeders' Cup Classic result, do you believe that if Zenyatta had been the horse coming after Rachel in the Woodward, as opposed to Macho Again, that Rachel still would have won the race?

Clearly the best races were Rachel's in 2009. HoY is based on accomplishments not on subjective opinions of who is better.. Shoot, the best horse in 2009 wouldnt have had to race then..Rail Trip might be the most talented horse of 2009..I dont think he is but couldnt I argue with Ron Ellis if he told me Rail trip would kick all there butts?

As for your question I can only speculate..Zenyatta ran once on dirt again i would yield to the subjective Sherriffs as he is probably the only one who thinks he knows with any true reality!

I am not sure if she would have beatin Rachel in the Woodward.. Gun to my head I think Rachel would be lost the Woodward to Zenyatta..Shame Zenyatta wasn't there...

parsixfarms 12-02-2009 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Shame Zenyatta wasn't there...

Another thing we can agree upon.

parsixfarms 12-02-2009 01:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo
Rail Trip might be the most talented horse of 2009..I dont think he is but couldnt I argue with Ron Ellis if he told me Rail trip would kick all there butts?

Any horse that lost to Ball Four can't be in the conversation for "most talented horse" of 2009.

freddymo 12-02-2009 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
Any horse that lost to Ball Four can't be in the conversation for "most talented horse" of 2009.

Agreed... but the point was to rebut the "best horse" theory as it pertains to HoY ..

letswastemoney 12-02-2009 02:12 PM

I still don't understand how Gio Ponti is not considered if he faced open G1 competition and won against open G1 competition more often than the other 2 fillies

kgar311 12-02-2009 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by letswastemoney
I still don't understand how Gio Ponti is not considered if he faced open G1 competition and won against open G1 competition more often than the other 2 fillies

1) Rachel Alexandra
2) Gio Ponti
3) Zenyatta


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