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5/5: Belmont Park (4th-9th)
Full Derby-Oaks Weekend recap tomorrow with the $970k Churchill carryover, but in the meantime, good old weekday action resumes with the sextet at Belmont... Hope everyone enjoyed the weekend and profitted from the insights the ATR lineup tried to provide here and on ATR. More tomorrow.
As mentioned on ATR yesterday, Rich Migliore underwent successful surgery Tuesday. Here is a post box address if you wish to send a card or note to Mig. He'll really appreciate it... Richard Migliore 2517 Rt. 44, #11 #253 Salt Point, NY 12578 BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD) 7-2 on Mystic City is a terrific price. She is a lot closer to the 6-5 favorite than that... Best Value: #7 Mystic City 7-2 2nd Most Likely: #1 (POE) In Te Domine 6-5 WON Next Best: #4 Considerate 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Fiona Storm 8-1 6th 5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S. P3, DD, Super) With Rice second choice a very likely winner and several price horses ideal for exotics fun, playing against Zito fave #6 Taza (5-2).. Most Likely: #8 MISS HANKY PANKY 3-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Emotional 10-1 6th Exotics Use #6 Taza 5-2 WON Super Add: #5 Amelia the Cat 8-1 4th 6th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Hangingbyathread is always solid, but if Believeinmenow has anything left, and Bond does very well bring horses back off long breaks, he looms the horse to beat.. Most Likely: #9 Hangingbyathread 2-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Believeinmenow 5-2 2nd Best Value: #5 Old Man Buck 8-1 5th Super Add: #2 Xela 5-1 WON 7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Challenging group of maiden turf dashers with a number of 'must includes' and a couple of 'could surprise' types; Excluding #4 Colour the Wind (4-1) within race due to pretentious spelling, but will consider for multi's.. Best Value: #10 Emma Song 6-1 6th Most Likely: #6 Nefertiti 5-1 5th Next Best: #5 Stormy Dixie 8-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Straight Tiara 12-1 8th 8th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Salt Water Reign 5-1 6th Next Best: #2 Motor City Mama 7-2 WON Best Value: #3 Sorority Sister 6-1 7th Super Add: #1 Bailzee 3-1 3rd 9th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super) Very difficult group to decipher.. Most Likely: #7 Diamond Dina 5-2 WON Best Value: #2 Storm Gal 10-1 Next Best: #6 Higher Incentive 5-1 3rd Super Add: #9 Silvercup Baby 8-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 6: 1-9 7: 6-10 8: 2-3-5 9: 2-3-6-7-9-10 2x2x3x6 = $72 Good luck! Steve |
Steve,
I'm surprised you are leaving Bailzee out of your P4. Good Luck, KP |
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I think she needs to improve yet to beat the top pair and is an underlay at 3-1. As much as I love Pat Kelly, I's rather include Sorority as a sequence price booster with an upset chance than Bailzee. Good luck! See you Saturday? On top of our likely running Lloyd, my body Jim Ortiz is having a 55th birthday party at the top of the stretch picnic area! Should be a great day... SB |
I will be at Belmont Sat. I'll stop by and say hello. KP
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
5TH 4 Florida Girl Early 6TH 4 Medjool Early 7TH 1A Obey the Rules Early 8 Grecian Maiden Early |
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Nice ride Jackie. :zz:
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Insane early $$$$ on the entry in Race #4. Assures a nice overlay on Mystic City. All pools currently neg with 13 MTP. Seems like a clever opportunity in this big field to play BIG against.
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10:1 on the 7 / 1 exacta is a fair bet here.
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Considering a giant WPS bet here on the #7. This DEFINES the word value!
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Dominguez is just too ****in' good.
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In Te Domine is a serious filly. Makes one wonder how Ramon took three tries to get her to the winner's circle.
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late pick 4
1,2,9 with 2,3,6,10 with 1,8 with 2,6,9 |
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NT |
That's one of those situations I still can't quite figure out how to play: horse is too short to bet to win and I can't settle on a 2nd horse.
That was a duck out. |
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will try to salvage with the late double $10 8 over 2,6,9 9th race $40 win 9 |
I could be wrong but it appeared that Bailzee went the entire race lefty. Of course, Espinoza did beat her up in the stretch, so what appears to be a really bad ride was actually a good one. :rolleyes:
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