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-   -   Does Vacare have a chance? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=5616)

intense 10-12-2006 08:40 PM

Does Vacare have a chance?
 
I've loved Vacare ever since I saw her break her maiden live @ AP.

Heres her entry for this Saturday @ Keeneland, does she have a shot? I like the 20-1 ML.


9th (5:35)
Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup S. (G1)
Distance: 1 1/8 Miles Surface: Turf Fillies Age: 3 Year Olds Stakes
Purse $500,000.
Prg.# PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML

1 Take the Ribbon Espinoza V Dollase Wallace 121 8-1
2 Citronnade Prado E S Frankel Robert 121 15-1
3 Magnificent Song Gomez G K Pletcher Todd A 121 3-1
4 Vague Baze T C Noseda Jeremy 121 15-1
5 Trick's Pic Martinez W Biancone Patrick L 121 30-1
6 Foxysox (GB) Nakatani C S Gaines Carla 121 10-1
7 Germance Mendizabal I Rouget Jean-Claude 121 5-2
8 Maxxi Arte (IRE) Valenzuela P A Cassidy James 121 12-1
9 Vacare Marquez C H Jr Block Chris M 121 20-1
10 Quiet Royal Peslier O Parias Carlos L 121 12-1
11 Mauralakana (FR) Leparoux J R Biancone Patrick L 121 7-2

Blue Eyes 10-12-2006 08:42 PM

With C.H. Marquez aboard, at least you know he'll be trying. The boy likes his money.;)

ateamstupid 10-12-2006 10:22 PM

I definitely would use her. She's done nothing but blow away everyone she's faced. It's a class rise, for sure, but so was her last race, and she handled that pretty damn well. I was very impressed with the Pucker Up win.

dellinger63 10-12-2006 11:09 PM

Chris Block usually never puts horses where he thinks there is no chance as he is from Bill Mott U. Definately use.

intense 10-13-2006 12:22 AM

Do you guys think she has a legit chance to win? Im thinking of a pretty large WPS wager on her. I dont know what she'll go off at but the 20-1 ML is pretty arousing.

blackthroatedwind 10-13-2006 12:46 AM

I don't like her but she handled Ballet Pacifica just as easily as Germance, who is one of the favorites, did in Europe last time.

ateamstupid 10-13-2006 12:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
Do you guys think she has a legit chance to win? Im thinking of a pretty large WPS wager on her. I dont know what she'll go off at but the 20-1 ML is pretty arousing.

Yeah, I find that ML very hard to believe on a horse as hot as this one. I don't see her going off at better than 8/1, and I think that even might be a stretch. There are some nice ones in here, for sure, but there are no monsters, and I'd use her in all wagers.

intense 10-13-2006 01:17 AM

Found the PPs

http://www.espn.com/media/horse/RACE5_061014.pdf


I love Vacare here, seems to be no world beaters in here and she'll be at a price. The ones that scare me are 2,3,7.

Cunningham Racing 10-13-2006 08:32 AM

She has a shot if she can replicate that kick away from ARL....her turn of foot is not a fluke IMO

intense 10-14-2006 12:48 PM

bump bump. Im really excited for this race.

bellsbendboy 10-14-2006 12:56 PM

On paper she has no chance. She did not make the races until June as a 3yo. She picks up big weight and catches a legit Grade One bunch.

One of the positives is that Marquez flew in to work her Monday and she was MEGA impressive. BBB

randallscott35 10-14-2006 04:41 PM

Good call buddy. Sorry you didn't get 20-1 but she ran really nice for you.

intense 10-14-2006 04:42 PM

yea vacare!

ateamstupid 10-14-2006 04:42 PM

Yezzir. Hope you crushed it intense.. Told you that morning line was a joke.

Blue Eyes 10-14-2006 04:45 PM

WOOHOO!! Thanks Intense for bringing this one to my attention. The only one I bet today. And it's great seeing one of my buddies win a big one. Carlos is always hungry for these kinds of wins.:D

Scav 10-14-2006 04:50 PM

ARLINGTON REPRESENT yet again.....While I am not a huge fan of Block because of what he is doing to Mystery Giver, I bet deep down he wishs his first Grade 1 was with one of monster IL homebreds. Guarantee as long as she stays health she is pointed towards the Beverly D.

ninetoone 10-14-2006 04:56 PM

Nice freekin' call!

GPK 10-14-2006 05:07 PM

was alive to the NTRA pick 4 for $2 with Mag. Song as a single. Why I single Gomez...I have no idea.:mad:

intense 10-14-2006 05:07 PM

I hope theres a bomber in this next race, I got a $1 daily double 9/all ticket. Some HUGE willpays if something big comes in.

Bold Brooklynite 10-14-2006 05:11 PM

Nice call.

Vacare is certainly well-bred for a filly who came from out of the blue. She's got very strong turf blood on top through Lear Fan and Roberto ... and strong bloodlines throughout her pedigree.


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