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-   -   4/5: Aqueduct (7th-13th); Santa Anita (6th-12th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=74365)

Kasept 04-05-2025 08:34 AM

4/5: Aqueduct (7th-13th); Santa Anita (6th-12th)
 
AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Distaff (G3), F&M-4+, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Sea Dancer 9-2 4th
Next Best: #1 Irish Maxima 1-1 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #5 Socially Selective 7-2 3rd


8th: NY-ALW/N1X, 4+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Noonzio 4-1 8th
Best Value: #4 Leo's Reward 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Crimson Light 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Brick Ambush 6-1 7th


9th: Gazelle (G3), 3yo-F, 9f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Early On 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Ballerina d'Oro 1-1 WON ($3.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Vanilla Sundae 6-1 4th


10th: Carter (G2), 4+, 7f ()

Most Likely: #2 Quint's Brew 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Full Moon Madness 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Maximus Meridius 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Crazy Mason 5-1 WON ($12.60)


11th: Excelsior, 4+, 10f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Masmak 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #3 Batten Down 2-1 5th
Best Value: #6 Phileas Fogg 6-1 WON ($15.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Crupi 4-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 8 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x3x2x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in 9th)


12th: 100th Wood Memorial (G2), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Wildly competitive group for the centennial running of the Wood and Dutrow appears to have a strong hand having guided Captain Cook straight for this after the Withers win. Pletcher/Repole down to their last Derby hopeful in Grande and he's quite eligible for laurels. Cox brings the least known undefeated horse in America to this in Passion Rules and note that his development pattern is very similar to that of Tappan Street's going into the Florida Derby score. Rodriguez gets out of the way of Journalism and Citizen Bull, but will have to turn back a number of pace pressers from the bell to annex this..

Most Likely: #2 Captain Cook 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Passion Rules 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Grande 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Rodriguez 5-2 WON ($9.30)


13th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 7f

Best Value: #10 Sohana 5-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Dolomite 1-1 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Fast and Frisky 8-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Nolita 10-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

9: 2-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
13: 3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x4x2 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup (CAAAA): 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16 (3-7 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
11: 3-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 2-8 (A), 1-7 (B), - (C)
13: 3-10 (A), - (B), 4-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-9 in 13th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1-6-1-3/11) Paid $417.25


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 04-05-2025 11:02 AM

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: CA-Evening Jewel, 3yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Hot Girl Walk 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 In the Air Tonight 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Going Deep 6-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Knightwithlouis 12-1 6th


7th: CA-MSW, 3yo-F, 6f-T ($2 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Sei Bella 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #4 Tight Squeeze 8-1 WON ($13.00)
Next Best: #6 Ridegold 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #10 Maria Tallchief 6-1 5th


8th: CA-MSW, 3yo, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Beer Buzz 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Outworker 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Western Freedom 5-1 WON ($8.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Non Domocile 7-2 6th


9th: CA-ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-T (P4, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Terrific state bred set down the hill..

Best Value: #7 Smiling Beast 6- 4th
Next Best: #4 Uncle Chilly 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Private Gem 7-2 WON ($4.40)
Super Add: #1 Sir Rocket 10-1 5th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

9: 1-4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x4x2 = 32 x $3 = $96


P4 Grid:

6: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x2x4 = $32 ($16 for .50)


10th: Santa Anita Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f ($3 Late P3, DD)

The late inclusion of Barnes has obscured the fact that Shirreffs has been laying in wait for this with Baeza since his maiden win. Half brother of Mage and Dornach has drilled to go now and will be obvious value..

Best Value: #5 Baeza 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Citizen Bull 9-5 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Journalism 6-5 WON ($4.00)


$3 Late P3 Grid:

10: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x2 = 16 x $3 = $48


11th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T ($5 Late DD)

Most Likely: #5 Miss Roberts 8-1 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #9 Andiamo Ragazza 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Nene Diamond 3-1 10th
Exotics Use: #3 Miss Mandalay 12-1 5th


$5 Late DD Grid:

11: 3-5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x2 = 8 x $5 = $40


12th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Eye On Ry 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #10 City Exile 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Cathal 7-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Lammas 10-1 WON ($14.40)


P5 Grid:

8: 7 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
11: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 4-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 4-7 (A), 1-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
11: 5-9 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
12: 4-9-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-3 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

Kasept 04-05-2025 12:16 PM

AQU SCR/CHG'S

SA SCR/CHG'S


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