cmorioles |
02-14-2012 10:27 AM |
Just for another perspective on her with my figures, which are adjusted for weight and also for maturity.
She ran well at 2 and very early 3. I had her with figures in the 90s a few times. Obviously, something went amiss. She came back almost a year later and ran very close to her previous best, and did it in a race with a ridiculously slow pace, meaning most likely she might have done even better figure wise with a reasonable pace.
Next out, she faces better and gets caught on a moderate pace while four wide in her second race off a long layoff. Isn't this the ideal bounce situation? I'm not a big bounce guy at all, but if there is going to be one, it usually happens second off the big layoff. Being wide around the turn in a race where the pace is picking up (note the 88 half, 97 3/4) is not a good trip.
So, next she shows up in the Humana with two much better than looks on Beyer races third off the layoff. I am not trying to say this horse was obvious, but come on, she wasn't hopeless all things considered. When you throw in that she got what I would call an absolute dream of a trip with a 128 figure 1/4 mile in a 7f race, is the result really that surprising? Don't lots of horses explode third time off the bench?
Had you told me Hilda's Passion would run off early by at least three lengths faster than she ever had before and that the only other off the pace types were a badly off form Evening Jewel and a so so Oklahoma bred, I'd have unloaded on her.
|