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-   -   7/16: Saratoga (6th-10th); Del Mar (Opening Day; 7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69852)

Kasept 07-16-2021 06:23 AM

7/16: Saratoga (6th-10th); Del Mar (Opening Day; 7th-10th)
 
SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Let Her Inspire U 7-2 4th
Next Best: #5 Tough Street 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Kant Hurry Love 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 November Rein 4-1 WON ($8.10)


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Bay Jewel 12-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Too Sexy 7-2 WON ($10.00)
Exotics Use: #6 Mused 6-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Mumbai 6-1 7th


8th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Easy to Bless 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Kandy Ginger 6-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Patty H 9-5 WON ($5.10)
Exotics Use: #4 Riding On a Winner 15-1 7th


9th: Forbidden Apple (G3), 4+, 1m-IT (DD)

As already discussed, a tremendous early season throw down for lawn milers. Wowza..

Best Value: #2 Corelli 10-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Delaware 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Value Proposition 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Therapist 8-1 5th


10th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T

Most Likely: #6 Uncle Gem 9-2 WON ($8.90)
Next Best: #9 Fancy Feline 8-1 8th
Best Value: #7 Isle Storm 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 U Should B Dancing 5-2 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 2 (A), 5 (B), 4 (C)
7: 2-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $54 ~ $18 (4) + $18 (3-4) + $18 (1-4-8)


P4 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), 1-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (1-4-8)



DEL MAR


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Eddie Haskell clearly the class of this group, but off long break, may need one. Using defensively..

Best Value: #8 Jamming Eddy 8-1 8th
Next Best: #10 McWherter 6-1 11th
Exotics Use: #5 Eddie Haskell SCR
Super Add: #2 Little Juanito 6-1 WON ($6.00)


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Baffert pair still with plenty of upside as Saville Row makes 3yo debut and Freedom Fighter preps for potential Jerkens trip. Both get first Lasix..

Best Value: #1 Saville Row SCR
Next Best: #3 Freedom Fighter 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #4 Exaulted SCR
Super Add: #8 I Got No Munny 6-1 2nd


9th: Oceanside-R, 3yo, 1m-T (DD)

Bulky field with some intrigue, but Sammy Glick has has started to click under the care of Glatt & Prat. Nod here to the brilliant and fascinating Budd Schulberg who in addition to writing What Makes Sammy Run?, penned the screenplays for On the Waterfront and the frighteningly precient A Face in the Crowd..

Most Likely: #13 Whatmakessammyrun 7-2 -
Best Value: #1 Harbored Memories 8-1 -
Next Best: #8 Flashiest 6-1 WON ($27.60)
Exotics Use: #9 No Foolery Here 20-1 3rd


10th: S/ALW, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Albizu 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 The Longest Night 4-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Mongolian Legend 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Exalted Joy 4-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 5-8-10 (A), 2-9 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 13 (A), 1-8 (B), - (C)
10: 4-7-8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12


Good luck!
Steve


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