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-   -   12/5: Hollywood C/O Contest Thread (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18531)

Rootdog1 12-04-2007 10:12 PM

quick observations

3rd - 6,7,9,10 I like Vianna's Free House gelding at 15-1
4th - dont outsmart the room. 2,12 Mitchell is going to get win $ before this one goes on the shelf
5th - 1,3,5 20-1 on Miss Johann is a steal. Not sold on any of the others
6th - 2,3,4,6,10
7th - 6 Sohgol is a sinlge...best form/best horse. Like Forest Melody at 15-1 for second
8th 1,2,7,13,15 A Price will hit here....like these

Contest Ticket
3)6,7,9,10
4)12
5)1,3,5
6)2,3,4,6,10
7)6
8)1,2,3,7,13,15
$720

SCUDSBROTHER 12-04-2007 10:23 PM

I don't think that Mitchell horse is a toss.He is hot,and they are trying to stay hot.You're right,the horse is competitive at 25k claiming.Don't think they just want to be competitive.Fact is it didn't win for 25k.So,the way he thinks is he has to drop,because it simply pays so much more for 1st place than 2nd.If it gets claimed,he thinks it will show up for 16k claiming.See,if he can't win for 25k(with his methods,) then he is certain nobody else can come close to winning at 25k with it.Horse has a nice middle burst,and 5.5f is perfect.It may come 2nd again,but don't think you can count on it.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-04-2007 10:33 PM

That was a non winners of 2 for 25k claiming.Horse isn't all that fast.This seems about where it belongs.I guess I see it more as realistic than suspicious(f'n word use to be easy to spell .. get'n old.) Actually, I think this trainer is trying to get the 5.5 f distance for this horse.He doesn't tower over these on figures does he?

Scav 12-04-2007 10:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
That was a non winners of 2 for 25k claiming.Horse isn't all that fast.This seems about where it belongs.I guess I see it more as realistic than suspicious(f'n word use to be easy to spell .. get'n old.) Actually, I think this trainer is trying to get the 5.5 f distance for this horse.He doesn't tower over these on figures does he?

Doesn't tower but he is the only consistent one. The fact is that if I didn't know who the trainer was, the horse would be a great claim, TG speaking. The horse hasn't progressed at all, running essentially the same number every single race in his career so far, my guess is that there is 15 claims in for this horse tomorrow. I agree with Root that the race isn't that hard to figure out if you trust the 12, if you don't trust him, then who knows what will happen

jms62 12-05-2007 03:45 AM

I'd be interested in a syndicate as well. Don't have time today to handicap this one though.

3kings 12-05-2007 05:49 AM

Here is my quick shot at this:

Race 3. 6,7
Race 4 2,6,12
Race 5 1,5
Race 6 2,6,9
Race 7 1,3,5,6
Race 8 3,6 (Would use the 16 if I thought he would start, won't be able to update)

Total: $576.

Good Luck everyone!

viscount26 12-05-2007 06:45 AM

Here's my shot. I won't be able to edit for scratches due to the fact my IT guy doesn't like Horse Racing :rolleyes:

3. 2, 6, 7
4. 2, 9, 12
5. 4, 5, 6
6. 1, 2, 11
7. 1, 5
8. 3, 4

$648

(Edited at Ian's request with scratch of the 10 in nightcap...)

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-05-2007 07:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Doesn't tower but he is the only consistent one. The fact is that if I didn't know who the trainer was, the horse would be a great claim, TG speaking. The horse hasn't progressed at all, running essentially the same number every single race in his career so far, my guess is that there is 15 claims in for this horse tomorrow. I agree with Root that the race isn't that hard to figure out if you trust the 12, if you don't trust him, then who knows what will happen

he gets a bad post sw...ill use but no single........

