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-   -   Arlington Fri 5-9 PK4 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22315)

ArlJim78 05-09-2008 06:15 AM

Arlington Fri 5-9 PK4
 
running total wagered / winnings
small ticket 20 / 0
large ticket 80 / 0

Race 2
3- Miss Whatavu. single won $4.80
1- Explosive Dear
5- Pretty In Mink

Race 3
6- Dakota Ridge
1a- ReBounded <<<scratch
2- Ocean Springs Slew 2nd

Race 4
5- Sixteen Gauge
2- Camptown King
6- Devil In Excess
7- Roaring Rex

Race 5
3- Grand Coeur WON $15.80
7- Smoke N Magic
8- Frank Joseph
5- Death Valley

small ticket
3 / 2 6 / 2 5 6 7 / 3 5 7 8 $32

large ticket
1 3 5 / 2 6 / 2 5 6 7 / 3 5 7 8 $96

miraja2 05-09-2008 07:27 AM

I completely agree with you on Grand Coeur in the fifth.
I don't think there is any way he'll go off at his 10-1 ML given his past poly form and his recent sharp work, but I think a WP bet on him is my top play of the day.

Scav 05-09-2008 07:39 AM

Why are we doing the early P4 and not the late P4?

Always some pretty hilarious races early in card

ArlJim78 05-09-2008 08:33 AM

i went with the first one just because it looked easier and because i don't have a feel for things yet. the second one yesterday was wild thats for sure with a $31 horse and a $79 dollar horse. we can do whichever one you want.
no problem.

Scav 05-09-2008 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
i went with the first one just because it looked easier and because i don't have a feel for things yet. the second one yesterday was wild thats for sure with a $31 horse and a $79 dollar horse. we can do whichever one you want.
no problem.

I was just curious that is all. You know as well I as I do that the first couple races at Arlington are always pretty hilarious (UNLESS YOU HAVE THE NUTS in BOB's BEAN running).

I would think from a sanity check, the last four would be better, plus, you probably get two turf races within that sequence

ArlJim78 05-09-2008 08:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I was just curious that is all. You know as well I as I do that the first couple races at Arlington are always pretty hilarious (UNLESS YOU HAVE THE NUTS in BOB's BEAN running).

I would think from a sanity check, the last four would be better, plus, you probably get two turf races within that sequence

i agree that in the long run the late 4 would be better.

nice ride by douglas on bobs bean by the way.

Scav 05-09-2008 09:37 AM

Arlington Late P4
 
Running Total
Total Wagers: 1
Total Investment: $10
Total Winnings: $0

7th race
#1 Miss Classified - Ramsey most fearless rider on circuit
#5 Indigo Ice - Bruggemann's other charge owns tactical speed

8th race
#2 The Alcova Kid - 1st time Block, with Razo, Need a trip but much the best in this race
9th race
#3 Rose Princess - Not real confident in jock but whatever, has the numbers
#4 Close the Deal - Hobby on fire, should get real good trip with the swed going to the lead (#1)
#6 Minimite - Douglas
10th race
#2 Mr. Mischief - Razo back aboard, ran well on turf
#4 No Limit Game - Douglas on lawn, nuff said
#11 Iron Vow - Crazy last work, Rivelli no joke, should show speed, probably next time but will see how far Broken Vow 1st turfer can last

7: 1,5
8: 2
9: 3,4,6
10: 2,4,11

$18

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
8th race
#2 The Alcova Kid - 1st time Block, with Razo, Need a trip but much the best in this race

Singling the Alcova Kid. You're a ballsy dude.

I think he's the best, but then again, he's looked the best in a few of his races and can't seal the deal.

On paper, he's a good call for a single, but at least for ME, he's burned me too many times to put that much faith in him.

Hope it works out for you.

GBBob 05-09-2008 09:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Running Total
Total Wagers: 1
Total Investment: $10
Total Winnings: $0

7th race
#1 Miss Classified - Ramsey most fearless rider on circuit
#2 Itchy Toes - Calabrese now has two trainers on the ground, people won't know Slomkokski (Catalano's brother in law) until he wins his first three/four
#5 Indigo Ice - Bruggemann's other charge owns tactical speed
#6 Photo Image - Ness invader, ????, looks like he wants him sold
8th race
#2 The Alcova Kid - 1st time Block, with Razo, Need a trip but much the best in this race
9th race
#3 Rose Princess - Not real confident in jock but whatever, has the numbers
#4 Close the Deal - Hobby on fire, should get real good trip with the swed going to the lead (#1)
#6 Minimite - Douglas
10th race
#2 Mr. Mischief - Razo back aboard, ran well on turf
#4 No Limit Game - Douglas on lawn, nuff said
#11 Iron Vow - Crazy last work, Rivelli no joke, should show speed, probably next time but will see how far Broken Vow 1st turfer can last

7: 1,2,5,6
8: 2
9: 3,4,6
10: 2,4,11

$36

Rivelli has a new hyperbaric parked in Elgin..supposedly leading the horses straight from there to the gate

Scav 05-09-2008 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Singling the Alcova Kid. You're a ballsy dude.

