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Nick has one of the best opinions of anyone I have ever known. His public handicapping record is superior. He's also about the least disingenuous person I have ever known. He didn't like American Pharoah. Frankly, no handicapper whose opinion I respect at all liked him on Saturday. |
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I then said that there was still four days still left until the race, meaning that his opinion would have been more than likely posted in the coming days. |
I am curious as to what all these handicappers saw in AP that made him a toss out in this race.
I saw him far from being a lock in there, but I can see nothing that would make me think he's a complete throwout. |
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He set a very slow pace last time, having things very much his own way, and was meeting both better horses and horses that were faster early. It wasn't that he couldn't win, it was more that he was a reasonably unlikely winner that was going to be favored. That makes him a great bet against. |
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Where will your BC selections be posted? nyra.com? Thanks, ASU |
If Upstart was trained by someone generic -- he'd be both my Breeders Cup Juvenile horse and my early Kentucky Derby standout prospect.
Unfortunately, he's trained by Rick Violette, who is uncommonly good with debuting 2-year-olds -- and unlike the general trainer, he's not a guy that you can trust to develop a horse who is impressive early. That horse is by Flatter out of a Touch Gold mare. Not only is that a big-time anti precocity pedigree, but it's a very good distance pedigree. Both the grandsire (A. P. Indy) and damsire (Touch Gold) were Belmont Stakes winners. He was so green in his debut, Ortiz looked like your average 7-lbs bug riding him, and he still blew a nice NY Bred MSW field away with a good figure going just 5.5 furlongs. If Rick Violette has no association with this horse, and he wasn't going East to West and breaking from post 13...I'd be real excited about him. |
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Okay, bad choice of words...should have said, "Ever since Zayat openly considered conspiring to keep Rachel Alexandra out of the 2009 Preakness (so Pioneerof The Nile, American Pharaoh's daddy) could have a better chance of winning the race, he has had nothing but bad luck and heartbreaking defeats" Coincidence or karma?? Everyone loves Zayat - how soon y'all forget:mad: |
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