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-   -   East VS West The 06 Breeders Cup (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=4696)

DiscreetCat=Monster 09-19-2006 10:25 PM

East VS West The 06 Breeders Cup
 
Out of the eight races on the Breeders Cup Card how do you think the West will Fair considersing the powerhouse stables of Todd Pletcher and Sheik Mohammed are out of the East and who is the West best chance(s):D ?

SniperSB23 09-19-2006 10:42 PM

Aragorn is the best shot and both the Juvy races are up for grabs so a Cali horse could win one or both of those.

Assttodixie 09-19-2006 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOSE=GLUE
Out of the eight races on the Breeders Cup Card how do you think the West will Fair considersing the powerhouse stables of Todd Pletcher and Sheik Mohammed are out of the East and who is the West best chance(s):D ?

Am I going out on a limb when i say that Pletcher wont win a race? Or at least, thats what the Boss tells me.

TalkToTheHoof 09-19-2006 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Aragorn is the best shot and both the Juvy races are up for grabs so a Cali horse could win one or both of those.

I agree about the Juvy thing. You never can tell how who might come around between now and Nov 4th. Point Ashley and Horse Greeley might have a chance . . . Not saying they will beat Dreaming of Anna or Circular Quay (respectively), just saying they might have a chance.

DiscreetCat=Monster 09-19-2006 10:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Assttodixie
Am I going out on a limb when i say that Pletcher wont win a race? Or at least, thats what the Boss tells me.


I hope alot of people not only think that way but bet that way also. It will give me a Nice Price on Scat Daddy. :D

I think there best chance is gonna be in the in the mile, but in both the grass races the euros hold some aces:D

1st_Saturday_in_May 09-19-2006 10:59 PM

I think the East takes the Classic,

Europe takes the Turf,

wherever we consider Biancone (midwest?) takes something with Gorella or does a hell of a job with her either way,

the west has a great shot in the Sprint with Siren, Bord, and Blingy,

the Mile goes to the West or the Euros or the Frenchman,

the juvy races can go either way

and the Distaff stays in the East...

Who knows though - still very early but wouldnt be surprised if the West won 3 or 4. Do they use western saddles out there?...

dalakhani 09-19-2006 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LOSE=GLUE
I hope alot of people not only think that way but bet that way also. It will give me a Nice Price on Scat Daddy. :D

I think there best chance is gonna be in the in the mile, but in both the grass races the euros hold some aces:D

scat daddy huh? Well, indeed, i hope you bet that one with both fists. I havent found any of the juveys to be that impressive yet. That Mandella horse i fancied a little bit though. I will be waiting for Oak tree and some of the belmont races before i go overboard on a juvey. Definitely not sold on scat daddy.

repent 09-19-2006 11:28 PM

uh,
just the BCJF with Point Ashley.

Aragorn is an excellent miler, but he is going to need a virtual "no show" from Europe to win that race.

Too Much Bling is a really nice 3YO sprinter and you can claim him as a west coast horse if you want(its been a while since he ran there from what I can remember),
but hes not going to win the BC Sprint.

Im extremely east coast biased, but I dont think the CHRB itself would think that the west coast has any chance.

good luck to Papi Chullo or whatever the hell they are going to send to the BCC.
when the 103rd best east coast handicap horse can go west and take 2nd in the Pac Classic, then you know the west coast dirt suck.

Repent

Sightseek 09-20-2006 06:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani
scat daddy huh? Well, indeed, i hope you bet that one with both fists. I havent found any of the juveys to be that impressive yet. That Mandella horse i fancied a little bit though. I will be waiting for Oak tree and some of the belmont races before i go overboard on a juvey. Definitely not sold on scat daddy.

Horse Greeley! :cool:

Dunbar 09-20-2006 07:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by repent
uh,
just the BCJF with Point Ashley.

Aragorn is an excellent miler, but he is going to need a virtual "no show" from Europe to win that race.

Too Much Bling is a really nice 3YO sprinter and you can claim him as a west coast horse if you want(its been a while since he ran there from what I can remember),
but hes not going to win the BC Sprint.

Im extremely east coast biased, but I dont think the CHRB itself would think that the west coast has any chance.

good luck to Papi Chullo or whatever the hell they are going to send to the BCC.
when the 103rd best east coast handicap horse can go west and take 2nd in the Pac Classic, then you know the west coast dirt suck.
Repent

And when the East Coast horses don't go pick up all that supposedly easy California purse money, you have to wonder why. Are all the East Coast trainers so stupid that they don't see how much better their horses are than the California runners?

--Dunbar

blackthroatedwind 09-20-2006 08:52 AM

It is because there is little prestige to any of the major California races for breeding purpose. A Grade 1, or grade 2, is not necessarily the same eveywhere. Races like the Met and JCGC carry much more weight than races like the P Classic or even the Hollywood Gold Cup.

Like it or not, the important races are pretty much all in the East.

