7/5: Belmont ($165k C/O)
 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$165k C/O starts here..

Lone start winning fave No Mo Promises returns for Santulli/Duarte after 20 month layoff and seems plenty vulnerable, but many of the contenders sport ugly 1-fer records (1/18 Elenzee, 1/17 No Regrets, 1/24 La Maquina Gris, etc.). 3/1-0-0 Gallant Bid (6-1) SCR'D drops from starter company for Linda Rice, but may not get pace to chase. 6/1-0-1 Phil Gleaves homebred Yes and Yes (8-1) returns to site of his promising debut win..

Most Likely: #2 No Mo Promises 3-1 6th
Best Value: #4 No Regrets 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #1 Ellenzee 4-1 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: 6 Yes and Yes 8-1 3rd


5th: S/ALW, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Happy Farm & Royal Asset look 1-2 from the break unless 7# bug Harkie gets aggressive with Swiping Dan SCR'D. Hard-hitting Bitumen turns back while first time for Jimmy Ryerson (22%) and his best races have come under a mile..

Most Likely: #1 Happy Farm 4-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #6 Bitumen 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Royal Asset 5-2 3rd


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1-f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Toughest event in the skein (as requested by Justin Dew) with new distance test for all involved save Monhegan who loped 11f last out. Pick (as many as you can afford) and pray..

Most Likely: #7 Romantic Interest 5-2 WON ($9.90)
Next Best: #5 Monhegan 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Giulla Ammannati 15-1 9th
Exotics Use: #8 Bacchanalia 4-1 4th


7th: River Memories, 4+, 12f-T (P3, DD)

SCR ML favorite Gaining who runs in the G3 Dick at DEL Saturday and Dickinson on pair (Theodora B & Pamina) too..

Best Value: #12 Sky Full of Stars 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Semper Sententiae 9-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Fools Gold 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Scottish Jig 4-1 3rd


8th: Victory Ride (G3), 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Brill & Cookie Dough get back to sprinting, but Royal Charlotte has tactical speed and I'd trust Castellano to place her appropriately from the outset..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Charlotte 9-5 WON ($5.00)
Best Value: #4 Brill 5-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Sue's Fortune 7-5 DNF/Eased


9th: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 1m-T

Most Likely: #5 Moyne Spun 7-2 WON ($6.90)
Next Best: #1 Molly's Nighthawk 9-2 4th
Best Value: #10 Pretty Spectacular 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #13 Fika 6-1 6th


P6 Grid:

4: 2 (A), 4 (B), 1-6 (C)
5: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 5-7 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x2x3x2x3 = 72 x $2 = $144
All A's: 1x1x2x3x1x3 = 18 x $2 = $36

$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $34.60 (5OF6)
$2 Pick-6 (1,3,10/1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) Paid $2,038.00 (6OF6) (C-A-A-A-A-A)


P5 Grid:

5: 1 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)
6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick-5 (1,5/7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A's Paid $219.25


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5-7-8 (A), 1-2-6-10 (B), 3-9 (C)
7: 2-4-12 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1 (A), 4 (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 1-5-10 (A), - (B), 13-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 8x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $36

$0.50 Pick-4 (7/1,3,4,6,8,9,11,13/1/2,5,9,15) All A's Paid $112.50


Good luck!
Steve

BEL SCR'S

1st: 4-6
2nd: 1-7-8-10
3rd: 2
4th: 3-10
5th: 5
7th: 1-3-6-8-9-11-13
9th: 2-9-15

Looked like something happened to Brill....hope she's okay

Great capping today, Steve!!!!!!

Hope you had a great 4th!

Congrats and thanks as always. Impressive display today.:$::tro:

Can't wait for Saratoga this summer

HnH, Larry..

Thanks guys. Hope everyone got something. Glad the P4/P5 budget plays worked out.

I admittedly don't play a lot of Pick 6's...but today's payout got my attention. 2K for all runners under 4-1? Seems really generous. Congratulations on everyone who had it...and nice capping as always Steve! Might be time for me to move to the next chapter of my betting life. I don't like rushing into anything...LOL!

Well done Steve.

Great work, Steve