Derby Trail Forums - 8/16: Saratoga (Day 24; West Point)

Long, wild day from NY to CA Wednesday with the Carryover Mania at Del Mar producing great interest and $2.5MM (P5) and $1.6MM (P6) jackpots. Not a lot of time to recap except to say that despite some good ideas, Muny in the 1st and Shrug in the featured 7th derailed the 5 & 6 tix. The unique situation made for great discussion and again demonstrated how motivated players are when opportunities are presented. Congrats to those who got the $474 and $16k paydays. Spa action was good too and though the chance to bookend the P4's fell short, Quartarolo's Mr. Algebra capped a nice finish to the afternoon featuring a $22.40 win tote and fat P3. Hope everyone enjoyed the big day and did well! Twin jumpers start Saratoga action ahead of 9 flat events including good West Point..

SARATOGA RACE COURSE

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/C, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Viristo 3-1 WON ($9.80)
Best Value: #6 Duc de Savoie 8-1 6th
Next Best: #1a The Price of Love 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Alfarabi 15-1 8th

2nd:Walsh Novice, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wanganui 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 History Boy 5-2 WON ($7.70)
Exotics Use: #1e Delozier entry 4-1 6th/9th
Super Add: #6 Cornhusker 6-1 4th

3rd: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Show Some Magic 8-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #4 Will Take Charge 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Lincoln Law 3-1 8th
Exotics Use: #6 Takajo 5-1 7th

4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Smart Farda 3-1 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 Two of a Kind 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Macho Libre 6-1 8th
Exotics Use: #1 Four Reds 12-1 6th

5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Fact 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #2 Spinnaker Bay 20-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Superstrella 6-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Wagon Train 12-1 4th

6th: NY-MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Stoneless 5-1 WON ($5.40)
Next Best: #2 Jerek Deter 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Heading Upstate 5-2 6th
Super Add: #3 Late SCR

<$75 P4 Play:

3: 3-4-5-6-8
4: 3-4-5
5: 2-5-8
6: 2-5-8

5x3x3x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/5/5/3,5,9) Paid $43.60

7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Lawless Miss 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #6 Manda Bay 8-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Thunderous Lady 3-1 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #7 Rhonin Victoria 7-2 4th

8th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Dan and Shiela 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Best Value: #9 Vee's Accolade 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 How Do I Win 8-1 6th
Super Add: #1a Photon 3-1 2nd

9th: OC/S-ALW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Terrific betting affair. Endless price opps to feature, key or include depending on your interpretation..

Best Value: #5 Plainview 12-1 WON ($13.60)
Next Best: #10 Wildcatter 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Scorcher 6-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Fourseventeen 5-1 7th

10th: 33rd West Point-NY, 3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Compliance Officer looks to defend his West Point title and a reprise would be a boost to the striggling barn of Bruce Brown..

Most Likely: #7 Compliance Officer 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #5 Lubash 4-1 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #8 Street Game 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Majestic Raffy 20-1 4th

.10 SUPER: 7 with 1-2-5-7-8 with 1-2-5-7-8 with ALL (1x5x4x3 = 60 x .10 = $6.00)

11th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #2 Kibosh 3-1 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #4 Hey Little Girl 6-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Crafting 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Late SCR (4:26pm)

<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-9
9: 5-9-10
10: 5-7-8
11: 2-4-6-8/SCR

4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72

$0.50 Pick 4 (2,4,7,10/5/5/2,8,11,12,13,14) Paid $169.00 x 2 = $338.00

Good luck!
Steve