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-   -   9/10: Belmont ($35k C/O); Kentucky Downs (6th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=60960)

Kasept 09-10-2016 05:27 AM

9/10: Belmont ($35k C/O); Kentucky Downs (6th-10th)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

$35k C/O starts here..

Best Value: #5 Shoot from the Hip 5-1: Cox moves this one up.. WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #6 Afleet Martini 2-1: Franco sides with ouchy fave..
Exotics Use: #7 Made of Steel 4-1: Falcone/Rosario with gaudy #'s.. 5th
Super Add: #3 Divine Interventio 3-1: Turns back while being given away.. 3rd


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Moonlit Garden 4-1: Matterhorn/Title Contender sis outworked Sweet Loretta.. 3rd
Best Value: #4 Awesome Boss 6-1: Turf to dirt/1st Lasix for McPeek; Exits key races.. 5th
Next Best: #6 Blind Pool 3-1: Klaravich/C. Brown miss faded late in debut at 5-2.. 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Berned 5-2: Lasix on after being caught late in debut; Meh.. WON ($5.40)


7th: MSW, 2yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Ticonderoga 6-5: Near-miss Tapit looms P6 single adding hood.. WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Benefactor 5-1: $425k China Horse/WinStar buy working steadily.. 5th
Next Best: #3 Concomitant 6-1: Matt Muzikar quickly lands Lezcano in Brown barn.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Kiss the Toad 7-2: Behind Ticonderoga last. Feels underlaid.. 4th


8th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Very tricky turf sprint read..

Most Likely: #9 My Kinda Gal 4-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Startwithsilver 3-1 7th
Best Value: #2 First Charmer 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Uncle Southern 5-2 2nd


9th: S/ALW, 3+, 7f-T (DD)

Feels wide open..

Best Value: #7 Romans Paradise 15-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Ross J Dawg 7-2 WON ($7.10)
Exotics Use: #2 Data Driven 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 The Great Whiteway 12-1 7th


10th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 6f-IT

Best Value: #6 Louisiana Lady 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Paz the Bourbon 3-1 WON ($6.60)
Exotics Use: #9 Discreet Image 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Beautiful Nite Sky 8-1 7th


P6 Grid:

5: 5-6 (A), 7 (B), 3-4-8 (C)
6: 2-4-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 1-3-9 (C)
8: 9 (A), - (B), 2-3-4-6 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), - (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 6 (A), 5-9 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x1x1x2x3 = 54 x $2 = $108
All A's: 2x3x1x1x2x1 = 12 x $2 = $24


P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-9 (C)
8: 6-9 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-4-5-6 (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 2-3 (B), 8-9 (C)
10: 5-6 (A), 9 (B), 12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (4,6/4/1,4/5,7,13,14) Paid $89.50 (A-C-A-A)



KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE POTENTIAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS MID-AFTERNOON


6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P5, P3, DD)

$52k P5 C/O starts here..

Best Value: #9 Coco Mon 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 West Village 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 High Noon Rider 10-1 4th
Super Add: #11 Cartoon SCR


7th: More Than Ready Mile, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Watchyourownbobber 3-1 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Thatcher Street 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Songsational 6-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Dimension 5-1 6th


8th: One Dreamer-R, F&M-3+, 1m-70y-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Entrechat 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Inside Out 10-1 7th
Next Best: #7 Lots o' Lex 10-1 WON ($27.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Fleet Bertie 12-1 3rd


9th: KY Turf Cup (G3), 3+, 12f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Da Big Hoss 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #9 Greengrassofwyoming 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Bullards Alley 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Seve's Road 6-1 9th


10th: KY Downs Ladies Turf Sprint, F&M-3+, 6.5f-T (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Miss Double d'Oro 3-1 6th
Best Value: #10 My Year Is a Day 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Mississippi Delta 5-2 WON ($5.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Seeking Treasure 10-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #7 Late Spring 4-1 8th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-9 (A), 2-7-11 (B), 8-10-12 (C)
7: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-7-8 (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1-3-7 (B), - (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 3-4-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x1x3 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-5 (12/3,4,6/7/7/3,6) Paid $10.40 (4OF5) x 5 = $52.00


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5-7-8 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 1-3-7 (B), - (C)
9: 7 (A), - (B), 2-3-9 (C)
10: 3-4-10 (A), - (B), 1-2-7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x3 = $75 ($37.50 for .50)
All A's: 4x2x1x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3,4,6/7/7/3,6) Paid $85.00


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 09-10-2016 09:42 AM

BEL SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 09-10-2016 10:40 AM

KY DOWNS SCR/CHG'S

fantini33 09-10-2016 11:02 AM

That Ingrid Mason 2 year old that took all the $$$ at Saratoga runs today at Arlington. Race 8----#4----Seven Forty Seven. 8-1 ML.

Might be worth a swing if not bet down to 7/5 this time.


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