I think he's the best, but then again, he's looked the best in a few of his races and can't seal the deal.

On paper, he's a good call for a single, but at least for ME, he's burned me too many times to put that much faith in him.

Hope it works out for you.

He gets the benefit of Block now, and there is NO ONE NEAR him on the TG. 5pts better then anyone...he will be 4/5 today my guess

I know you know Arlington, and I know you know what a difference from Geier to Block.....

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-09-2008 10:02 AM

pp 8 nic the quick...looks to be the danger has back nos and can get the dist ml 8-1

pp 12 start guest is the only other horse id include..imo

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-09-2008 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
pp 8 nic the quick...looks to be the danger has back nos and can get the dist ml 8-1

pp 12 start guest is the only other horse id include..imo


and in the last

pp 8 eat n run ml 8-1
and 4 no limit game.....

Scav 05-09-2008 10:11 AM

They are not beating The Alcova Kid today, only thing that beats him today is bad racing luck

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-09-2008 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
They are not beating The Alcova Kid today, only thing that beats him today is bad racing luck

ok.....

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
He gets the benefit of Block now, and there is NO ONE NEAR him on the TG. 5pts better then anyone...he will be 4/5 today my guess

I know you know Arlington, and I know you know what a difference from Geier to Block.....

I know. I understand all of that. I'm just saying while he's not been 4/5 best in any race, he's had more than his fair share of chances, and a few where he looked like the obvious winner on paper.

Obviously he's your most likely winner, I just think it still takes balls to single a horse like that. I'm not playing it today, so for your sake, I'll hope it works out -- and it likely will. It's just not a horse I personally could be that confident in, even with the paper advantage.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
pp 8 nic the quick...looks to be the danger has back nos and can get the dist ml 8-1

And I think Call Me Goer is interesting if 'Kid comes up short along with the one you listed.

Scav 05-09-2008 10:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
I know. I understand all of that. I'm just saying while he's not been 4/5 best in any race, he's had more than his fair share of chances, and a few where he looked like the obvious winner on paper.

Obviously he's your most likely winner, I just think it still takes balls to single a horse like that. I'm not playing it today, so for your sake, I'll hope it works out -- and it likely will. It's just not a horse I personally could be that confident in, even with the paper advantage.


And I think Call Me Goer is interesting if 'Kid comes up short along with the one you listed.

BTW, how did you get hooked up with DAK? That is pretty cool that you are running commentary in the program now.....

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 10:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
BTW, how did you get hooked up with DAK? That is pretty cool that you are running commentary in the program now.....

Weird, winding story that started way back when I had just finished high school.

Had been in touch on and off, and through some blogging and the HPWS opportunity, we got back in touch. He offered me some work this summer, and I said yes. Most of it is behind the scenes file cleaning work and some research that will be coming up -- but I get to do the fun stuff from time to time too.

Scav 05-09-2008 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Weird, winding story that started way back when I had just finished high school.

Had been in touch on and off, and through some blogging and the HPWS opportunity, we got back in touch. He offered me some work this summer, and I said yes. Most of it is behind the scenes file cleaning work and some research that will be coming up -- but I get to do the fun stuff from time to time too.

Congrats, not a bad ordeal

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Congrats, not a bad ordeal

Thanks.

I figure I'm already obsessively following the meet, spending every free day out there, and analyzing replays to death and taking crazy notes all meet anyway, so making some extra money on the side for doing what I was going to do anyway is about as good a deal as I'm going to find.

Scav 05-09-2008 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Thanks.

I figure I'm already obsessively following the meet, spending every free day out there, and analyzing replays to death and taking crazy notes all meet anyway, so making some extra money on the side for doing what I was going to do anyway is about as good a deal as I'm going to find.

Yep...While yesterday was a very good day for me, it totally messed with my psychy as I want to be out there every day now :)

ArlJim78 05-09-2008 10:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Yep...While yesterday was a very good day for me, it totally messed with my psychy as I want to be out there every day now :)

thats why I don't pop over at lunch time anymore, hard to go back to the office with a clear mind.

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Yep...While yesterday was a very good day for me, it totally messed with my psychy as I want to be out there every day now :)

Dude, I know. Your post in the other forum is exactly how I felt out there last weekend. This 9-6 job is killing me, and I'll miss most Fridays and only get to spend Saturdays and Sundays out there.

Just wait til Churchill is over and the stock gets a bit better too, it's going to be a great summer.

Scav 05-09-2008 10:35 AM

I missed my calling being a dumbass kid. I should have been a teacher and got off May 9th and been done until Mid August.

