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Scav's Sports Plays of the Weekend
Each weekend I will be pulling this thread up and posting Saturday and Sunday plays, and the occasional Thursday or Monday play. We will keep track via this thread. Will start with 500 units, 10% per unit wagered. Will be taking lines from Pinnacle Sports
Bankroll Start: 500 Units |
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Weekend of September 2nd
California (-2) at Tennessee
Usually not a huge fan of playing road favorites but Cal is getting some good pub from ESPN about National title hopes and Tennessee has been down the last couple of years. Not a game to go NUTS on. California (-2) for 30(+3) units Florida State (+3.5) at Miami-Florida (Monday Night) This game is always a dogfight and with the line at 3.5, I will take the off chance that either team will win the game by a FG, thus giving me a win. I also think FSU is loading up to possibly send Bobby out with a HUGE season Florida State (+3.5) for 50(+5) units Total Units used: 88 units New Bankroll: 412 units |
[quote=Scav]California (-2) at Tennessee
Usually not a huge fan of playing road favorites but Cal is getting some good pub from ESPN about National title hopes and Tennessee has been down the last couple of years. Not a game to go NUTS on. California (-2) for 30(+3) units Florida State (+3.5) at Miami-Florida (Monday Night) This game is always a dogfight and with the line at 3.5, I will take the off chance that either team will win the game by a FG, thus giving me a win. I also think FSU is loading up to possibly send Bobby out with a HUGE season I'm with you on FSU (going to the game). Can't see giving them up at Tenn. Good luck there. |
agree on FSU
not sold on TN |
my top 10 plays:
Ohio State to cover 17 on N. Illinios Penn St. to cover 17 on Akron UNC to cover 4 on Rutgers Tennessee and the 2 vs. CAL Southern Miss and the 21 vs. UF Miami, FL to cover 4 on FSU BYU and the 7 vs. Arizona USC to cover 8 on Arkansas Ga. Tech and the 6 vs. ND Oklahoma to cover 22 on UAB |
If u take GaTech and 6 against my IRISH you are crazy. ND rolls here no doubt, save your money and bet it all on the Irish and I guarentee you win!!
HERE COME THE IRISH!!!!! |
lock of the week is Rutgers +5 against GPK's Tarheels
Fager's upset special |
Just found out
that Cal was a TWO POINT DOG in this game 2 weeks ago....While I am not changing my units, I will be changing my real bet to three times what I was unloading...
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Notre Dame rolls, they will score on every posession. Wait until they bust out the new playbook Weis has installed, defensive coordinators will be calling the suicide hotline.
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Man was Vegas dangle the Cal game and the ND in front of everyone.....glad I only play ND in a small parlay with the Chicago Bears....
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I'll listen to you big city boys on some things, but ya'll betta listen to a southern boy when he's talkin' college football! |
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Here is the deal. This is NOT profootball. These are kids with very different talent levels. On defense if you have SPEED, DEPTH, and a good coach the goods are present. Lets quit trying to make college football into some chess match. Overanalyzing BS. The basics. Georgia Tech has speed, depth, and a good coach on defense. You can draw up all the plays you want, but if you dont block the other team because they are FAST, and can bring in fresh players, the X's and O's dont work. Cmon double reverses on the sandlot dont work if the other team decides to rush. Silliness. |
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ANd I was scared of the Tennessee game for one basic reason. Last year they would fold if one thing went wrong. They have talent, but no guts. And that is very much a reflection of the coaching staff. Playing at home, with 100,000 folks SEC football against the Pac-10 (no D put all your team speed on offense) is usually a take. But Tennessee... I saw this game and it just looked yummy but I thought if things went poorly to start, they would fold. Things went very, very well. Tennessee still has a lot to prove for me. This would be a bet against team for me based on their fundamental lack of grit. WE wait. |
