11/19: Aqueduct ($52k C/O); Churchill ($31k C/O)
 

Enjoyed Thursday afternoon Cali action, and went live to Hollywood nightcap with 2 horses for conso and 3 for OK P4's, but ran 2nd, 3rd and 12th to come up agonizingly empty. Caught some modest exotics and a couple of P3's as sequence was generally formful. Poison Kiss, a 5-1 David Hofmans firster Brad Free warned ATR listeners about, won the finale helping produce a healthy $38k P6 payout. Aqueduct and Churchill offer P6 opportunities today though, and as a reminder, Churchill's card starts at 4:30 with the sequence opener tripping at 7:00 ET. Hope you did OK yesterday and are looking forward to a fun weekend that includes the $1,000,000 Delta Jackpot Saturday which will be available on SiriusXM with Dave Johnson and Bill Finley doing the hosting from New York.

ATR Friday featured Bruce Levine, Rick Violette, Graham Motion, David Ingordo, Rick Hammerle and handicapping with Gus and Nick. Catch stream, archive or podcast at the website...


AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$52.4k P6 carryover starts here..

Get the feeling Castellano gets in front on the favorite and doesn't look back; Viable as a single for the sextet..

Most Likely: #8 Alwaysinmydreams 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Sky Fever 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Refinery Fire 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Donna's Sandee 15-1 6th


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Entertaining betting race but no bargain for the P6. Starting with solid Benzel favorite, affair mighty wide open..

Most Likely: #4 Cookram Rock 3-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Rigby 12-1 9th
Next Best: #9 Brad's My Hero 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 Bold Vindication 15-1 7th


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

SCR #8 Judicial Leader who ran 2nd in the AQU 7th Thursday..

Most Likely: #3 Jersey Shore Girl 5-2 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #2 Wall of Worry 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Jacky Juice 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Money's Sweet 6-1 5th


7th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Note that #5 Pegasus Ena is entered for 11/21 (AQU 8) and could SCR from here..

Most Likely: #8 High Stakes Player 8-1 6th
Best Value: #9 Late SCR
Next Best: #3 Sun Dance Moon 4-1 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #4 Hillswick 5-1 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 2yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Racing office could easily have thrown $2k more into this pot and slapped a name on it as a nice little overnight stake. These fillies will help comprise what looks like a dynamite group of Class of '11 lawn lassies..

Most Likely: #4 Lucky Strikes Gold 7-2 8th
Next Best: #6 Excited 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Speedy's Gal 12-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Upper East Sider 8-1 WON ($22.60)


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super)

Like yesterday's bottom level MDN CLM finale at Hollywood, this is not an ideal way to end a carryover sequence. A bad bunch of coconuts..

Most Likely: #1 My Honey Laurie 3-1 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #2 Princess Sucree 5-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Charmed 5-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Soda Kaps 8-1 2nd


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 8
5: 4-8-9
6: 2-3
7: 3-8-9
8: 4-6
9: 1-2

1x3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3
7: 3-4-8-9
8: 4-6
9: 1-2-5

2x4x2x3 = $48



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, F&M-3+. 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$31.4k P6 carryover starts here..

Best Value: #5 Sweetbriar Academy 6-1 9th
Next Best: #8 R Vicarious Girl 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Bizzee Mizzee 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Super Add: #2 Winner's Get Even 10-1 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Charlies Swell 3-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Special Tree 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Fusa Code 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Casper's Touch 4-1 WON ($13.60)


8th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Laughter's Joy 6-1 7th
Next Best: #12 Canadian Storm 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 It Takes Two 8-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Wildcat Dreamer 4-1 8th


9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Utterly wide open..

Best Value: #1 Torcello 15-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Valerius 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Internalaccounting 10-1 8th
Super Add: #11 Amun Re 15-1 3rd


10th: OC/N3X, 3+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Ordination 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Quite a Handful 8-1 7th
Next Best: #9 Unbridle's Dream 5-1 8th
Super Add: #1a Forestry Type 10-1 4th


11th: CLM, 3+, 9f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Knob Creek 4-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Big Flirt 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Itsallboutthechase 3-1 8th
Super Add: #11 Shot Gun Cliff 10-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #14 Jolly Ol' Nick 12-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

6: 1-5-8
7: 5
8: 7-12
9: 1-3-6-11
10: 4
11: 1-4-8

3x1x2x4x1x3 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 6-7-12
9: 1-3-6-11
10: 2-4-9
11: 1-4-8-11

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Couldn't you have waited until after you cut me off today?



You just stole my Play O' the Day.

Knocked out of the P4 for leaving Pat Kelly off, but can't be unhappy as I'm always pleased for him when he wins!

Leaving for Montreal.. Catch up tomorrow morning. G/L to everybody with the night action!