7/26: Saratoga (Day 4-Whitney)
 

Friday proved to be a memorable day as post-scratch revision of early P4 yielded a $4,300 result on $96 play thanks to Mr. Jerkens' So Glitzy ($38) in the 3rd. This was a fortuitous score as it does not come off without the departure of One Caroline from the race which left it wide open in my opinion. Rest of the fun twilight afternoon was OK in spots too, and ended the day well keying runner-up Sweet Bama Breeze ("Best Value") in the nightcap. Hope you did well...

Plenty to get you involved at the windows with Whitney Day the feature of today's 'BC Challenge' racing, a $500,000+ C/O at Del Mar, and the Sixty Minute Six looking like a fun and worthwhile series...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Rollers 9-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Borrowing Limit 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Brendan's Warrior 20-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Benny the Waiter 7-2 WON


2nd: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Another 'little to go on' Maiden affair.. Some top connected babies here including Great Crusade, a DWL-trained son of the nice Victory U.S.A. by Awesome Again..

Most Likely: #1e Mott-Live Oak entry 3-1 6th
Best Value: #8 Masked Man 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Munnings 2-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Great Crusade 6-1 8th


3rd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

ML fave (Certifiably Royal) not remotely better than several here at far better prices..

Most Likely: #1 Oceanography 5-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Uncle Indy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Baronial 9-2 WON
Exotics Add: #6 Certifiably Royal 3-1 3rd


4th: OC/C, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 FULL CHARGE 8-1 7th
Most Likely: #7 August Rex 7-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Unbridled's Heart 2-1 2nd
Exotics Add: #1a (POE) Acai 6-1 WON


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Top pair look to be slightly better to me than the rest here, but MANY at 10-1+ have potential top juice the exotics at the least.. Fun betting affair..

Most Likely: #8 Stepaside 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Cardinal Hill 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Minot Light 8-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Striking Rizzi 15-1 11th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-3-4-8
3: 1-3-4
4: 3-5-7
5: 5-8

4x3x3x2 = $72


Sixty Minute P6

A SARATOGA 6 3:39
B MONMOUTH PARK 7 3:50
C DELAWARE PARK 8 3:56
D PHILADELPHIA PARK 9 4:01
E SARATOGA 7 4:12
F DELAWARE PARK 9 4:21


6th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Sixty Min. 6, P6, P3, DD, Super)

Rare 14 horse field and impossible way to start SAR and 60 Min. P6's..

Most Likely: #6 White Tie 4-1 11th
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #2 Tiz It 9-2 2nd
Super Adds: #14 Hi Daddy 12-1 4th


B MONMOUTH PARK 7 3:50

3-4-8


C DELAWARE PARK 8 3:56

7-2-11


D PHILADELPHIA PARK 9 4:01

8-9-3-4-6


7th: 70th Diana (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super)

Best Value: #1 Bit of Whimsey 12-1 9th
Most Likely: #6 Criminologist 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Dynaforce 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Forever Together 15-1 WON


F DELAWARE PARK 9 4:21

2-4-5-8


60 Min. P6 Play:

A: 6-9
B: 3-4-8
C: 2-7-11
D: 8
E. 1-2
F: 2-4-5-8

2x3x3x1x2x4 = $144


8th: 24th Vanderbilt H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Busin' Stones SCR'd..

Most Likely: #5 Abraaj 3-1 WON
Best Value: #1 Thor's Echo 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 First Defense 4-1 2nd


9th: 55th Go for Wand (Gr. I), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Ginger Punch 1-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Copper State 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Moon Catcher 5-1 4th


10th: 81st Whitney H. (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Fascinating version of this Spa standard and too many good prices to accept any in the assortment of vulnerable ML top choices..

Most Likely: #7 Rising Moon 10-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Tasteyville 12-1 10th
Next Best: #8 Grasshopper 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Student Council 6-1 2nd


<$75 All Stakes P4 Play:

7: 1-6
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 1-4
10: 1-5-6-7-8

2x4x2x5 = $80


11th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #1 Shaami 4-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Ya Think 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Friday Meeting 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Body Blows 20-1 8th


Good luck!
Steve

Congratulations!! Steve!! Awesome job of handicapping and structuring your PK-4 ticket Fri. It was great listening to you on ATRAB (as always) yesterday and hearing the extra enthusiasm you brought to the show. Of course a PK-4 of any amount would put a little extra "pride in your stride". ..never mind a $ 4,500+ one! I was very happy for you. It couldn't happen to a more deserving guy for what you bring to the table here and on the show,and the hours you put in and the love you have for the game. As a novice in the game,and needing all the help I can get....your value plays and others have helped me more than a few times in putting together an exacta box. Keep up the good work and slam a few more of those sweet PK-4 tix!! Best of luck today..."Hit'm Hard..! "

J. T.

way to go Steve, keep it up my friend. I wish I would have checked back with you after the scratches. I will be following again today so lets hit em again. look forward to seeing you and saying hi at the spa soon. coming up from fla after 08-20. save me some Q

Anything near the 8-1 ML on Cardinal Hill in the 5th is a gift...IMO

thanks from a new member
 

hey steve, new member here and i just want to say thanks for all of your help. you pick an amazing amount of winners on a small bankroll and guys like me that can only bet a couple hundred a week really appreciate the insight. I listen on sirius every chance i get. I missed the nice pick 4 yesterday by not checking back later in the day for the post scratch changes - lesson learned :)

thanks again for all your efforts on this and the promotion of the sport!

post scratches
 

steve i must ask
do you put the post scratch picks on the derby trial web sight?if so i must miss them all the time
if you dont i assume you do it on your show?let me know id appreaite it

Agree...will play with the 1,8 in exacta

good luck!

Cooly, Gee, ibet...

Thanks so much for the exceedingly kind words. It's a pleasure for me to provide whatever it is I'm providing to so many fellow racegoers...

Good luck today!
Steve

Were changed on the thread about an hour after the changes were announced. (As today's have been...) Best I can do...

Nice ride by Coa in the 1st...Ramon get's the old tube-of-toothpaste....

When the stewards continue to allow horses to drift in and shut off the rail for a horse that's making a winning move, the jockeys on these horses have one of two options:

1) get bent over like a bitch --- the way Dominguez did today and on Good Request, when Castellano did essentially the same thing to him

2) bull their way through, possibly taking down the herding horse, and do the steward's job for them

Gotta give Coa credit however; he refuses to get bent over yesterday by Johnny V, bulling his way through with My Princess Jess, and bends Ramon over today.

i mean come on, who isn't a fan of Sean Avery?

R2) PK4

23
1236
57
358 11

gl all

-bt-

Pick 4

2 - 1,3
3 - 3,6,8
4 - 2,5
5 - 3,5,11,12

GL

he does have b@lls - for sure.....

I know he was coming out of a MSW, but I was shocked Dutrow/Prado got off at 12-1. The way this guy turns them around once he starts feed him that hay and oates...sick.

Is the 5 here in the 6th related to Indian Vale? Same breeding or close right?

SELF EDIT: Yes full to Indian Vale.

...and the 13 is half to Pine Island....

Wow, this very nice maiden race just fell apart.

Joppa Flat's now 1 for 21......

tiz it just can never seem to fine the wire..... that horse has tough luck


AWSOME, Hammer'n Hank just mushed Dynaforce..... my tickets are being tore up as i type


-bt-

I find the Whitney a skull-buster, so I can't play the Pick 4.

Pick 3
2,4,10
2,3,7
1