From my perspective, it's impossible to call HS a "lock" or anything close to that. He is one of several strong, legitimate contenders and may even go off as favorite based on his remarkable debut. But, he is going to have to improve off of his FOY performance and both Code of Honor and Bourbon War will need to regress off of theirs. HS seems like a probable "send" from the rail, and he could establish an easy lead and not let the closers get to him. But that's only one of several possible scenarios for this race. In a Rainbow 6 ticket, I'd be very uncomfortable going into this final leg unless I had at least 4 runners covered.
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