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Well, the Cal game was a disappointment and I am actually pissed at myself for this wager because it was partially swayed by Lee Corso talked about them in the National Title game. I never listen to those guys and the line was fishy as it was, a bad play on my end. FSU, while giving me a heart attack, did come through for me and we end the weekend on a positive note, always a good thing Games I am looking at for this coming weekend are Virginia -9 at home against Wyoming, Oregon -5 at Fresno State and Notre Dame -7.5 at home against Penn State. NFL Games I am looking at are Bears -3.5 at Packers and Cincy +3 at Kansas City Weekend record: 1-1(+17 units) CFB Record: 1-1(+17 units) NFL Record: 0-0 Yearly Total: 1-1 New Bankroll: 517 units |
Weekend starting 9/7/06 until 9/11/06
CFB Record: 1-1(+17 units)
NFL Record: 0-0 Yearly Total: 1-1 Bankroll: 517 units We are going to start this weekend off with a play on Thursday night, and NO,it isn't the NFL. While I liked Miami when the line was +4, I am not a fan of it at +1, their is no give in that line and they basically have to win the friggin game. Not a fan of lines taking a road dog when the line is between 1 and 2.5, I like having that 3pt cushion if I am taking the points. Oregon State (+7.5) at Boise State While I do not know much about OSU, I do know that this is the 2nd year for coach Mike Reilly(of Charger fame) and I know they are returning alot of starters. I also know that they have a serious running game and can control a game like this. Oregon State (+7.5) for 40(+4) units Total units used: 44 New Bankroll: 473 units Will add Saturday CFB and Sunday NFL plays on Friday/Saturday morning |
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NFL Record: 0-0 Yearly Total: 1-2 Bankroll: 473 units The quoted game is the EXACT reason why sports betting with drive you nuts. OSU up 21.5 - 0 and then gives up 35 unanswered, and THEN starts playing some defense, absolutely brutal....BUT AS ALL of you know, I tend to keep on FIRING and will do so with some games this Saturday. Here we go South Carolina +3 at home against Georgia You have to believe that Spurrier has improved this program from last year and you have to believe that he has coached them in the preseason with this specific early game in mind. South Carolina +3 for 40(+4) units Notre Dame -7.5 at home against Penn State I love Notre Dame in this spot. They looked like crap last weekend and still won the game, and Penn State didn't look so hot and look vunerable against the pass. I doubt PSU will rush Quinn like GT did and I look for them to blow them out, possilby by 24 or more Notre Dame -7.5 for 50(+5) units Ohio State +2.5 at Texas Watching last years game I stated to a couple friends that Texas would beat USC in the title game. But I also remember HOW different of a team OSU was when Smith was put into the Texas game. Still a very hard game to play but I think OSU is worth a small wager OSU +2.5 for 20(+2) units Virginia -9 at home against Wyoming I am huge fan of playing games like this. Wyoming has to make a huge hike to the east coast, something they normally don't do. I expect Virginia to destory them. Virginia -9 for 100(+10) units NFL Sunday Two plays for NFL Sunday Bears -3 (-132) at Packers This line is actually 3.5 but I refuse to let Vegas f*ck me with a hook. I do expect the Bears to downright smoke them BUT you just don't know in the NFL and buying it down to 3 is more for peace of mind, and if the Bears offense continues to be someone sporatic Bears -3 for 100(+32) units NY Giants +3 at home against Indy I wanted to make this my game of the year as I absolutely think the Giants have a shot to go to the Super Bowl. I expect Indy to have a down year, but still get 11-12 wins, but not be as authoritive as they have been. NY Giants are up and coming and Indy has problems with bigger backs that can punish them, like Tiki Barber could Giants +3 for 100(+10) units Total units used:473 units New Bankroll: ZERO(gotta love it that the bankroll could be Zero after the weeks end, so comedy,I didn't realize this until i did the math) |
Scavs
enjoying reading your picks, somehow hit the under in last nights college game.