Rudeboyelvis 12-05-2007 09:03 AM

2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
1,10 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //5,9 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 //1 //2 //5 //3 $8
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //1,5 //5 //3 $32
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //1,6 //3 $32
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //7,9 $32
4,6 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //3,8 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 // 6,7 //2 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //8,10 //5 //3 $32
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //7 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //13,14 $32
1,10 //5,9 //4,5 //2 //5 //3 $16
1,10 //2,12 //1 //2 //5 //3 $8
1,10 //2,12 //4,5 //1,5 //5 //3 $32
1,10 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //1,6 //3 $32
1,10 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //5 //7,9 $32
2,7 //5,9 //1 //2 //5 //3 $8
2,7 //5,9 //4,5 //1,5 //5 //3 $32
2,7 //5,9 //4,5 //2 //1,6 //3 $32
2,7 //5,9 //4,5 //2 //5 //7,9 $32
2,7 //2,12 //1 //1,5 //5 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 //1 //2 //1,6 //3 $16
2,7 //2,12 //1 //2 //5 //7,9 $16
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //1,5 //1,6 //3 $64
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //1,5 //5 //7,9 $64
2,7 //2,12 //4,5 //2 //1,6 //7,9 $64

744.00

Cover: 5,6//5//1,7//12//1,5,6//4,9 $48


792.00

TheSpyder 12-05-2007 09:49 AM

Spyder's Picks
 
6,10/1,12/1,5/6,10,/4,2/2,3,14,15 $256

1/1,12/1,5/6,10/4,2/2,3.14,15 $128

6,10/9/1,5/6,10/4,2/2,3,14,15 $128

6,10/1,12/7/6,10,/4,2/2,3,14,15 $128

Last time I succeeded to post only one winner so you may want to look at my picks as ones to disregard.

Maybe I'm due. I know I'm due on hitting a hole in one after 1826 attempts

Spyder

declansharbor 12-05-2007 09:58 AM

1,2,6,7 // 2,4,7,12 // 1,2,5,6 // 5,6,9 // 5,6 // 3

2,4,7,10 // 2,4,5,9 // 1 // 8 // 6 // 3

8 bills on the button.

Best of luck everyone!!

cassie 12-05-2007 10:37 AM

contest
 
;) 3rd 6,7,10
4th8,12
5th1,5
6th1,8,10
7th5,6
8th2,3,6,13,15
total 720

jms62 12-05-2007 12:00 PM

2,6,7/8,9,12/5,7/8,5,6,1/5/3,4,6 $432.00
1/8,9,12/ 5,7/1,2,3,5,6,8/5/3 $72.00
7/8,9,12/1,5,7/2,5,6,8/5,6/4,3 $288.00
======

$792.00

dpkovalesky 12-05-2007 12:02 PM

Contest Entry
 
Race 3: 1-3-5-7-10
Race 4: 9-12
Race 5: 5-6
Race 6: 5-6-10-12
Race 7: 6
Race 8: 16-7-6-4

Borntorun 12-05-2007 12:27 PM

Here's my contest ticket:

3rd 2,6,7,10
4th 2,4,8,12
5th 1,4,5,6,7
6th 2,6,10,11,12
7th 5
8th 3
$800


I bet a $2.00 Straight Pick 6 at lunch: 7-12-4-10-5-3. I know I've got a snowball's chance in hell to hit it but I view it like a lottery ticket when there is a carry over.

dylbert 12-05-2007 12:28 PM

Caveman's Lunchtime Express Ticket
 
Race 3: 6,7
Race 4: 1,2,6,8,12
Race 5: 5
Race 6: 2,3,6,9
Race 7: 1,5
Race 8: 3,4,7,13,16

Good Luck to All... especially those with REAL $$$ in today's pool...

TitanSooner 12-05-2007 12:42 PM

3:1,2,6,10
4:4,12
5:1,4,5
6:3,5,6,9
7:5
8:3,7,13,15
$768

3:1,2,6,10
4:12
5:1,5
6:3
7:1
8:3,15
$32

SCUDSBROTHER 12-05-2007 12:50 PM

3rd)1,2,5,6,7,9,10
4th)1,2,4,6,7,8,9,12
5th)all
6th)6
7th)1
8th)3

3rd)4/12
4th)4/12
5th)4
6th)6
7th)1/6
8th)3

$800

MaTH716 12-05-2007 01:10 PM

Scratches and Changes for December 5th at Hollywood.

http://equibase.churchilldowns.com/hol-changes.asp

stonecutter 12-05-2007 02:00 PM

Contest picks
 
Lets try these...................2-5-6-7 with 2-10-12 with 1-5 with 1-2 with 5 with 3-13-16...............total 288.00

rgustafson 12-05-2007 02:06 PM

3rd race 1,9,10

4th race 1,5,8,9,12

5th race 5,6

6th race 2,3,6,8,12

7th race 5

8th race 2,3,4,6,16


Total $750

oilertige 12-05-2007 02:13 PM

Consensus picks:
 
