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-   -   10/31: Keeneland (7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=32539)

Kasept 10-31-2009 06:07 AM

10/31: Keeneland (7th-10th)
 
Not a particularly great day at Keeneland Friday, partially tripped by Kickin N Screamin tiring in the last 100 yards of the 2nd to wind up 5th when third looked a certainty. Did catch a healthy $357.90 triple in the 3rd though and a $140 P3 between that race and the 5th, so the day wasn't a fiasco.

Hope you did OK as we head to the last day of this fun three week session. I think it's been a largely successful meet at Keeneland for me, as this has never been a place where I do well historically. Note that Santa Anita ($74k), Aqueduct ($51k), Golden Gate ($14k) and Keeneland ($10k) all have carryovers today, with Keeneland needing to make a mandatory payout.

Head to Los Angeles this afternoon to start coverage of the Breeders' Cup. Look forward to a great week of informative guests as I try to help decipher this year's 2 days of action. Hope you'll tune in!


KEENELAND - CLOSING DAY


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Curious money ALW/OC with some logicals yet to either prove ability on synthetic main tracks or show any recency on them.. May open the door for a less talented but surface-acclimated candidate.. Tend at least has been training at KEE and has a win here..

Most Likely: #1 Tend 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 Goldzar 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Knights Cross 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #6 SCR


8th: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Project Rose 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Cherokee Queen 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Super Add: #6 Exotic Bloom 12-1 3rd


9th: 51st Fayette (G2), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Parading 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Jade's Revenge 20-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Blame 9-5 WON
Super Add: #1 Public Speaker 10-1 4th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #6 Parioli's Trick 12-1 7th
Most Likely: #4 SCR
Next Best: #2 Connections 4-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1a City Number 5-1 2nd
High 5 Play: #10 Zoran 5-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

Appropriately tough sequence to wrap up the fall meet!

7: 1-3-4-6/SCR-7-9
8: 1/SCR-3-5-6
9: 2-3
10: 2-4/SCR-6

5x3x2x1 = 90 x .50 = $45


Good luck!
Steve


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