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Old 08-28-2017, 10:50 AM
tywizard tywizard is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Kentucky
Posts: 438
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
If he was any good, he would have been training on the training track.
This is an angle that I know Steve has talked about over the years...

If you look at his (Shug) record of 2YO FTS on dirt over the past 5 years he wins at 6% and 23% ITM from 47 starters.

If you isolate to those that have debuted at 7F you get 13% wins and 50% ITM (albeit from 8 starters).

Perhaps more importantly, the 7F list includes Honor Code and Ironicus...So maybe a sign the barn thinks the horse might have some talent.

The 2/83 (48 flat) gate drill on 8/14 over the track, the blowout yesterday and the leading rider of the meet signs on...

I think the Mott horse is the most likely winner but Mango M is certainly worth a look.
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