Can Wanderin Boy steal the Woodward?
 

9th (5:13) Forego S. (G1)

7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $250,000

2 First Defence Hill C 119 L
1 Forefathers Prado E S 117 L
3 Eternal Star Velazquez J R 117 L
4 Bold Start Albarado R J 117 L
1A Ferocious Fires Velasquez C 117 L
5 Premium Wine Leparoux J R 117 L
6 Real Estate Coa E M 117 L
7 Lucky Island (ARG) Garcia Alan 121 L
8 Greeley's Conquest Chavez J F 117 L
9 Tasteyville Luzzi M J 117 L

A-Coupled: Forefathers and Premium Wine



10th (5:45) Woodward S. (G1)

1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000

1 A. P. Arrow Velasquez C 126 Blk-Off L
2 Loose Leaf Coa E M 126 L
3 Past the Point Prado E S 126 L
4 Divine Park Garcia Alan 126 L
5 Curlin Albarado R J 126 L
6 Dr. D. F. C. Arboleda A 126 L
7 Out of Control (BRZ) Velazquez J R 126 L
8 Wanderin Boy Leparoux J R 126 L



Zero speed in the Woodward aside from Wanderin Boy. Can Wanderin Boy steal it? I think he's extremely likely to run top two and if Curlin has some bad luck could steal it.

I asked Andy the same question earlier this week, and though I'm not sure if it's likely, it's definitely possible. How interesting would this race be if Commentator were entered?

Assuming he was entered instead of Wanderin Boy it would be extremely interesting. If Zito entered both then he'd be a moron. I think the 8 horse field really works in Wanderin Boy's favor. It increases the chance of Curlin getting a rough trip and increases the likelihood that Wanderin Boy gets forgotten on the lead.

Entries for the Woodward Stakes
 

Entries for the Woodward Stakes


The field for the Woodward Stakes (G1), in post position order, with trainer, jockey, and morning-line odds:

1. A.P. Arrow, Todd Pletcher, Cornelio Velasquez, 20-1;

2. Loose Leaf, Ken McPeek, Eibar Coa, 15-1;

3. Past the Point, Eoin Harty, Edgar Prado, 15-1;

4. Divine Park, Kiaran McLaughlin, Alan Garcia, 3-1;

5. Curlin, Steve Asmussen, Robby Albarado, 3-5;

6. Dr. D.F.C., Rodrigo Ubillo, Aldo Arboleda, 50-1;

7. Out of Control, Bobby Frankel, John Velazquez, 12-1; and

8. Wanderin Boy, Nick Zito, Julien Leparoux, 8-1.

That's what I mean, Commentator instead of Wanderin Boy.

Thing is Commentator would be bet. Wanderin Boy might actually go off at a price. So as a fan I'd love to see Commentator in this field, as a bettor I'm liking Wanderin Boy here.

Yeah, I just don't know if he's good enough, but we'll see.

Screw Curlin, I'm excited to see my boy DFC!

Wouldn't be the first time I've lost money being convinced that Wanderin Boy can steal a race ('06 JCGC). At least this time it's only 9 furlongs. I'll back it up with Curlin/Wanderin Boy/whoever tris if the price is right on Wanderin Boy.

I think you guys might be confusing this year's Wanderin Boy with the horse from the last couple years.

His comeback race was in the slop and then his allowance earlier in the Saratoga meet was impressive. He was never that good to begin with and I don't see much to make me believe he is any different this year than he has been.

Dr. D.F.C ..... uh huh :rolleyes:

glad to see Curlin has some workout partners, didn't think this field was gonna be over 5

-bt-

Ass horses don't seem to be running insane lately, so I wouldn't expect Curlin to run like he's juiced out of his mind.

Then again, I'm not sure it matters.

I think Loose Leaf is more deserving of a key to the city than Curlin is, at least based on his resume here. What has Curlin ever done here to deserve a key? He has no ties to here. Give Loose Leaf the key.

no PP's in front of me, but in a field like this, wouldn't you consider Divine Park also as part of the speed equation?

The Wanderin Boy of 2006 could wire this field and it wouldnt be much of a surprise. But the current version of Wanderin Boy? That would be a surprise. Divine Park and Loose Leaf will be tought to stop in the stretch.

Odds on Out of Control scratching?

If I am not mistaken Loose Leaf ran a great race a couple weeks ago at Toga winning at decent odds against some decent company. The ole line "Horse For The Course" logic may be in place and work? I gotta grab the form tomorrow and maybe make a play at lunch from work on Saturday when I see a ML at 15-1 on a good horse.

Pace scenario is very evident based on the entries, and as said if Curlin sees a bit of trouble..............

I can't see Divine Park pressing Wanderin Boy early, he's going to be more converned with where Curlin is. Past the Point seems more likely to be second early and he doesn't have the speed to push Wanderin Boy without destroying the slim chances he has.

Loose Leaf is a nice horse and loves it up here. I think he deserves a key to the city.