Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Triple Crown Topics/Archive.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=9)
-   -   5/3 (CD): 134th Kentucky Derby (Gr. I) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22053)

Danzig 04-30-2008 06:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
BOOGADEE BOOGADEE BOO

God I love the chaos.

hate that.


damn, gayego hung out wide....and big brown in the 20, daaaaayum...

jpops757 04-30-2008 07:01 PM

Recapture and black jack are the key to the race. Will they push the button out of the gate and refuse to let BB get position. I was thinking that Gayego was a good value but the post could give too many problems to overcome.IMO Col John made the best move of any of the colts in his last race and if he gets a clear trip down the stretch he should be able to shine.

slotdirt 04-30-2008 07:08 PM

Question: with the awful - in perception if not in reality - post and other factors, is it possible Big Brown won't go off as the favorite? If the folks on this board are any indication, there seems to be much more support for the horse breaking from the 10 post than the 20. Just an observation.

NoLuvForPletch 04-30-2008 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lava
Matz took the 8:D

I actually like Visionaire quite a bit. But how many times over the course of the day do you think we'll have to hear that Barbaro was the 8, trained by Matz, who also trains Visionaire? Remember, they have lengthened the coverage this year...

ateamstupid 04-30-2008 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
Question: with the awful - in perception if not in reality - post and other factors, is it possible Big Brown won't go off as the favorite? If the folks on this board are any indication, there seems to be much more support for the horse breaking from the 10 post than the 20. Just an observation.

Yeah, this really has me wondering. I think Watchmaker's M/L is low. I really think both Big Brown and Colonel John will go off around 4/1, with maybe Big Brown a tick lower at 7/2. Either way, the post is bad news for people that thought Big Brown would be some huge chalk. And all I know is even though I think he's one of the most likely winners on Saturday, I would never bet Colonel John at 4/1.

AeWingnut 04-30-2008 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
Question: with the awful - in perception if not in reality - post and other factors, is it possible Big Brown won't go off as the favorite? If the folks on this board are any indication, there seems to be much more support for the horse breaking from the 10 post than the 20. Just an observation.

I was thinking the exact same thing. Colonel John will be the favorite. Big Brown will be 3rd choice
maybe

NoLuvForPletch 04-30-2008 07:28 PM

Looks like I have company in the crazy dept, Scav...
 
#33 Today, 12:47 PM
Scav
Royal Ascot Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Chi
Posts: 9,187

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Quote:
Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
I love the hype this horse is getting...he beat El Gato Malaise by a half a length and the super offspring of Stormy Jack, Bob's Black Jack who's best race is probably a mile, by half a length at a mile and an 1/8th. Whoooppiiee!! He's never Beyered 100. Actually, he's barely shaded 5 lengths slower than 100. And, he's never run on dirt in the afternoon.

This folks is your second choice. And with the PP draw,and some more hype, could be the favorite.


here in lies the issue of old school handicapping. the Beyer over 100 isn't common on synthetics, I agree there are question marks, let there be them because I am hoping my odds hold.

You are out of your mind thinking this horse will be favored over Big Brown

I Love it...please please please make CJ the favorite...

Cajungator26 04-30-2008 07:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
#33 Today, 12:47 PM
Scav
Royal Ascot Join Date: May 2006
Location: The Chi
Posts: 9,187

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Quote:
Originally Posted by NoLuvForPletch
I love the hype this horse is getting...he beat El Gato Malaise by a half a length and the super offspring of Stormy Jack, Bob's Black Jack who's best race is probably a mile, by half a length at a mile and an 1/8th. Whoooppiiee!! He's never Beyered 100. Actually, he's barely shaded 5 lengths slower than 100. And, he's never run on dirt in the afternoon.

This folks is your second choice. And with the PP draw,and some more hype, could be the favorite.


here in lies the issue of old school handicapping. the Beyer over 100 isn't common on synthetics, I agree there are question marks, let there be them because I am hoping my odds hold.

You are out of your mind thinking this horse will be favored over Big Brown

I Love it...please please please make CJ the favorite...

I smell a crow pie baking in the oven ...

mac attack 04-30-2008 08:20 PM

10/12/13/15 write it down and take it to the bank, denis of cork doesn't have a chance in hell

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-30-2008 08:37 PM

10 w/
2/4/5/6/8/9/12/14

10 w/
4/6/8/9/12
4/6/8/9/12

Bobby Fischer 04-30-2008 08:38 PM

the public will hammer brown down to about 2-1

gotta remember BB was about 75-1 here for the Fla derby after drawing impossible post 12 and he still went off pretty low in "real life".
John will get lots of love as well.

miraja2 04-30-2008 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mac attack
10/12/13/15 write it down and take it to the bank, denis of cork doesn't have a chance in hell

Smooth Air, Bob Black Jack, and Adriano?
Ummm.............no.

Oaklawnfan 04-30-2008 08:59 PM

16-5-6-12
Good luck ya'll:)

HaloWishingwell 04-30-2008 09:12 PM

Since Dutrow is betting big on BIG BROWN and is so sure of victory, maybe he took post 20 take sweeten his odds.

jman5581 04-30-2008 10:00 PM

Tri 10/20 with 10/20 with ALL

SCUDSBROTHER 04-30-2008 10:17 PM

I don't understand leaving Monba out of the back end of that tri.I think Dominguez/Pletcher need to be respected a little more than a lot of people are doing.Dominguez almost seems to set his goal as getting 2nd-4th in nice races.He has only run 1 bad race.Is it really going to surprise you if that horse gets a suck up 3rd?

Danzig 04-30-2008 10:30 PM

i had monba pre-foy..supposedly he suffered a pretty good sized cut on his leg in that race, might help explain his one really bad effort. but i'd hate to go ga-ga over him based on the bluegrass.

MarkyD 04-30-2008 10:33 PM

question?

why is big truck biggest longshot on board at 50/1.

This guy is better then half the field.

I believe he can sneak in top 4.

Danzig 04-30-2008 10:35 PM

but isn't big trucks claim to fame that he picked up the pieces in the tampa bay derby? he didn't do much last out...but then, neither did pyro and cool coal man!

i see him closer to the back of the field then the front....i think tale of ekati is barclays best shot at this.

MarkyD 04-30-2008 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
but isn't big trucks claim to fame that he picked up the pieces in the tampa bay derby? he didn't do much last out...but then, neither did pyro and cool coal man!

i see him closer to the back of the field then the front....i think tale of ekati is barclays best shot at this.


I guess. But I am watching all races tonight on KD.com, and, yes he only has that 1 win this year, but his last three races look ok to me. He looks good in trafic and always tries. I like to see that. ok, BlueG was bad, maybe same excuse as Pyro, but he never has ran over CD surface. Maybe might like it,
you think?


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 07:11 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.