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-   -   Oaks and Derby Handicapping (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=46336)

FATPIANO 05-02-2012 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 857340)
Love this horses chance here.

love her too, But I believe all the Summer Applause that you will hear this Summer, will be about Gemologist.......................Summer Applause/Gemologist.......Oaks/Derby Double

Port Conway Lane 05-02-2012 10:10 AM

Looks like anyone's race in the oaks. Grace Hall/Bode Empire Maker/Swami chalk angle. I'll take no less than $60 for the DD will pay.

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-02-2012 10:54 AM

gomez foot surgery.. hes had very few mounts at keeneland. but has many mounts on oaks day..daddy nose best may not get the best ride due to this..any thoughts..

Travis Stone 05-02-2012 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 857390)
gomez foot surgery.. hes had very few mounts at keeneland. but has many mounts on oaks day..daddy nose best may not get the best ride due to this..any thoughts..

I would never let something like this talk me off a horse.

Bigsmc 05-02-2012 11:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 857392)
I would never let something like this talk me off a horse.

Agree. I wouldn't worry about his fitness and if the foot is bothering him, a cortisone shot will take care of that.

NTamm1215 05-02-2012 11:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 857392)
I would never let something like this talk me off a horse.

The guy practically had one arm when he rode Blame in the BCC 2 years ago. He'll be fine.

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-02-2012 11:57 AM

ok..ill go with that as a non factor..

Travis Stone 05-02-2012 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 857414)
The guy practically had one arm when he rode Blame in the BCC 2 years ago. He'll be fine.

Maybe if he had two good arms Blame would have been rightfully crowned Horse of the Year. Bummer...

Bigsmc 05-02-2012 12:37 PM

Saturday's Overnight

http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbH...C-CD-20120505D

Coach Pants 05-02-2012 12:46 PM

I like the overnight!

Real stoked for the weekend

Sightseek 05-02-2012 08:20 PM

I can't believe we're this close to Derby day and there hasn't been a single post about the weather!

South Beach Luv 05-02-2012 08:47 PM

Empire Maker is the sire of both ML favorites, has this ever happened before?

richard 05-02-2012 09:44 PM

No dam has ever foaled 2 KD winners. Dullihan is a 1/2 to Mine That Bird.

Arletta 05-02-2012 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 857600)
I can't believe we're this close to Derby day and there hasn't been a single post about the weather!

Shhhhhhhhhhhh :D

Clip-Clop 05-02-2012 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Arletta (Post 857646)
Shhhhhhhhhhhh :D

Hot.

RockHardTen1985 05-03-2012 03:58 AM

Asking for help on ticket structure..... if you don't want to respond in thread pm me. Having a hard time with this.... these are my 2 day pick 3's, something just feels wrong.


2 with 6,7 with 3,6...... $1
2 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,8,13,13. .....$1


2,4,8 with 6,7 with 3,6......$1
2,4,8 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,13,14.....50 cents

2,4,5,8,10 with 6,7 with 3,6....50 cents
2,4,5,8,10 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,14.....50 cents

When I write them out something feels wrong, is it just me?

tywizard 05-03-2012 05:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 857691)
Asking for help on ticket structure..... if you don't want to respond in thread pm me. Having a hard time with this.... these are my 2 day pick 3's, something just feels wrong.


2 with 6,7 with 3,6...... $1
2 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,8,13,13. .....$1


2,4,8 with 6,7 with 3,6......$1
2,4,8 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,13,14.....50 cents

2,4,5,8,10 with 6,7 with 3,6....50 cents
2,4,5,8,10 with 6,7,9,10 with 3,6,14.....50 cents

When I write them out something feels wrong, is it just me?

You have the 13 in the derby twice in the second bet.

The only thing I can see wrong is that Turallure is not on any tickets nor is gemologist or union rags. Obviously that is my opinion and I realize you have to take some stands but you have the 2-6,7-3,6 multiple times. Why not add to that base instead of taking a stand?

Rupert Pupkin 05-05-2012 04:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 857276)
Corey Nakatani should be embarrassed for taking the mount on Colonial Empress. I know Lukas has lost his mind but this is beyond ridiculous.

D Wayne is 0 for 57 in graded stakes races the last few years. I remember we were talking about this about 5 years ago and he was around 1 for 80 in graded stakes races at the time. I wonder what his record is in graded stakes races the last 10 years.

I think he must hold the all-time record for the worst performance in history over a 10 year period in graded stakes races. He must be like 2 for 250 or something like that over the last 10 years. It couldn't happen to a nicer guy.

monkeyco 05-05-2012 09:57 AM

Swinging for the fences today -

50 cent P3 starting with Humana:
3,4,5,8/2,5,8,10/ALL = 4X4X20X0.50 = $160

50 cent Derby Tri's:
15,18/4,5,10,15,18/4,5,10,14,15,18,20
4,5,10,15,18/15,18/4,5,10,14,15,18,20
4,5,10,15,18/4,5,10,14,15,18,20/15,18 = 2x4x5x0.50 = $20 x 3 = $60

$220 total

Good luck to everyone!

Derby73 05-05-2012 09:58 AM

$1 Derby tri payouts:

Tri Payouts
2012
2011 1,976.00
2010 1,168.70
2009 20,750.00
2008 1,722.80
2007 220.00
2006 5,709.00
2005 66,567.00
2004 493.80
2003 332.40
2002 9,186.60
2001 6,119.20
2000 217.50
1999 2,933.10
1998 610.50
1997 102.70
1996 300.30
1995 1,049.60
1994 1,175.70

Average 6,701.94
High 66,567.00
Low 102.70

Oh, please, oh, please...


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