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-   -   8/19: Saratoga (Day 25; $69k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43537)

Kasept 08-19-2011 06:29 AM

8/19: Saratoga (Day 25; $69k C/O)
 
Nice couple of days to start Alabama Week, enjoying a good Wednesday ahead of a great Thursday. P6 try missed just hard-hitting Chernobyl's Hero in the turf dash 8th, where I tried to slip Romans' fave Free Brave through as a single. Conso tick produced nice $1,362 return at day's end, a swell coda to earlier 'Best Value' success with $30.40 Sheppard jumper Parker's Project ($45.50 EXA) and $31.80 Loyal Shadow ($83.25 EXA). Loyal Shadow's win, authored in part by bug boy Ortiz' superb ride, was a particular delight given the connections and Dee Tee Stable's involvement with her 2yo half brother My Pal of Pals (City Zip).

It was a fun Saratoga day from start to finish with Jacinto Vasquez and Charlie Hayward for extended visits on ATR, followed by a boffo day at the windows and dinner at Pennell's with the Sciacca Family. Hope everyone did well! $69k carryover at Spa and Dee Tee's enigmatic Ausable Chasm (#10; 30-1) in today's 9th with Shaun Bridgmohan! ($80k P6 C/O at Del Mar tonight too.)


SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Party of Interest 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 St. Pancras 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Illegally Blond 6-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Honey Talk 7-2 4th


2nd: Proud Spell, 3yo-F, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 All for Thee 9-5 5th
Best Value: #6 Japanese Garden 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #3 Love and Pride 2-1 WON ($5.80)


3rd: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cinco de Mayo Mio 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Honest Gold 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Taconic Victory 5-2 5th


4th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

8-5 fave Overseas Market is being dangled by Violette/Klarman, and has been previously discussed, these types win easy as often as straggle home badly beaten. Respect given horseman involved, but hardly one to fear..

Most Likely: #6 Overseas Market 8-5 8th
Next Best: #8 Moshe Diane 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Illgiveyouwhattever 12-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Soldierette 12-1 5th


5th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD, Super)

$69k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #1 A New York Phillie 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Ready for Autumn 7-2 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Song for Siena 3-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Sunny Smiles 8-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 3-4-6
3: 4
4: 1-3-6-8
5: 1-7-8-9-10-12

3x1x4x6 = $72 ($36 at .50)


6th: CLM, 3yo-F, 7f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Long and Lean 10-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Mayday Maria 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Rose's Turn 5-2 WON ($7.10)
Super Add: #6 Fortheloveof Anna 6-1 2nd


7th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 The Funky Express 10-1 WON ($6.10)
Next Best: #5 Karma Police 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Ripley's Gold 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Flip the Switch 4-1 DNF


8th: 32nd Yaddo-NY, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Even with 2-1 Gitchee Goomie, this is a fun betting race..

Most Likely: #4 Gitchee Goomie 2-1 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #7 Rogue's Jewel 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Exclusive Scheme 8-1 8th
Super Add: #3 Centrina 15-1 5th


9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (DD, Super)

Happy to have Dee Tee's Ausable Chasm back in action here, but she certainly seems to have work cut out for herself from the #10 hole and against a good group. She provided the thrill of a lifetime for many Stable partners at Saratoga last August, and has come back around to do well after going astray post-Spa '10. Turf was always in the plan for her given damsire Comet Shine, so today provides a read on that as well. She'll be a huge price today and I'll include her as an exotics booster. Thanks to the partners, Gary, Paul and their crew, and safe trip to 'Sable and Shaun Bridgmohan!

Most Likely: #8 Always a Party 5-2 9th
Best Value: #3 Bullet Baby 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Jazz Life 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Ausable Chasm 30-1 7th


10th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Best Value: #8 Queen for Life 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Town Flirt 3-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Lemons to Lemonade 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Rajadesaminaux 5-1 5th


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-9
6: 5-8
7: 3-5
8: 1-4-7
9: 8
10: 2-3-7-8

2x2x2x3x1x4 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-5-7
8: 1-4-7
9: 3-8
10: 1-2-3-5-6-7-8-10

3x3x2x8 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

MisterB 08-19-2011 08:00 AM

Steve, surprised you didn't give Beautiful Affair a chance in the 1st. I know she is a firster, but Brown/Ryan hook up again for TYB Stable. Remember last year? More than Real.

Kasept 08-19-2011 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB (Post 801234)
Steve, surprised you didn't give Beautiful Affair a chance in the 1st. I know she is a firster, but Brown/Ryan hook up again for TYB Stable. Remember last year? More than Real.

I hear ya. It's a good looking group. My tendency is to lean towards those that have started already.. Thankful this isn't in a P4!

Kasept 08-19-2011 11:06 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Clip-Clop 08-19-2011 01:46 PM

This is getting silly. I am enjoying it though.

dagolfer33 08-19-2011 03:04 PM

I'm riding today. I can't hit on shiat. Good luck Steve!

Dahoss 08-19-2011 03:09 PM

I like The Funky Express also, but not at 5/2.

Dahoss 08-19-2011 03:32 PM

They knew.

dagolfer33 08-19-2011 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dagolfer33 (Post 801310)
I'm riding today. I can't hit on shiat. Good luck Steve!

Sorry.

blackthroatedwind 08-19-2011 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 801323)
They knew.

No, you couldn't honestly have expected more than 3:1 on that horse....and then when all the firsters were dead what price could she possibly be?


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