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-   -   Happy Ticket 11-1? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=6124)

intense 10-25-2006 06:08 PM

Happy Ticket 11-1?
 
Bodog has Happy Ticket at 11-1 in their BC Futures betting... Is this a good price?

Travis Stone 10-25-2006 06:16 PM

Toss her last race, and she's right there. 11-1 might be a bit on the short side, but then again, she only has to beat a few of them.

brianwspencer 10-25-2006 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
Bodog has Happy Ticket at 11-1 in their BC Futures betting... Is this a good price?

i've been planning on her falling somewhere between 9-1 and 15-1 depending -- and i think that anything in that range is a swell price on her. she rates as good a chance as anyone in there to take the whole thing, and she's going to be the biggest price of her life next saturday -- BIG overlay if you ask me.

FATPIANO 10-25-2006 06:17 PM

at 11-1 she is the horse to beat.......

Travis Stone 10-25-2006 06:27 PM

Shug said it best that though it's a competitive field, it's not one of the best Distaff fields ever. Happy Ticket is right in the mix of this group and should sit the stalking trip.

intense 10-25-2006 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
If this horse is 11-1 it's a steal. She was probably second best last out, but had a awful trip and likes Churchill a lot. I don't see her going off that high. I hope she does, but 11-1 would be very nice.


If you like it a ton, you can get 11-1 on her right now @ bodog...

Cunningham Racing 10-25-2006 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
Bodog has Happy Ticket at 11-1 in their BC Futures betting... Is this a good price?

I actually think this is a GREAT price...I'm a big fan and made enough lines to know she'll be shorter than that.....she'll be under 10-1 IMO. Hell, she won CD's top Distaff race over the summer and ran pretty fast doing it. I think most of the big players out there know that the 3-year-old division was very weak this year too, which will hurt many of their odds IMO. Yes, Pine Island will be the favorite IMO, but Happy Ticket won't be over 10-1.....the decision you really have to make is taking 11-1 right now with 10 days to go or wait until BC day - when you know she'll be in the gate - and take anywhere from 6/1 - 9-1 IMO depending on any late defections in the field or if she were to work lights out in her final breeze and become a 'buzz' horse.


Your call, but that is a good price IMO - but then again I think a lot of her and believe she is the best distaffer in the country....

intense 10-25-2006 06:43 PM

she is confirmed and everything for a for sure go barring any setbacks, right?

Cunningham Racing 10-25-2006 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
she is confirmed and everything for a for sure go barring any setbacks, right?

She is already at CD and doing very well from what I was told by a guy at CD I used to work with....

Cunningham Racing 10-25-2006 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Might try and get some of that action. For the mere fact that I think she will be 6 or 7-1 BC day.

I agree that is the range when the smoke clears.....

intense 10-25-2006 06:47 PM

If you guys do happen to signup there to get the bet, If you wanna use my refer number i'd appreciate it. :)

P686A60


I'll post the other odds they have in a few minutes.

intense 10-25-2006 06:49 PM

Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Classic
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Bernardini

11/10
Brother Derek

28/1
Buzzards Bay

30/1
David Junior

19/2
Discreet Cat

8/1
George Washington

15/2
Invasor

11/2
Lava Man

9/2
Lawyer Ron

18/1
Perfect Drift

30/1
Seek Gold

23/1
Suave

30/1
Sun King

18/1
Super Frolic

30/1
Field (Any other Horse)

5/1
Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Sprint
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Attila's Storm

16/1
Behaving Badly

13/1
Bordonaro

9/2
Commentator

14/1
Dubai Escapade

10/1
Henny Hughes

2/1
Kelly's Landing

14/1
Pomeroy

10/1
Silver Wagon

33/1
Siren Lure

5/1
Songster

35/1
Too Much Bling

10/1
War Front

13/1
Field (Any other Horse)

7/2
Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Distaff
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Asi Siempre

23/4
Balletto

5/1
Bushfire

17/1
Fleet Indian

2/1
Happy Ticket

11/1
Healthy Addiction

8/1
Pine Island

11/2
Pool Land

9/1
Round Pond

15/1
Spun Sugar

11/1
Field (Any other Horse)

13/4
Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Alexandrova

9/2
Angara

21/1
Arravale

28/1
Dance In The Mood

14/1
Film Maker

12/1
Freedonia

14/1
Germance

21/2
Gorella

4/1
Honey Ryder

14/1
Noble Stella

26/1
Ouija Board

5/2
Pictavia

27/2
Wait A While

7/2
Field (Any other Horse)

6/1
Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Turf
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Ace

23/1
Better Talk Now

15/1
Cacique

28/5
English Channel

19/4
Go Deputy

13/1
Hurricane Run

19/4
Kings Drama

19/1
Red Rocks

9/1
Relaxed Gesture

30/1
Shirocco

19/4
T.H. Approval

19/2
The Tin Man

33/5
Field (Any other Horse)

16/5
Odds to win the Breeders' Cup Mile
Saturday, November 4th, 2006

* Preview

All horses are action. No Refunds. No Parlays. Max $100
Ad Valorem

14/1
Araafa

6/1
Aragorn

5/2
Aussie Rules

25/2
Badge Of Silver

31/2
Becrux

12/1
Brilliant

14/1
Caradak

14/1
Charmo

20/1
Echo Of Light

25/2
George Washington

15/8
Gorella

7/1
Librettist

19/2
Miesques Approval

15/1
Remarkable News

29/1
Silent Name

20/1
Stormy River

25/1
Three Valleys

31/1
Field (Any other Horse)

5/1

intense 10-25-2006 06:52 PM

anything else stand out to you guys?

Cunningham Racing 10-25-2006 06:54 PM

Just got an email back verify that my friend went out to the backside this morning and watched Happy Ticket train and said she looked spectacular - but I've seen her train many times so I can see why he said that....she always looks good to me....she is just so majestic...a beautiful mare and she is ALL racehorse......

oracle80 10-25-2006 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
anything else stand out to you guys?

Anyone who doesn't play Pine Island at 8-1 is insane. Her figs are already at the level of the older fillies. being a three year old, and well rested, she is a big bet to run a new lifetime top in the Cup, and her trainer is incredibly proficient in big races and in the Breeders Cup. Get yourself some of that!!!

intense 10-25-2006 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
Anyone who doesn't play Pine Island at 8-1 is insane. Her figs are already at the level of the older fillies. being a three year old, and well rested, she is a big bet to run a new lifetime top in the Cup, and her trainer is incredibly proficient in big races and in the Breeders Cup. Get yourself some of that!!!

pine island is 11/2.... I copy/pasted and they look screwy... the odds are matched up below the names .

oracle80 10-25-2006 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by intense
pine island is 11/2.... I copy/pasted and they look screwy... the odds are matched up below the names .

Well then I guess thats only a little above what she may go off at it, not worth the risk of pp draw or cough betwen now and then. Just wait for post time and unload if you like the price. Shes gonna be VERY tough to beat. The others all appear "over the top" in their form, and shes gonna surge.


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