Scav 05-09-2008 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
Dude, I know. Your post in the other forum is exactly how I felt out there last weekend. This 9-6 job is killing me, and I'll miss most Fridays and only get to spend Saturdays and Sundays out there.

Just wait til Churchill is over and the stock gets a bit better too, it's going to be a great summer.

It might not have to be over to get some of their horses. with a 20% purse cut announced today, purses are on par with them already now I think

dellinger63 05-09-2008 12:03 PM

Should be out there tomorrow but I'll jump in just for practice sake...

early pic 4 3,5/1A,2,5/2,6/3,7,8,9 $48

Late pic 4 3,4/2,8,12/3,5,6/1,2,10 $54

Good Luck and Brian, Bob showed me your writeups last Saturday. Pretty cool.

brianwspencer 05-09-2008 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63
Should be out there tomorrow but I'll jump in just for practice sake...

early pic 4 3,5/1A,2,5/2,6/3,7,8,9 $48

Late pic 4 3,4/2,8,12/3,5,6/1,2,10 $54

Good Luck and Brian, Bob showed me your writeups last Saturday. Pretty cool.

I will be out there tomorrow. Should be upstairs for a couple of races working on stuff, but will be down by midday to grab a beer and hang out.

dellinger63 05-09-2008 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
I will be out there tomorrow. Should be upstairs for a couple of races working on stuff, but will be down by midday to grab a beer and hang out.

sounds good.... We spent most of last Saturday at Lou's but will probably be outside tomorrow

dellinger63 05-09-2008 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brianwspencer
I will be out there tomorrow. Should be upstairs for a couple of races working on stuff, but will be down by midday to grab a beer and hang out.

Oh and Alisa says hi....

Scav 05-09-2008 12:34 PM

Today's changes
 
Arlington Park

Friday, May 9, 2008 10:00 AM Weather: 60* Mostly Sunny

Polytrack: Fast
Turf:

RACE 1

RACE 2

RACE 3
Scratch #1a (Poe) - Rebounded

RACE 5

RACE 6
Scratch #4 – Arizona Rose No Superfecta Wagers
Scratch #5 – B Blue

RACE 7
Scratch # 3 – Justasprinkle No Trifecta or Show wagers
Scratch # 6 – Photo Image

RACE 8

RACE 9
Scratch # 8 – Tatum Girl

RACE 10
Scratch #1a (Poe) – Beat the Breeze

dellinger63 05-09-2008 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Arlington Park

Friday, May 9, 2008 10:00 AM Weather: 60* Mostly Sunny

Polytrack: Fast
Turf:

RACE 1

RACE 2

RACE 3
Scratch #1a (Poe) - Rebounded

RACE 5

RACE 6
Scratch #4 – Arizona Rose No Superfecta Wagers
Scratch #5 – B Blue

RACE 7
Scratch # 3 – Justasprinkle No Trifecta or Show wagers
Scratch # 6 – Photo Image

RACE 8

RACE 9
Scratch # 8 – Tatum Girl

RACE 10
Scratch #1a (Poe) – Beat the Breeze


Cuts my late pic 4 from $54 to $27 :)

Just noticed on AP website Habersham handing out Mother's Day roses last year.

Scav 05-09-2008 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63
Cuts my late pic 4 from $54 to $27 :)

Just noticed on AP website Habersham handing out Mother's Day roses last year.

That is pretty classic, no facial for him though

Scav 05-09-2008 12:49 PM

BTW, up close and personal with Jessica Pacheco yesterday, grade = solid B

SentToStud 05-09-2008 12:51 PM

will make my first AP appearance of the year next Friday the 16th. Will keep an eye peeled for familiar faces.

Scav 05-09-2008 12:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
will make my first AP appearance of the year next Friday the 16th. Will keep an eye peeled for familiar faces.

Are you staying for the 17th?

dellinger63 05-09-2008 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
will make my first AP appearance of the year next Friday the 16th. Will keep an eye peeled for familiar faces.


OH OH
Barney and my B-Day w/e

SentToStud 05-09-2008 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Are you staying for the 17th?

Got a wedding to go to the 17th. Will just be out for a couple races around 3:00 Friday.

ArlJim78 05-09-2008 01:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SentToStud
will make my first AP appearance of the year next Friday the 16th. Will keep an eye peeled for familiar faces.

I might get away from work early next Friday, if so i'll give a look for you.

Scav 05-09-2008 01:44 PM

If it spits today they are pulling the turf races. They already have it labeled as soft....

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-09-2008 02:53 PM

play along thread.......:D

race 2

pp 2 bella charm

Scav 05-09-2008 02:55 PM

Early P4, doesn't count against my totals

2: 1,3
3: 2
4: 6,7
5: 1,2,4,7


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