My stab @ contest:

R3) 1,2,6,7,10
R4) 2,12
R5) 5
R6) 2,6,10
R7) 1,5,6
R8) 3,6,7,13

Confession: Not my picks but yours . . .taken consensus of top picks per races from all who submitted - had the time . . . GL

ArlJim78 12-05-2007 03:19 PM

rushing to get this in,

1 6 7 10 // 5 8 9 12 // 1 5 7 // 1 2 5 12 // 5 6 / 3
$768

SkinnyKid 12-05-2007 03:23 PM

3)6,7,10,12
4)1,8,9,12
5)5,6,
6)2,6,7,8
7)5,6
8)3

512.00$$$$

My Virgin Experience at this ...good luck and be gentle please.

djw 12-05-2007 03:28 PM

6-7-10
2-9-12
5-6
2-6-10
5-6 (No guts to Single the 5)
3-6-16 = 648

1-6
2-9
5-6
2-6-10
5
3-6-7-16 = 96

Here's hoping DT'ers take it down on line and
more importantly with $$$$$tyle!

whodey17 12-05-2007 03:30 PM

Well here is my stab and I played this ticket today

Leg A - 1-6-7
Leg B - 1-2-4-12
Leg C - 4-5
Leg D - 1-3-6-10
Leg E - 5
Leg F - 3-4-6-7

$768

SCUDSBROTHER 12-05-2007 04:09 PM

omg.....I bet this shore horse.I know he was 11-1 going in gate.Crazy fkrs.

whodey17 12-05-2007 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
omg.....I bet this shore horse.I know he was 11-1 going in gate.Crazy fkrs.

Scuds I saw the same thing. I could have sworn he was 11-1 when he went into the gate. But I could have been seeing things

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-05-2007 04:21 PM

potts needed to str out celtic fable and id still be in the hunt

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-05-2007 04:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by whodey17
Scuds I saw the same thing. I could have sworn he was 11-1 when he went into the gate. But I could have been seeing things

nice job whod 17 your alive:eek: :D

whodey17 12-05-2007 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
nice job whod 17 your alive:eek: :D

Thanks and imagine that. I believe there are 4-6 of us still alive. So lets hope someone from here hits the pick 6. Usually I am gone after the first race. I am starting to get into racing again. I went through about a 2 month time period when I was not interested at all in racing. Not sure what has happened to change things, maybe just a normal cycle.

MaTH716 12-05-2007 05:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
quick observations

3rd - 6,7,9,10 I like Vianna's Free House gelding at 15-1
4th - dont outsmart the room. 2,12 Mitchell is going to get win $ before this one goes on the shelf
5th - 1,3,5 20-1 on Miss Johann is a steal. Not sold on any of the others
6th - 2,3,4,6,10
7th - 6 Sohgol is a sinlge...best form/best horse. Like Forest Melody at 15-1 for second8th 1,2,7,13,15 A Price will hit here....like these

Contest Ticket
3)6,7,9,10
4)12
5)1,3,5
6)2,3,4,6,10
7)6
8)1,2,3,7,13,15
$720


Jesus, you had that nailed. Nice Job Root!

SCUDSBROTHER 12-05-2007 05:48 PM

You can toss the 7th.Bunch of scared bitches relaxing their horses to the point they had zero shot.12 panel distance just freaked these guys out.

Rootdog1 12-05-2007 05:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
Jesus, you had that nailed. Nice Job Root!


Thanks...going for 5 of 6......got burned with the Mitchell horse in the 4th

MaTH716 12-05-2007 05:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
You can toss the 7th.Bunch of scared bitches relaxing their horses to the point they had zero shot.12 panel distance just freaked these guys out.

Just kept waiting for Talamo to come back to the rest of the field and he never did.

MaTH716 12-05-2007 05:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rootdog1
Thanks...going for 5 of 6......got burned with the Mitchell horse in the 4th

The infamous suspicious drop horse. I am sure, that race blew up alot of tickets. Good Luck and try to bring 5 out of 6 home.

SCUDSBROTHER 12-05-2007 05:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716
Just kept waiting for Talamo to come back to the rest of the field and he never did.

They won't.Not a decent class horse who isn't bothered much(except by her own head.)Bunch of guys didn't adjust when the 2 blew the break.Sohgol figured top 2 in here,but this was a blown race.I have no idea how they expected to make up that kind of ground.


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