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-   -   6/11 (BEL): Belmont, Manhattan, Acorn, Just a Game, Stephens, True North (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=42615)

herkhorse 06-10-2011 06:54 PM

Windward Islands for the upset in the Manhattan. :$:

ateamstupid 06-11-2011 12:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 783347)
I think people are ignoring the potential for Ruler On Ice to add to the early pace w/ the addition of blinkers and some fast recent works, and think Prime Cut might be close too.

Ruler On Ice, like many Kelly Breen horses, has worked fast before the addition of blinkers. He blew out :46 and change before the Sunland race and :58 and change before the Tesio and didn't approach the lead in either race. Even if he does get sent early, I still have a tough time seeing how they don't crawl down the backstretch. It just isn't a field with much pace.

Travis Stone 06-11-2011 07:51 AM

"Local" early odds...

1. Master of Hounds, 5-1
2. Stay Thirsty, 12-1
3. Ruler On Ice, 42-1
4. Santiva, 8-1
5. Brilliant Speed, 9-1
6. Nehro, 5-1
7. Monzon, 55-1
8. Prime Cut, 18-1
9. Animal Kingdom, 5-2
10. Mucho Macho Man, 6-1
11. Isn’t He Perfect, 39-1
12. Shackleford, 16-1

robfla 06-11-2011 08:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 783514)
"Local" early odds...

1. Master of Hounds, 5-1
2. Stay Thirsty, 12-1
3. Ruler On Ice, 42-1
4. Santiva, 8-1
5. Brilliant Speed, 9-1
6. Nehro, 5-1
7. Monzon, 55-1
8. Prime Cut, 18-1
9. Animal Kingdom, 5-2
10. Mucho Macho Man, 6-1
11. Isn’t He Perfect, 39-1
12. Shackleford, 16-1


I think this will change significantly ( esp Shackelford ) as it represents "on-track" only. A better indicator may be the Brooklyn/Belmont DD will pays where Shackleford is just over 2x's Animal Kingdom's price, and Master of Hounds is the same will-pay as Animal Kingdom


http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=42640

Travis Stone 06-11-2011 08:06 AM

It also represents NYRA Rewards.

It really depends on how big the pool is. Early betting at CD is local only, and though I thought it changed, many here said it doesn't that much.

I just cannot believe that Shackleford will be 16-1 come post time, especially if it's wet.

eagles725 06-11-2011 08:13 AM

Who are the horses in the Belmont that would do best on a wet track?

King Glorious 06-11-2011 12:40 PM

Acorn: Turb Descent, Savvy Supreme, Snow Fall
True North: Phil, Trappe Shot, Funnybone
Stephens: Arch Traveler, JJ, Bold Warrior
Just A Game: Gypsy, Fantasia, Strike the Bell
Manhattan: Viscount Nelson, Gio Ponti, Prince Will
Belmont: Nehro, AK, Master

King Glorious 06-11-2011 01:39 PM

Travelin Man for third in the Stephens.

Seattleallstar 06-11-2011 03:49 PM

I give up, its been a very frustrating Belmont Saturday for me. Only a Master of Hounds win will save my weekend

slotdirt 06-11-2011 07:01 PM

Ruler on Ice was the only horse in the race with an off track win. Now, granted it wasn't a particularly good off track win, but nonetheless.

For those of us not from the NYC who don't get to see Andy Serling regularly, he was pretty phenomenal through the card with his pre-race analysis.

Travis Stone 06-11-2011 07:17 PM

I prefer crazy and odd results over dumb wagering plays and mistakes. I didn't make any mistakes on the race... Not in a millions years would I have played the winner.

Travis Stone 06-11-2011 07:24 PM

But if I were to have bet Ruler On Ice and Stay Thirsty, I'd cry about the exacta payoff.

$2 Exacta - 928.00
$2 Superfecta- 74,052.00
$2 Trifecta - 8,268.00

Feels like they should be higher.

GPK 06-11-2011 08:05 PM

Mission Approved:wf:zz::wf

blackthroatedwind 06-11-2011 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 783718)
Ruler on Ice was the only horse in the race with an off track win. Now, granted it wasn't a particularly good off track win, but nonetheless.

For those of us not from the NYC who don't get to see Andy Serling regularly, he was pretty phenomenal through the card with his pre-race analysis.

Thank you. That's very nice of you to say.

ateamstupid 06-11-2011 09:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK (Post 783747)
Mission Approved:wf:zz::wf

That pissed me off after having C S Silk in the race before. They should just stop running turf races in America if horses like that are going to win races like the Manhattan.

Revidere 06-11-2011 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 783783)
That pissed me off after having C S Silk in the race before. They should just stop running turf races in America if horses like that are going to win races like the Manhattan.

Gio Ponti has the dubious distinction of losing to both Mission Approved (almost lost to him last year as well) and Interpatation.

freddymo 06-11-2011 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Revidere (Post 783786)
Gio Ponti has the dubious distinction of losing to both Mission Approved (almost lost to him last year as well) and Interpatation.

Gio Ponti was the star of the card.. Why Gio Ponti is even still running in 10f races is an indictment on two levels..The market for decent G1 grass stallions and just how awful G1 routing turf horses are in this country.

pointman 06-11-2011 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 783783)
That pissed me off after having C S Silk in the race before. They should just stop running turf races in America if horses like that are going to win races like the Manhattan.

They let both of them walk on the front end. Mission Approved was allowed to go 1:17, and he got brave. What were the other jocks thinking allowing him to do that?

slotdirt 06-11-2011 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 783783)
That pissed me off after having C S Silk in the race before. They should just stop running turf races in America if horses like that are going to win races like the Manhattan.

It was one thing for CS Silk to do that, but wasn't anybody riding in the Manhattan paying attention to the Just a Game?

I've now noticed my horrendous LIRR grammar and syntax from my earlier post, and I do apologize.

NTamm1215 06-11-2011 11:10 PM

Beyer Figures:

It's Tricky 105
Trappe Shot 112
Justin Phillip 96
CS Silk 101
Mission Approved 103
Ruler on Ice 100


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