my TWO TEAM TEASER OF THE Week is PITT -1/2 and ND -1/2. |
scav - opinion
first of all good luck
PROS: I agree on the Bears I dis-agree on the Giants - Colts should roll in this game - Look for Dungy to get Addai in the mix - Giants LB's are weak against pass coverage Look for a 34 - 21 colt win College: Agree on Ohio St Penn St can score and the ND defense is probably still not that good - tread lightly - ND should win but I wouldn't lay 7 1/2 Could be a good spot for USC against GA - Spurrier may catch them early in the season No opinion on the VA/WY game |
Weekend Recap/Quick play for Thursday
Weekend record: 3-3 (-94 units)
CFB Record: 3-4 (-111 units) NFL Record: 1-1 (-10 units) Yearly Total: 4-5 New Bankroll: 379 units uneventful weekend as we lost close to 100 units. One of those weekends were I was hitting the wrong wagers and losing the 'right' wagers. The Virginia play was another play that, looking back on, was just plain dumb. I should have played OSU for more as I thought I had an advantage because of what I saw last year (when Smith entered the game). Hindsight is a bitch. Bears game was never a doubt and we almost eeked out a cover on the NY Giants game. New Orleans and Baltimore were also games that I let slip by as I liked them, just not enough to tout. I think Baltimore has a HUGE shot to make some noise in the NFC now that they finally have a QB. I already have one play in which I am going to tout, the line has changed already but I did get it in right when the line was put up. I am going to use what I have it at as I got the wager in West Virginia at home -14 (-107) against Maryland. WV -14 for 100 units (+7) More to come on the upcoming week, ALOT of tough games and alot of GREAT games this week Florida/Tenn Miami-Fl/Louisville ND/Michigan Clemson/FSU Units used: 107 New Bankroll: 272 |
Thursday Recap
Thursday: 1-0(+100 units)
CFB Record: 4-4 (-11 units) NFL Record: 1-1 (-10 units) Yearly Total: 5-5 New Bankroll: 479 units Got lucky and almost got backdoor pushed, people that got the line at 14 were going to be upset but not SMOKED like the people that had the line at 17, at least that freshman dropped the ball while going in down 21.. Saturday/Sunday picks to come Friday morning/afternoon |
Saturday/Sunday Plays
CFB Record: 4-4 (-11 units)
NFL Record: 1-1 (-10 units) Yearly Total: 5-5 New Bankroll: 479 units West Virginia got the bankroll back to where it needs to be last night and now we are looking to get into the black this weekend. I have 5 NCAA plays and 1 NFL parlay. Pittsburgh -2.5 at home against Michigan State Plain and simple, Michigan State plays Notre Dame next week on National TV, and I am guessing about 75% of the players will be dreaming about playing Notre Dame as Pittsburgh is destroying them. I am hoping that MSU is getting around 17-21pts next week as they would be a good play, becuase they have had spent so much time thinking about it. Pitt is no slouch either, but I question there offense and there hot head QB Pittsburgh -2.5 for 80(+8) units Florida -3.5 at Tennessee Tennesse has the all too common trap game last weekend when playing Air Force. Debut against a supposed National Title caliber team and destory them, and then play Florida two weeks later, with little ole Air Force inbetween. I am still not a believer in Tennessee and Florida has talent 3 deep, at almost all positions, at all times. Huge fan of Urban Meyer and I think he has got this team ready for this exact matchup, since the end of last year Florida -3.5 for 40(+4) units Notre Dame (-4.5) at home against Michigan Something has been fishy about this game from the start. Sunday pre and post Bears game we usually talk about opening lines for Saturday games, see who is right about lines and such. I thought this game would open at 5-6 points, I logged onto Pinnacle and saw 8.5 and was like "Huh, makes no sense whatsoever". People obviously pounded this line down to where it should be. I think Notre Dame is a TD better then Michigan, and having Weis is a huge plus. I think he has taught these kids about one play at a time, one game at a time because Penn State could have EASILY been a Tennesseee/Air Force type game because while Florida/Tenn is HUGE...Notre Dame/Michigan is a real close second in terms of rivarly. While close through and a most likely competitve game, still think ND wins by 10 Notre Dame -4.5 for 50(+5) units Miami-Florida +4 at Louisville Since when does Miami play the underdog role...I don't care who you are, Miami should always be respected, even though it looks like they are recruiting high character kids now and throwing down some discipline, don't care about that crap, all I care about is that this team might be FASTER then Louisville, and I fully expect Miami to win this game. I refuse to believe that Louisville will beat a top caliber team like Miami...Not going nuts because I don't want to be the guy saying "Louisville is legit" but I think Miami is a STRONG play The "U" +4 for 50(+5) units ASU (-11) at Colorado I want to go all-in on this game as I think ASU will win by 35. ASU is the type of team that doesn't quit, I absolultely love there coach. I have watched games where they were up 28 with 7 to go and they are throwing 30 yard out routes. Give me a team like this every day of the week and 8 times on Sunday. Colorado is brutal, they could probably get 11 girls like that one girl that kicked for them a couple years and beat the team they have now ASU-11 for 70(+7) units NFL Sunday A trap week in my opinion as so many people are watching/betting the NFL and they still don't understand that teams have off weeks. Look at Tampa for example, they are getting 5.5 this week and this team is suppose to contend for the Super Bowl, all because they played like crap Week 1.. We are going to play a 50 unit 2 team parlay (13/5 odds) New Orleans -2 / NY Giants + 3 to pay 180 units New Orleans is facing GB this week and here is what I know. GB is going to struggle to win 3 games this year, they are absolutely brutal. West Virginia would beat GB by 21 if the game was at West Virginia The Giants/Eagles line is out of whack, should be the other way around. Eagles beat up on the comedy Texas with the great Mario Williams(can you say, "Um no") Both of the above teams are good straight plays as well Total Units Used: 369 units New Bankroll: 110 units |
Have Micheel and Monty both winning their semi finals+ Notre Dame(-5)+ Arizona State(-11)+Missouri(-14)+Chicago,or A's to win World Series
pays 329/1(chc) or 253/1(A's) Then(in case Monty loses his match)have Micheel to win the Matchplay final+ Notre Dame(-5)+ Arizona State(-11)+Missouri(-14)+Chicago,A's to win World Series pays 361/1(chc), or 277/1(A's) Hopefully can win both bets(Micheel beats Monty in Finals.) Please note:Meant to use Twinks,but accidentally doubled up with Chicago(could be subconcious taking over...saying "CONTRERAS IS A WITCH, YOU FOOL") |
Weekend Recap
CFB Record: 5-9 (-183 units)
NFL Record: 2-1 (+120 units) Yearly Total: 7-10 New Bankroll: 437 units Its breaktime till at least Sunday, completely toasted mentally from betting sports, in alot of ways, it is worse then horse racing |
Bankroll Buster Tonight
Alright, F*ck being mentally drained from this crap, I am MENTALLY STRONG....
I was able to get Jacksonville tonight +2.5 +100 SO Jacksonville +2.5 for 137 units (+100) Units used: 137 New bankroll: 300 units |
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CFB Record: 5-9 (-183 units) NFL Record: 3-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 8-10 New Bankroll: 574 units |
Weekend of September 22nd
CFB Record: 5-9 (-183 units)
NFL Record: 3-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 8-10 New Bankroll: 574 units It is always good when you show a yearly record for 8-10 but are showing a profit of 74 units. It means that you are making the right decisions. You are going to lose betting sports but it is kinda like the addage in poker that it is important to get your money in when you have the best hand and play cautious when you are not sure or someone is unreadable. We are going to play cautious this weekend , especially in the NFL. NC State +7 at home against Boston College I consider Boston College the Perfect Drift of NCAA Football this year. After watching this team multiple times, I get the feeling that every game they play will be close. I do not know much about NC State but I know that BC likes to hang NC State +7 for 40(+4) units Notre Dame -3 at Michigan State I look for a well coached Notre Dame team to rebound and absolutley destroy Michigan State. Michigan State couldn't have played any better last week and last week's performance(from both teams) enhanced this line for us. Notre Dame -3 for 100(+10) units Arizona State +8 at California Cal pissed me off 1st week of the season but there is no way this line should be 8. ASU is a good team with lots of firepower and while looked questionable last week, it was becuase they were looking forward to this game against a piss poor Colorado team. ASU +8 for 50(+5) units UCLA -3 at Washington This is a program game for me. Washington sucks as football and UCLA generally has some atheletes. If Brandon Roy was playing for Washington, I would consider playing Wash. UCLA -3 for 20(+2) units NFL Sunday Bears -3 at Minnesota Minnesota has no offense, point blank, and Darrin Sharper has been talking about how good their defense is, yadda yadda. We shut Sharper up when he was in GB and we will shut him up now. Minnesota doesn't win that game last week this line is 5-6 points so thank you Minnesota for the easy cash I am going to get with the Bears -3. Onward and upward Bears -3 for 100(+10) units Total Units used: 341 units New Bankroll: 233 units |
Scavs,ya really play your own team? No way you can be objective about them.
