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-   -   10/23: Belmont Park (1st-5th); Keeneland (5th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=44214)

Kasept 10-23-2011 11:13 AM

10/23: Belmont Park (1st-5th); Keeneland (5th-9th)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Superb betting opp..

Best Value: #10 Open Outcry 8-1 WON ($12.40)
Next Best: #5 Mutiny 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Midnite Silver 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Seeyouinthecity 20-1 11th


2nd: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Cribnote 7-5 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Able Bellamy 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Litigate 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Fortitude 12-1 8th


3rd: OC/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Odd and tricky set..

Best Value: #5 Strapping Groom 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Crossbow 6-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Gantry 4-1 WON ($5.70)


4th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Quirky group with plenty of turfy heritage involved. Fawkes 2nd time starter Dreamalot -- by Bernardini and a half to Spain -- moves to lawn which would normally distress except that dam Drina (Regal and Royal) went from $7,500 claimer to stake winner once moved to lawn..

Most Likely: #1 Dreamalot 3-1 4th
Best Value: #4 Quietism 20-1 7th
Exoticas Use: #6 Polaris Dream 8-1 9th
Super Add: #9 Imaspeedyguy 5-1 5th


5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Ambersand 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Parachute Colony 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #5 Sonnyandpally 10-1 5th
Super Add: #8 Post Pattern 20-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 6-8
3: 1-4-5-6
4: 1-4-6
5: 4-5-8-9

2x4x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $48



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Zeb 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Five Star David 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #12 Magic de Naskra 5-1 12th
Super Add: #11 Calculating Jimmy 4-1 2nd


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Yeesh.. Brutal. Little to go on with tons of firsters, many having synth/turf aptitude leanings and/or sharp works on KEE strip. Spread. WIDE..

Best Value: #4 Promise Me Joy 12-1 5th
Next Best: #3 St. Jean 6-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Mrs. Boyd 6-1 7th
Super Add: #10 Prateada 6-1 WON ($13.80)


7th: OC/C, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Happy Week 5-2 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #5 Lady's Laughter 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Promised Mandate 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Hot Hot Mama 7-2 6th


8th: 20th Dowager, F&M-3+, 12f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Askbut I Won'ttell 5-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Cheetah 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Hasay 6-1 6th
Super Add: #7 Miss Laa di Da 8-1 9th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #10 Point to the Wild 8-1 WON ($28.00)
Next Best: #4 Lakeways Big Sis 9-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Jump Star 4-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Parade of Homes 3-1 3rd
Hi-5 Play: #12 Inlovewithlove 8-1 6th


<$75 P5 Play:

5: 1-3
6: 1-2-3-4-7-10
7: 9
8: 1-5-7-11
9: 4-7-10

2x6x1x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4-7-10
7: 9-5
8: 1-5-7-11
9: 4-7-10

6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 10-23-2011 04:37 PM

Uggh. Thanks to my man Davey in the KEE nightcap, able to clean up the day's misses and then some, but there was some BIG opportunities out there that I just couldn't sew up. Damn.. $2,800 P4. Hope everybody did OK!

hailrazer 10-23-2011 05:00 PM

Nice job by Andy in the nitecap at Belmont. $12 winner, nearly $100 for the $1 Ex, $300 on the $1 tri and $2600 for the $1 super.


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