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-   -   8/18: Saratoga (Summer Colony; $71k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=54920)

Kasept 08-18-2014 07:49 AM

8/18: Saratoga (Summer Colony; $71k C/O)
 
SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N1X, 4+, 19f-National Fences (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Syros 5-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #1 Selection Sunday 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Wantan 8-1 7th
Super Add:#3 Umbraggio 15-1 3rd


2nd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Invocation 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 One More Chief 6-1 WON ($8.90)
Next Best: #3 Cosmic Coincidence 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Scare City 4-1 6th


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Battle Red 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Cyclogenesis 5-1 WON ($8.90)
Best Value: #5 Majestico 20-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Louisiana Brown 2-1 6th


4th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Very Cherry Candy 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #6 Guayana 15-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Bobby Jo 2-1 WON ($6.30)
Exotics Use: #4 Precious Franca Late SCR-Gate


5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 9f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$71k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #4 Are We Not Men 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Global Showdown 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Boss Man 5-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #3 Dividend 10-1 2nd


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Corporate Culture 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Lonesome Town 10-1 6th
Next Best: # 5 Devilish Love 3-1 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #6 Three Hearts 5-1 4th

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/1/1,9,10,13,14/1,2,5,9) Paid $168.50
$0.50 Pick 5 (5/3/1/1,9,10,13,14/1,2,5,9) Paid $677.00



7th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dyker Beach 7-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #3 Brendan G 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tony B 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Captain Toews 12-1 4th


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 11f-IT (P3, DD)

Respect Pyrite Mountain as the 2-1 fave but 2nd choice Red Vine (5-2) looks vulnerable..

Most Likely: #9 Pyrite Mountain 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Side Road 10-1 7th
Best Value: #5 Shock Leader 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Red Vine 5-2 4th

.10 SUPER: 5-9-10 with 5-9-10 with 1-3-5-9-10 with All (3x2x3x4 = $7.20)


9th: 1st Summer Colony-R, F&M-4+, 9f (DD)

As we've seen the last several days, these smaller groups going 9f are tricky. Natalie Victoria will be on an easy lead if Endless Chatter doesn't engage her on a timely basis..

Most Likely: #2 Zucchini Flower 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Ambusher 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Endless Chatter 5-2 WON ($5.30)
Exotics Use: #5 Natalie Victoria 9-5 6th


10th: MCLM/$65k, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #5 Summation Time 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Loves Last Chance 5-1 WON ($13.40)
Best Value: #2 Callans Candy 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 In Speight Ofitall 15-1 2nd


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 08-18-2014 10:06 AM

SAR SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 08-18-2014 01:21 PM

Hope people capitalized on 3rd result thanks to great insight from Welsch & Vesce in the Clocker Report.. They made it obvious that Cyclogenesis & Battle Red were prime, that Majestico (30-1) could run and that Louisiana Brown was iffy (at certain short price).

Triple = $268 ($1)

Needing the Wire 08-18-2014 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 993868)
Hope people capitalized on 3rd result thanks to great insight from Welsch & Vesce in the Clocker Report.. They made it obvious that Cyclogenesis & Battle Red were prime, that Majestico (30-1) could run and that Louisiana Brown was iffy (at certain short price).

Triple = $268 ($1)

Nice early card hits, Steve.

Kasept 08-19-2014 04:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Needing the Wire (Post 993944)
Nice early card hits, Steve.

THX! Was a terrific weekend.. Hope everybody did well...

Let's gear up for a big final fortnight!

Kitan 08-19-2014 02:36 PM

Congrats on a great weekend Steve. These P5s are paying great considering the prices! Must be one of the best value wagers out there.


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