Derby Trail Forums - 3/20: Santa Anita (3rd-9th)

Rather magical afternoon Saturday as nearly every ticket-building decision at Aqueduct and Gulfstream went 'right'. Carryover P6 play at the Big A hinged on single of Tocco d'Oro in the 4th leg 8th race, and he held off the oncoming Fortitude to give the play a good chance of success. Payoff of $12,231, plus another $912 in consolations, is the kind of return you need as often as they can be authored to reward your interest and effort in working at horseplay. The ticket was lucrative thanks to the opening leg's $15.20 winner Tapped Out Bruno. The next longest number came from 9-2 Ground Force ($11.80) in the NY-MSW 7th.

Simultaneously, the day was tracking favorably at Gulfstream, where the late quad delivered a very nice $1,063 on the $1 suggestion that cost $60. There, the single of stunning Hilda's Passion was a free square, and it allowed for a 3x4x1x5 structure which netted $13.40 Lucas Brady and $15.20 Lose None in the 8th and 9th. Leaving Lose None off the P5 ticket cost the casher there, but at least 4 of 5 consos ($35) came close to offsetting the $45 investment.

Couldn't get the multis at Oaklawn or Santa Anita, but watching The Factor's exciting Rebel performance add intrigue to the Derby Trail and MacLean's Magic scintillating debut, more than made up for it after the first half of the day. I hope everyone did well Saturday! Santa Anita the focus today as it closes out a really nice three day skein of racing..

SANTA ANITA

POST-SCRATCHES

3rd: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD)

Short but balanced field with Brock, $2.3MM brother of Mr. Sidney returning for Jackson-Asmussen..

Most Likely: #3 Midnight Interlude 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Big Business 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Brock 7-2 4th

4th: 60th San Luis Rey (G2), 4+, 12f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Haimish Hy 5-2 4th
Next Best: #8 Dahoud 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Juniper Pass 6-1 WON ($11.20)
Super Add: #4 Impotente Purse 7-2 3rd

5th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Irrefutable 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #6 Capital Account 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sea Rascal 4-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Stacy's Hope 5-1 5th

6th: MDN CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 River's Mambo 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Lily Amore 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Limerick Lane 8-1 4th

7th: CLM, 4yo, 1m-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Fog Alert 8-1 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Very Fair 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Time for Atonement 8-1 6th
Super Add: #9 Brady Blue Eyes 8-1 7th

8th: 26th Santa Paula, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD, Super)

This race likely earns its' grading back after this..

Most Likely: #8 Mildly Offensive 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #4 California Nectar 5-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Hout Bay 6-1 2nd

9th: MDN CLM, 4+, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Matamor 5-2 WON ($4.40)
Best Value: #1 Blind Magic 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Cut n' Deal 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #4 SCR
Hi-5 Play: #10 Society at Large 12-1 DNF

<$75 P4 Play:

6: 2/SCR-4-8
7: 4-5-9-10
8: 4-5-8
9: 1-4/SCR-6-9

3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

Good luck!
Steve