Sightseek 09-20-2006 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
It is because there is little prestige to any of the major California races for breeding purpose. A Grade 1, or grade 2, is not necessarily the same eveywhere. Races like the Met and JCGC carry much more weight than races like the P Classic or even the Hollywood Gold Cup.

Like it or not, the important races are pretty much all in the East.

I would have to disagree, the past winners of both the Pac Classic & Hollywood Gold Cup were given very nice Stud deals:

http://www.pedigreequery.com/index.p...eld=view&id=16

Rock Hard Ten's Stud deal was very solid to and he entered Stud at the same fee as Saint Liam.

blackthroatedwind 09-20-2006 09:29 AM

Which one of those races did Rock Hard Ten win?

Borrego won the JCGC....Pleasantly Perfect the BC Classic. What was Skimming's, repeat winner of the P Classic, deal?

If you think there is prestige to the 20 year old P Classic I think you are mikstaken.

oracle80 09-20-2006 09:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
I would have to disagree, the past winners of both the Pac Classic & Hollywood Gold Cup were given very nice Stud deals:

http://www.pedigreequery.com/index.p...eld=view&id=16

Rock Hard Ten's Stud deal was very solid to and he entered Stud at the same fee as Saint Liam.

Thats one horse.
Sightseek you really are sharper than that.
Tell you what!!! If you wanna make a bet right now before I call them up as to teh stud deals given to the past 10 Whitney winners and Met Mile winners as compared to the last 10 Hollywood Gold Cup winners and Pac Classic winners, please let me know. Its not even close, its a landslide.

Sightseek 09-20-2006 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Which one of those races did Rock Hard Ten win?

Borrego won the JCGC....Pleasantly Perfect the BC Classic. What was Skimming's, repeat winner of the P Classic, deal?

If you think there is prestige to the 20 year old P Classic I think you are mikstaken.

RHT didn't win either, but I was using him as an example that winning Graded Stakes in California is respected for a stallion deal. The Strub series is a great springboard for advertisement. Won at 7 furlongs to a mile and a quarter blah, blah blah

My point is, Graded Stakes at the top tracks matter whether they are on the east coast or west coast. Combine this with a top class pedigree and most breeders are not going to care what side of the country the horse raced in. Your point of Borrego & Pleasantly Perfect embraces the fact that CA Graded Stakes winners are competitive with their east coast counterparts and are therefore recognized as so by breeders.

blackthroatedwind 09-20-2006 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
RHT didn't win either, but I was using him as an example that winning Graded Stakes in California is respected for a stallion deal. The Strub series is a great springboard for advertisement. Won at 7 furlongs to a mile and a quarter blah, blah blah

My point is, Graded Stakes at the top tracks matter whether they are on the east coast or west coast. Combine this with a top class pedigree and most breeders are not going to care what side of the country the horse raced in. Your point of Borrego & Pleasantly Perfect embraces the fact that CA Graded Stakes winners are competitive with their east coast counterparts and are therefore recognized as so by breeders.

The Strub series does have some cache obviously, though Rock Hard Ten is not a great example for obvious reasons, but as for the rest of what you said....well.....it's probably basically wrong. I don't want to fight about this but you might want to look into the situation a little more.

It's not really a " what side of the country " thing....it's perceived importance of races. The East has it....the West doesn't ( in general ).

Sightseek 09-20-2006 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The Strub series does have some cache obviously, though Rock Hard Ten is not a great example for obvious reasons, but as for the rest of what you said....well.....it's probably basically wrong. I don't want to fight about this but you might want to look into the situation a little more.

It's not really a " what side of the country " thing....it's perceived importance of races. The East has it....the West doesn't ( in general ).

I agree that was the case, but I think it is going to become less and less so.

bigjag0716 09-20-2006 10:33 AM

Hard to tell right now but I guarantee the west will win at least 2 races,they always do.

Sightseek 09-20-2006 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Thats one horse.
Sightseek you really are sharper than that.
Tell you what!!! If you wanna make a bet right now before I call them up as to teh stud deals given to the past 10 Whitney winners and Met Mile winners as compared to the last 10 Hollywood Gold Cup winners and Pac Classic winners, please let me know. Its not even close, its a landslide.

Geesh, the JCGC really has gone downhill since Skip Away;

http://www.pedigreequery.com/index.p...eld=view&id=82

Thank goodness Invasor & Bernardini will put some life into it. :) Looking over the lists of winners of these races really puts light on how badly horses are campaigned now and/or how much early retirements hurt.

SniperSB23 09-20-2006 10:40 AM

There is a different style of racing out West that combined with the harder surfaces makes it difficult and more dangerous for a horse to ship out for one race. It could take a few races for a top horse to get used to those conditions so why would you bother to ship out for one race. While I agree that the Whitney and Met Mile are more prestigious to breeders than the Hollywood Gold Cup and Pacific Classic I think winning one from both coasts would carry huge weight with breeders, moreso than winning both from the same coast. As California shifts to a safer, less biased surface in polytrack I think we will see more east coast horses that have shown a liking for polytrack going west to take down the $1 million purses.


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