4/15: Keeneland ($51k P5 C/O)
 

Took a proper thrashing Thursday at Keeneland getting only the single of Shug's Boisterous right during another contentious sequence highlighted by owner-trainer Chuck Trout upsetting the G1 Madison with his Okie homebred Thunder Gulch filly Shotgun Gulch. No one negotiated the P5, creating a $51k carryover in today's difficult skein, and the P4 brought back another bulbous bankroll of $3,687. The one that felt like it got awat, was the nightcap winner Safe Crossing, a Jonathon Sheppard-George Strawbridge firster that paid $31.60. The Stormy Atlantic filly was the field's lone entrant without a past performance, but Sheppard has hit with debut types starting out at a mile or more (22% from last 18 starters over 3 years). Hope you didn't get as beaten up as I did yesterday... Let's try to get it all back and more on today's P5 carryover!


KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CLM, 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #9 Go Getem 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Tiger Bud 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Sparkling Springs 15-1 9th


7th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Tough enough group to start with, and 7 of the 12 make their first starts of 2011..

Best Value: #10 Headache 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Mister Marti Gras 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Midnight Mischief 8-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Rezif 15-1 3rd


8th: ALW/N2X, F&M-4+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Why makes Smart Seattle so special to warrant 5-2 favoritism here?

Best Value: #8 Elusive Jozi 5-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Rapid Racer 5-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Glowing Report 8-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Comic Marvel 4-1 WON ($8.40)


9th: 23rd Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Court Vision won the Shadwell here 18 months ago and was second to Karelian in this event a year ago, but has been off 139 days. Honest as fave but not invincible..

Best Value: #6 Society's Chairman 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Court Vision 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Get Stormy 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Super Add: #7 Turallure 20-1 8th


10th: CLM, F&M-4+, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Winners Get Even 8-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Maestro Miss 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Rivie 10-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Chicalee 6-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #1 Lady Charlie 10-1 8th


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 4-9
7: 2-6-10
8: 3-8
9: 1-6
10: 1-2-3-4-7

2x3x2x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-3-6-7-10
8: 3-5-8
9: 1-6
10: 1-2-3-4-7

5x3x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

Will take a shot at this today:
4,8,9
1,2,3,6,7,10
3,7,8
1
2,3. =$ 54.