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Weekend Results
CFB Record: 6-11-1 (-220 units)
NFL Record: 2-1-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 8-12-2 New Bankroll: 537 units Well, can't hit a college game to save my life and got away with TWO crazy games that looked hopefully and ended up with pushs, can't ask for much more. |
Weekend of 9/29/06
CFB Record: 6-11-1 (-220 units)
NFL Record: 2-1-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 8-12-2 New Bankroll: 537 units Alright, we need to get the ball moving North instead of South on the NCAA, I am usually a better NCAA capper then NFL but this year has been the opposite. I am going to blame the new NCAA rules, because I can. NCAA Games Rutgers (-4) at South Florida This could VERY EASILY be a letdown game for Rutgers who this week was ranked in the top 25 for the first time since Nixon got booted. This is the same team that was 0 for comedy two years ago and hopefully Rutgers coach reminds them of that and how it feels to lose. Rutgers (-4) for 40(+4) units California (-9) at Oregon State Cal owes me from the ridiculous performance at Tennessee so we are going to come back to them (the cardinale no-no in gambling but what the hell). The only way I get screwed is if Oregon State decides to play JUST A LITTLE defense, which they haven't done all year. I look for Cal to win this game big because last week, they look ULTRA impressive. California (-9) for 100(+10) units Michigan (-9.5) at Minnesota Gonna trick you guys here and PLAY Minnesota. This line opened at Michigan being favored by 4.5 and I am guessing that is alot of Michigan fair weather fan money. Road Big Ten cames are always hard and I can see Michigan having to duke it out until the end, I might be wrong but Michigan hasn't impressed me THAT much. Minnesota (+9.5) for 100(+10) units Haven't found anything in the NFL but I am sure the trigger will be pulled on something. I kinda like San Fran this week and also targeting Indy, not sure yet though Total Units Used: 264 units New Bankroll: 273 units |
Weekend Results
CFB Record: 7-12-1 (-274 units)
NFL Record: 2-1-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 9-14-2 New Bankroll: 483 units In the red again so hopefully we get back to where we need to be and double/triple this roll. Not too many games played last week but a couple of missed opportunities in the NFL on the Bears and Philly.... |
Weekend of 10/14
CFB Record: 7-12-1 (-274 units)
NFL Record: 2-1-1 (+257 units) Yearly Total: 9-14-2 Bankroll: 483 units Well, we missed last weekend and we are probably better for it, but there are a couple games that we like this weekend. All road teams so we are either going to have a monster day or get smoked, taking some risk with all road teams Missouri (-1.5) at A&M Missouri (-1.5) for 70(+7) units Cal (-8) at WSU Cal(-8) for 100(+10) units Michigan (-5) at PSU Michigan (-5) for 100(+10) units SIU(+2) at ISU (thank you Pinnacle for finally having a line on Division 1AA) SIU(+2) for 100(+10) units Units used: 407 units New Bankroll: 76 units |
Sunday wagers
Cincy -4.5 at Tampa
Cincy -4.5 for 200(+20) units |
Weekend Results
CFB Record: 9-14-1 (-261 units)
NFL Record: 2-2-1 (+37 units) Yearly Total: 11-16-2 Bankroll: 276 units |
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