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-   -   12/14: AQU (P6 Carryover) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=7760)

Kasept 12-14-2006 04:24 AM

12/14: AQU (P6 Carryover)
 
The tradition of strong outings on Wednesdays continued yesterday. A carryover of $24,000 rolls into Thursday, and we are sorry in retrospect that we didn't give the sextet a go. A look at the winning results produces the conclusion that the play was achievable with a modest investment...

4th: Top choice Pressing Issue (.65-1)
5th: Top choice Valiant King (1.55-1)
6th: 2nd choice (after scratch) Prideland (11.90-1)
7th: Top choice Bredwinner (on DQ) (1.00-1)
8th: 2nd choice Little Miss Zip (9.80-1)
9th: 4th choice Childrens Annex (3.30-1)

So now we'll try the play with intent, and likely get clobbered... We tried to offer you a couple of wagering suggestions too Wednesday, and that went well. Contressa's impressive winner in the 4th, who we thought was a good key horse, tripped an $89.00 triple that we gave you straight for $12. The 5 horse box in the crazy 6th worked too, with the $20 play yielding $85.

Hope you did well Wednesday... Hope you do werll today!


SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 12/14 (R4-9) P6, P4, Grand Slam, P3's..

POST CHANGES & SCRATCHES...

4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo fillies (P6, P3, Superfecta)

1. #5 Lottie Zip 4-1 2nd
A. #9 Marvelous May 3-1 WON
B. #8 Miss Vanity 6-1

SCR SUB: #2 Damia 15-1

9 Marvelous May $7.20 $3.80 $3.00
5 Lottie Zip $3.40 $2.90
12 Zip of Fools $4.50

$2 Exacta (9-5) Paid $22.60



5th: NYB-OC/C, 3+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

2. #1 Calculator 10-1 4th
A. #2 Whistlin' 3-1 3rd on DQ
B. #8 Cool Days 8-1

SCR SUB: #6 Prince of Peace 20-1


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 1m,70y (P4, DD, Superfecta)

1. #2 Westsideaptitude 9-2 2nd
2. #5 Deacon Dan 12-1
A. #3 Na'lu 6-1 3rd
B. #6 Mastermind 8-5 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #9 Commodore Way 12-1 WON

9 Commodore Way $9.30 $5.20 $4.50
2 Westsideaptitude $5.30 $4.10
3 Na'lu $5.10
6 Mastermind

$2 Exacta (9-2) Paid $64.50
$2 Trifecta (9-2-3) Paid $298.00
$1 Trifecta Box Paid $149.00
$2 Superfecta (9-2-3-6) Paid $808.00
$1 Superfecta Box Paid $404.00



7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P3)

1. #10 Arborist 3-1
2. #2 Silver Ferrari 4-1 WON
A. #9 Billy's Way 6-1
B. #11 Bonus Size 15-1


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #1a (poe) City Attraction 3-1 2nd
2. #9 Bold Decision 12-1 4th
A. #7 Half Ours 2-1 WON
B. #5 Touchdown Kid 5-1

7 Half Ours $3.80 $2.70 $2.60
1a City Attraction $3.90 $3.30
3 Melodeeman $3.90

$2 Exacta (7-1) Paid $11.40



9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m,70y (Superfecta)

1. #2 Clearly Diplomatic 8-1
2. #5 Deb's Roof 3-1 4th
A. #1 Ty's Ridge 6-1 3rd
B. #6 Bronxdale 4-1 WON

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #9 Regal Encounter 15-1


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 2-5-8-9
5: 1-2
6: 5-6
7: 10
8: 1a-7-9
9: 2-5

4x2x2x1x3x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-3-5-6
7: 2-9-10-11
8: 1-7-9
9: 2

4x4x3x1 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-14-2006 11:13 AM

Scratches change thoughts..
 
Some important scratches on the early AQU board, at least for my view of the action..

Like Mt. Hope Lady in the 4th and Mt. Majesty in the 5th and both bolt.. (Bad day to be a mountain I guess...)

Here's the P6 adjustments:

SCRATCH...

4th: 7-14-15-16
5th: 10
6th: 11
7th: 12-13-14-15
8th: 2-1 (poe)-8
9th: 11-12

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-14-2006 11:22 AM

race 4 scr 1 also..

Kasept 12-14-2006 03:27 PM

P6 hit for $99,000++..

Whole pot I would think...

oracle80 12-14-2006 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
P6 hit for $99,000++..

Whole pot I would think...

They should get a bonus payout like the powerball for getting home that hanging Bronxdale. Incredible. He has to outgame the 3 and cost us another carryover.

philcski 12-14-2006 04:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
They should get a bonus payout like the powerball for getting home that hanging Bronxdale. Incredible. He has to outgame the 3 and cost us another carryover.

anybody that would use Bronxdale at 5/2 deserves a LOT more than 99k...

oracle80 12-14-2006 04:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
anybody that would use Bronxdale at 5/2 deserves a LOT more than 99k...

They deserve a million. I wouldnt bet that hanger at 100-1. Incredible that he won.


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