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-   -   11/7: Belmont Park ($91k 2-Day, Must Pay P6 C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=70349)

Kasept 11-07-2021 05:39 AM

11/7: Belmont Park ($91k 2-Day, Must Pay P6 C/O)
 
BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Citizen Mack 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Authorize 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Beyond Best 5-2 5th
Super Add: #7 Gunton Roe 7-2 4th


6th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Investmentstrategy 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Miss Bonnie T 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Split Then Double 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Exotics Use: #5 Beautiful Farewell 15-1 9th


7th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Daddy Knows 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Dark Storm 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Grumps Little Tots 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Hammerin Aamer 7-2 WON ($9.40)


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P3, DD)

Very tricky turf sprint group, but note that most are accustomed to the shorter distance variety..

Most Likely: #1 Buy Land and See 4-1 4th
Best Value: #2 Duress 10-1 9th
Next Best: #11 Turn of Events 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Holiday Stone 10-1 6th


9th: Nashua (G3), 2yo, 1m (DD)

Very good juvy 6-pack and the 7-5 fave (Rockefeller) is just OK..

Most Likely: #3 Speaking 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Cooke Creek 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Rockefeller 7-5 WON ($3.70)
Exotics Use: #2 Judge Davis 3-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT

Competitive bunch of 2yo's based on PP's with all but one having started. No shortage of pedigree hints and many exit races against stakes performers. Tough finish to slippery sequence..

Best Value: #1 Flip the Script 10-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Misbehaved 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #11 Ruthenian 10-1 7th
Super Add: #8 Ridley's Major 6-1 DH-4th


P6 Grid:

5: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 8 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 8-11 (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x1x2x4x4 = $96
All A's: 3x1x1x2x2x2 = $24
<$150 'C' Backups: 1-2 ($48) + 3 ($24) + 4-11 ($24) + 4-6 ($24) + 6-9 ($24)


P5 Grid:

6: 1-2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 4 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-3-11 (A), 6-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 4-11 ($18) + 4-6 ($18)


P4 Grid:

7: 4 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 1-2 (A), 4-11 (B), - (C)
9: 3-5 (A), 1-2 (B), 4-6 (C)
10: 1-3-8-11 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x2x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backups: 3 ($8) + 4-6 ($8)


Good luck!
Steve


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