Derby Trail Forums - 6/19: Belmont ($32k C/O); Colonial (Stakes P4)

BELMONT PARK

4th: NY-CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 SCR
Best Value: #9 Mind Boggling 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Le Bonne Vie 5-2 WON ($3.10)
Super Add: #10 Living for This 5-1 3rd

5th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$32k P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #3 Mr. Bourbon Street 4-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Well Meant 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Coach Gravy 3-1 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #4 SCR

6th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Out of the blue, a simply remarkable assembly of sophomore (except Hoopoe) talent that has mostly been late getting to the races. It is not unreasonable to suppose that by the end of next year, every 3yo in this field today will have become a stakes winner of some kind, and of course Aikenite is already Gr. I placed. Some notes... Cocalero has been transfered from Darley maroon to Godolphin blue; Pat Kelly could have run Shrewd One in tomorrow's NYB Mike Lee, and I'm not sure why he didn't; Global Force spiked a slight fever Friday morning and may have to scratch..

Best Value: #7 Cocalero 5-1 5th
Most Likely: #2e Pletcher entry 2-1 WON-Aikenite/3rd-Winaholic ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #1a (POE) Khalifa 8-1 4th (3rd for wagering purposes)
Super Add: #6 Shrewd One 5-1 2nd

7th: NY-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 La Belle Gabrielle 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Eliza Grace 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Hed Deputy 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 SCR

8th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

A simply impossible group to seperate. May decide many a fate in P6 plays..

Most Likely: #9 Bretton Woods 7-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Holy Moly 9-2 10th
Next Best: #8 Katy's Office Girl 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 Maya Charli 6-1 WON ($16.00)

9th: 67th New York (G2), F&M-3+, 10f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Daveron 7-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Ave 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Gozzip Girl 4-1 DNF-Lost rider
Super Add: #6 Lady Shakespeare 5-2 WON

10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #6 Sundae's a Meese 7-2
Best Value: #7 Disarming 6-1
Next Best: #3 Officer Flirt 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Angel Wave 4-1 WON

<$200 P6 Play:

5: 3-9
6: 1-2-7
7: 5
8: 3-9
9: 1-5-6-7
10: 6-7

2x3x1x2x4x2 = 96 x $2 = $192

<$50 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-8
8: 3-9
9: 1-5-6-7
10: 6-7

3x2x4x2 = $48

COLONIAL DOWNS

PRE-SCRATCHES

7th: S/HCP, 3+, 9.75f-T (P4, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Kurbat 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Second Fiddle 6-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Rockin' Joe 9-2 WON ($6.80)
Super Add: #9 Drivingmaxandmitzi 3-1 2nd

8th: Buckland, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #12 Lady Rizzi 7-2 WON ($10.60)
Best Value: #9 Kosmo's Buddy 12-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Libor Lady 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Suzzona 4-1 6th

9th: All Along (G3), F&M-3+, 9f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Shared Account 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #1 Dynaslew 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Tizaqueena 2-1 3rd-DH
Super Add: #8 Casablanca Smile 6-1 3rd-DH

$2 Exacta (5-1) Paid $23.80
$1 Trifecta (5-1-4) Paid $15.50
$1 Trifecta (5-1-8) Paid $24.50
$1 Superfecta (5-1-4-8) Paid $44.10
$1 Superfecta (5-1-8-4) Paid $50.10

10th: Colonial Turf Cup (G2), 3yo, 9.75f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #5 Doubles Partner 5-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Paddy O'Prado 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #6 Dean's Kitten 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Workin for Hops 9-2 2nd

@$75 P4 Play:

Super treacherous sequence, and with the possible prices elsewhere, I'll stand with Linda Rice in the overflow turf sprint as a way to make the play affordable..

7: 1-2-4-9
8: 12
9: 1-4-5-8
10: 1-2-4-5-6

4x1x4x5 = $80 $1 P4 (2-12-5/6-1) Paid $288.10

Good luck!
Steve