Derby Trail Forums - 11/20: Aqueduct (5th-10th)

AQUEDUCT

POST-SCRATCHES

5th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-Outer (P6, P3, DD)

Those that have run don't show much speed, so it feels like the ones that go forward make sense. Pletcher/Fried rail runner Al's Rocket goes dirt to turf, stretches out and is 8-1..

Best Value: #1 Al's Rocket 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Fort Washington 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Parquetry 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Dr Brownes Miracle 9-2 7th

6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Cost Basis 6-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #7 Spun and Won 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Drafted 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Mr Phil 6-1 4th

7th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Group out of 10/9 Belmont MSW the principals here (Matt Doyle, Piccadilly, Sky and Sand), with Iconic Adventure and Dads Good Runner 2nd/3rd exiting 10/29 affair. Sense that pace is going to get hot..

Best Value: #11 Life Is Great 12-1 WON ($33.20)
Next Best: #2 Iconic Adventure 7-2 9th
Exotics Use: #10 Sky and Sand 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Piccadilly 10-1 6th

8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-Outer (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Bustin Shout 8-1 5th
Next Best: #7 Scuttlebuzz 9-2 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Kawhi Me a River 7-2 4th
Super Add: #8 Ring of Fire 8-1 10th

9th: Red Smith (G2), 3+, 11f-T (DD)

Terrific late season assembly..

Most Likely: #4 Serve the King 3-1 WON ($6.10)
Best Value: #10 Price Talk 8-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Channel Cat 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Value Engineering 8-1 8th

10th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 6f

Most Likely: #1 Catching Cupid 8-5 8th
Best Value: #5 Raw Courage 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Hot Rod Rumble 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Cave Man 10-1 4th

P5 Grid:

6: 2-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
7: 2-10-11 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
9: 4-10 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x4x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $9 (3) + $12 (6-8) + $18 (5)

P4 Grid:

7: 2-10-11 (A), 8-9 (B), - (C)
8: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), 6-8 (C)
9: 2-4-7-10 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
10: 1 (A), - (B), 5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x6x1 = 90 x .50 = $45
All A's: 3x3x4x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $12 (6-8) + $18 (5-8-9)

Good luck!
Steve