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-   -   8/22: Saratoga (Day 28; Union Ave.) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=43573)

Kasept 08-22-2011 11:31 AM

8/22: Saratoga (Day 28; Union Ave.)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st ON TURF; 2nd, 3rd, 6th, 10th OFF TURF


1st: OC/N3X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Asphalt 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Wilkinson 12-1 WON ($12.60)


2nd: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Neat Lightening 7-2 7th
Best Value: #2 More Is Better 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Sunnybrook 5-1 WON ($7.20)
Super Add: #10 Karakorum Fugitive 5-1 6th


3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Quay Lime Guy 3-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #12 Captain My Captain 7-2 5th
Best Value: #9 D'oro Dancer 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Perfect Joiski 9-2 4th


4th: OC/N3X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Despite the Odds 5-2 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #5 China 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Strapping Groom 8-1 6th


5th: Union Ave-NY, F&M-3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Lovely Lil 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #6 Gold for the Queen 9-2 6th
Next Best: #4 Sentimental Lass 5-2 5th
Super Add: #2 Nicole's Miss El 6-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-10-11
3: 9-11-12
4: 1-5
5: 3-4-6

4x3x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36

$.50 Pick 4 (1-11-1-3) Paid $39.25


6th: CLM, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #13 Sensational Slam 2-1 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #14 One Cool Dude 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Fight for V L T's 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Irish Emperor 12-1 6th


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #5 Vivere 4-1 5th
Next Best: #1 World Harmony 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Avolo 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 American Angel 3-1 WON ($12.00)


8th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Stanford Dolly 5-2 5th
Next Best: #7 Aregulationhottie 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 My Snookie's Pal 8-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 My Dolan's Rose 6-1 8th


9th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Al Muhtasib 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #4 Westshore 10-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Thomas Got Even 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Eltish Star 8-1 3rd


10th: MDN CLM, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #12 Marcellus 7-2 --
Next Best: #5 Orsonian 3-1 WON ($4.10)
Best Value: #14 Ambassador Bridge 8-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Whistlin' Dixie 7-2 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-6
8: 4-6-7
9: 4-7
10: 5-12

3x3x2x2 = $36 ($18 for .50.. Play a few times)


Good luck!
Steve

Seattleallstar 08-22-2011 02:59 PM

only making one bet today. I dont see anything crazy happening in the last 4 at Saratoga. Im playing a $40 pk 4

1/6,8,9/7/3,5,9,12,14

jms62 08-22-2011 03:24 PM

Every fuking time I single in Leg 1 I get beat in last furlong.

fantini33 08-22-2011 03:39 PM

Jockey change to Dominguez on Westshore......I'm all in.

Seattleallstar 08-22-2011 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jms62 (Post 802054)
Every fuking time I single in Leg 1 I get beat in last furlong.

how the hell do you think I feel, id be alive to at least around 4k at the very least since I played it 40x. Symphony did everything but win the freaking race when it looked like she would jog home and win by open lenghts.


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