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-   -   6/16 (CD): Foster (G1), Fleur de Lis (G2), Regret, Winn (G3's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=47104)

ateamstupid 06-16-2012 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 869513)
I think he is OK. He has now paired up 2 major G1 wins. Not that the division is super strong, but hes the front runner right now. It feels like any race a horse like Shack is in could collapse if they stretch him back out, so maybe Ron keeps finding ways to win. Rumor is Royal DeltA will be facing the boys again soon, if not soon JCGC.

Two G1 wins in which the race completely collapsed into his lap. If JV wasn't soiling himself over Nate's Mineshaft getting loose, Wise Dan would've won.

NTamm1215 06-16-2012 11:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 869519)
Two G1 wins in which the race completely collapsed into his lap. If JV wasn't soiling himself over Nate's Mineshaft getting loose, Wise Dan would've won.

Ron the Greek was an extremely fortunate winner tonight, no doubt about it. However, I think you're being overly critical of Velazquez's ride. Wise Dan is always forwardly placed, and he didn't engage Nate's Mineshaft prematurely at all. Wise Dan was very average last night, further adding to the mystery that is Charles Lopresti, whose horses are nearly impossible to predict.

ateamstupid 06-17-2012 12:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 869520)
Ron the Greek was an extremely fortunate winner tonight, no doubt about it. However, I think you're being overly critical of Velazquez's ride. Wise Dan is always forwardly placed, and he didn't engage Nate's Mineshaft prematurely at all. Wise Dan was very average last night, further adding to the mystery that is Charles Lopresti, whose horses are nearly impossible to predict.

I respectfully disagree. I think once he saw that Fort Larned was going to press Nate's Mineshaft he should've tried to back off some. Then I thought he asked the horse too early (~ the 3/8 pole) considering who was in front of him and the six furlong splits he just made WD run. Was it a god-awful ride? No. But I thought it was panicky. I also think WD ran pretty well after getting mugged on the first turn by FL and being put too close to the pace. Obviously Nate's Mineshaft ran better than I thought he would as well.

Indian Charlie 06-17-2012 02:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 869503)
That is my story. It's either that or be forced to admit to have basically done the worst handicapping job this board has seen in a long time.

Far from the worst.

Everyone on here can name one guy who you couldn't touch for that award.

Coach Pants 06-17-2012 06:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 868154)
Heh. Maybe they'll break 1:50. I'm sure it will be a magical day at Roman Downs. I'm bringing the neighborhood. I'm sure they'll love getting their wallet out 5 f.ucking times before they get to their seats.

Roman Downs: Stay away, peasants. We ain't give a f.uck about horse racing.

Well they didn't. It was a total hunch play horse due to the name.

NTamm1215 06-17-2012 09:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 869521)
I respectfully disagree. I think once he saw that Fort Larned was going to press Nate's Mineshaft he should've tried to back off some. Then I thought he asked the horse too early (~ the 3/8 pole) considering who was in front of him and the six furlong splits he just made WD run. Was it a god-awful ride? No. But I thought it was panicky. I also think WD ran pretty well after getting mugged on the first turn by FL and being put too close to the pace. Obviously Nate's Mineshaft ran better than I thought he would as well.

In my opinion, the difference between last night and the prior two races in which JV rode Wise Dan was that he did not drag him around the track in the Foster. Velazquez had been on a keg of dynamite much of the way in the Clark and Ben Ali. Perhaps it was the bump early in the race that knocked him off stride a bit, or maybe the stronger pace. Here is his running line from the Foster:



Here's his running line from the Clark:



For whatever reason, he was flat last night. CJ or someone who's far better with pace figures can weigh in, but at least according to the Moss Figs, the Foster had the strongest pace of a two-turn race he has been in since the 2011 Alysheba, where he got buried.

my miss storm cat 06-17-2012 02:16 PM

Nice line from Mike Smith...

"I could have ridden her backwards today and she still would have won.”

RockHardTen1985 06-17-2012 11:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 869519)
Two G1 wins in which the race completely collapsed into his lap. If JV wasn't soiling himself over Nate's Mineshaft getting loose, Wise Dan would've won.

I dont really disagree. I said I think he is OK. Ok as in, no one is really that good right now. So he is as OK as everyone else.

RolloTomasi 06-29-2012 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 868209)
Meanwhile, I hope something from back East takes a shot at the Hollywood Gold Cup. I'd rather not see Game On Dude and Richard's Kid run 1-2 in a merry-go-round 5-horse field. Morning Line is probably toast and was suspect at 10f anyways. Maybe Hymn Book will forego the Suburban to take a shot. Ron The Greek, too, since he's already won in CA and might be kept apart from new stablemate Flat Out.

Well, I was close. Former claimer Papaw Bodie, Blue Grass winner Stately Victor, and Queen'splatekitten are nominees to the Hollywood Gold Cup from out of town.

Queen'splatekitten is also entered in the Poker next week, so a Grade 3 turf mile may take away from the field.

At least the filly Lovethewayyouare lends some Grade 1 firepower to the field.


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