Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   4/12: Keeneland (4th-10th); Oaklawn (8th-11th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=50454)

Kasept 04-12-2013 07:27 AM

4/12: Keeneland (4th-10th); Oaklawn (8th-11th)
 
KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Kipling's Joy 9-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Remember Then 7-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #6 Kimberly Jean 2-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Alydorable 7-2 2nd


5th: ALW/N3X, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Wow.. Why not add $11k to the purse and make it an overnight stake? Terrific group. Not a lot of front-end interest here. New Wave will have every opportunity to wire if left alone for any length of time..

Most Likely: #1e Augustin entry 3-1 WON/7th ($7.00)
Best Value: #9 Eagle Hall 10-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Sea Island 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Preferential 6-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Biorhythm 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #11 Flak 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Waverly Place 8-1 10th
Super Add: #10 Vice Dancer 5-1 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Very nice group. Plenty of upside yet for these soph gals. #5 Derby Eve (20-1) is the full sister of Colonel John and her first start as a 3yo could be charm. Obviously could have started on dirt at OP any time last few weeks, but Harty waited for this spot..

Most Likely: #10 Magnolia Lane 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Derby Eve 20-1 9th
Next Best: #1 Flores Island 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Warm Breeze 5-1 11th
Super Add: #8 Celtic Arch 4-1 4th


8th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #12 Casino Dan 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Voodoo Doctor 12-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Reload 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Seve 5-1 3rd


9th: Maker's 46 Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Wise Dan began his Horse of the Year campaign in '12 Ben Ali off similar break and was spectacular earning a 117 Beyer. Faces short but accomplished field here and while not unbeatable off bench, does own a pace edge. Looks for double with his half brother above..

Most Likely: #5 Wise Dan 3-5 WON ($2.80)
Best Value: #1 Silentio 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Data Link 3-1 2nd


10th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6f (Super Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Got No Answers 3-1 7th
Best Value: #9 Miss Ziggy 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Added Delight 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Tanasi 6-1 2nd


<$75 P5 Play:

6: 8-9-11
7: 1-5-10
8: 5-7-8-12
9: 5
10: 5-6-9-11

3x3x4x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


@$75 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-8-10-11
8: 5-7-8-12
9: 1-5
10: 5-6-9-11

5x4x2x4 = 160 x .50 = $80



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4)

Most Likely: #3 Indian Alley 7-2 8th
Best Value: #1 Cheer for Foxes 8-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Little Miss Fitz 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Devil's Blush 5-1 3rd


9th: Instant Racing, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, .10 Super)

Best Value: #2 Awesome Mama 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 American Sugar 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Lady Stonewall 8-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Boss Barney's Babe 9-2 2nd


10th: Apple Blossom H. (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #3 Don't Tell Sophia 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #2 Grace Hall 9-5 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Summer Applause 3-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Tiz Miz Sue 4-1 2nd


11th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (.10 Super)

Most Likely: #5 Only in America 9-2 7th
Next Best: #9 Betweenhereandcool 7-2 WON ($7.40)
Best Value: #10 Illusion Confusion 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Seeking an Empire 4-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-2-3-5-8-10
9: 1-2-3
10: 2-3
11: 5-9-10-11

6x3x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 04-12-2013 09:48 AM

KEE SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 04-12-2013 02:23 PM

May be too late but you may need to add #4 Sky Girl to your P5 play... At least get a saver bet in on her.

Kasept 04-12-2013 03:27 PM

You've got to be kidding.

Alabama Stakes 04-12-2013 04:03 PM

truth is stranger than fiction

ADJMK 04-12-2013 06:24 PM

Very nice old time training job by Gary Hartlage with the string of 7f works to have On Fire Baby ready to roll of an 11 month break.

Kasept 04-12-2013 06:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ADJMK (Post 923346)
Very nice old time training job by Gary Hartlage with the string of 7f works to have On Fire Baby ready to roll of an 11 month break.

A tremendous win and accomplishment. First G1 for Red Dog and Joe Johnson and I think for Anita Cauley too. As easy a team to root for as there is in the game.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:52 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.