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5/7 (CD): 148th Kentucky Derby Day
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Just say Mo
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Epicenter should be the deserving favorite on Saturday. They gave cool videos on the YouTube that let you watch every race that all the oaks and derby contenders have ever run in order. Other than the changing silks on some hosses which is annoying, you can see them progressing from start to start.
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What are people doing with Jack Christopher and Jackie's Warrior?
On paper, they look like logical singles. If Jack Christopher runs back to his 2 year old form he wins this pretty easy, I gotta think. Not a ton of speed in here either. But still...I want to play against him. Same with Jackie's Warrior. He looks like he'll get (for him) an easy lead. But his prep for this wasn't great and it makes me think he might be vulnerable late. I don't want Aloha West or Prevalence. That leaves Cezanne, I guess. Is trying to beat these two a good idea or should I just take the free squares and look for value elsewhere? |
I want to see what the weather is and the track condition. Not sure JC will like an off track.
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1-Taiba
2-Charge It 3-Epicenter 4-Zandon 5-Mo Donegal 6-Smile Happy 7-White Albarrio 8-Cyberknife 9-Messier |
Cox/Baffert...I mean Cox/Yakteen exacta box, its like deja vu all over again
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I'm all about Taiba and Mike Smith:$::$::$::tro:
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LOLOLOLOLOLOLOLOL
Sonny Leon just won the Derby :wf |
Love it.
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Nobody wants to hear a sorry ass horse player bitch & moan over a tough beat, so I'll just say that I almost won a lot of money.
That Is All |
Serious question. How are we supposed to play this game with any confidence moving forward? I mean, what? I get upsets happen. And I get they make little sense at times but I can't even think of a comparison in any sport to explain to my non horse racing friends what just happened. This is not St. Peter's. This is a team that didn't even make the NCAA tournament somehow WINNNING the NCAA tournament. (I get the pace was hot but there were plenty of closes that didn't close like him). Come on...
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I think you don’t change up your normal way of handicapping races because something crazy happened. Don’t let “anything can happen” make you start throwing money at what you think is illogical.
They could run this race 100 more times and tell me in advance that he is going to win and I STILL wouldn’t bet him. |
Isn't that the problem? We'll see how he runs back but come on. I heard Randy Moss say that this is what happens when you have a pace like we had today but we had some of the best closers in recent Derby memory not close like he closed. He out closed Mo Donegal? Really? I haven't watched the replay yet but that seems far fetched unless Mo got stopped somewhere along the way. This was just one of those moments that makes you question (with all of your being) why you've chosen this to be your hobby.
And if I have to hear about that ride one more freaking time...that ride should not have mattered. That ride should have gotten him 10th, which would've been an outstanding run from him. I hope they test this horse like he was a Baffert winning his 100th Derby. At least they would make sense. Otherwise... |
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Ahead of the race, much was made of the former laying closer than he had in the Blue Grass. That proved to be a somewhat faulty strategy as they went :45+ and 1:10+ and that horse was only 5-6 lengths or so away. Prat also starting advancing a bit early (with a 1/2 mile still left to go). Shades of Point Given perhaps. Mo Donegal didn't make a move until the top of the stretch (the winner was already advancing and awaiting room while saving ground) and when he did he got the patented 15-wide run that's always good for a "split the field" effort. The minor closer Barber Road chartered a similar course. |
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I’m still in shock from that race. |
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