Derby Trail Forums - 8/8: Saratoga (Day 19; ADK, Oaks, De La Rose)

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 I'm Blaming You 3-1 8th
Best Value: #5 Babagram 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Tempesta 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Masked Marauder 8-1 WON ($12.40)

6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 She's Brilliant 15-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mommasgottarun 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Li Li Bear Late SCR ~ #1 Popular Vote PTF 8th
Super Add: #7 Fabulous Fanny 4-1 3rd

7th: De La Rose-R, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Regal Glory 9-5 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #3 Viadera 6-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Shifty She 8-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Hendy Woods 6-1 2nd

8th: Adirondack (G2), 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Ontheonesandtwos 5-2 6th
Next Best: #7 Wicked Halo 7-2 WON ($11.40)
Best Value: #4 Shesawildjoker 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #9 Microbiome 5-1 5th

9th: Saratoga Oaks (G3), 3yo-F, 9.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Rocky Sky 3-1 8th
Best Value: #3 Gam's Mission 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Creative Flair 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Messidor 12-1 7th

10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #10 Chrome Dixie 5-1 10th
Best Value: #9 Perpetrate 12-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Albie 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Catch That Party 8-1 2nd

P5 Grid:

6: 5-7-9/SCR-10 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
7: 7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 9-10 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 4x1x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
C-A-A-A-A Backup (1 in 6th): 1x1x2x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6 ~ (1 with 7 with 2-7 with 3-6-7 with 9-10)

P4 Grid:

7: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-7 (A), - (B), 4-8-9 (C)
9: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 9-10 (A), 3-7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
A-C-A-A Backup (4-8-9 in 8th): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 ~ (3-7 with 4-8-9 with 3-6-7 with 9-10)

Good luck!
Steve