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my bad. when you're getting things that I don't get, rockhead, it's time to smoke a little of the purple.
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Crist on betting Chrome
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from Crist's article: "Since 1980, six of the eight horses in his exact position – returning to the races after winning the Derby and Preakness and losing the Belmont – have lost their comeback race, most of them at short odds. " This apparently arbitrary 1980 cutoff made me immediately think that the next one back would have been bad for the thesis. Sure enough, in 1979 Spectacular Bid came back to win the Haskell. Granted, he didn't add much to the ROI of the "return" bet. I couldn't find out how Cananero II, the one before Spectacular Bid, had fared in his return. --Dunbar |
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I don't see Untapable losing.
I'm less certain of California Chrome's chances. Bayern having to endure pressure from C J's Awesome and possibly Protonico may not be signifcant, but I also could see Espinoza on Chrome deciding he should duel with Bayern rather than let him slip away. |
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Is this thing on TV somewhere other than HRTV?
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Watch out for Tapiture!
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They didn't go fast enough for him to have a chance to close, but Tapiture ran well.
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