View Single Post
  #1  
Old 09-01-2024, 05:22 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,549
Default 9/1: Saratoga ~ Day 39 ($210k P6 C/O)

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Guile 6-1 8th
Next Best: #11 Adventurous Spirit 8-5 WON ($)
Exotics Use: #9 Get It to Matthew 12-1 DNF-Pulled UP
Super Add: #4 El Alacran 8-1 10th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Has the look of a deep, contentious group. Shug debuts $435k Pure Beauty for Ed Hudson (Kathleen O ~ who won her bow at 7f) and she appears ready..

Best Value: #10 Pure Beauty 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Quickick 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Scottish Lassie 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Snowyte 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-Inner (P6, P3, DD)

Tidal Forces feels like a strong lean for small budgets attacking the P6..

Most Likely: #2 Tidal Forces 3-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Paros 7-2 WON ($7.30)
Exotics Use: #10 Capture the Flag 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Dude N Colorado 5-1 3rd


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mighty Madison 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Signal From Noise 6-1 5th
Next Best: #1 St. Benedict's Prep 3-1 WON ($6.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Ringy Dingy 8-1 4th


P4 Grid:

6: 1-9-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x4x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24


10th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

The faves are returning to state bred company and seem like the path through this for C/O players, but note that Boss Tweed ..

Most Likely: #4 Seaver 3-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Run Curtis Run 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Set 4-1 6th
Super Add: #3 Boss Tweed 15-1 11th


11th: 65th Bernard Baruch-L, 4+, 8.5f-Inner (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Taking Candy 5-2: Wire threat for Cherie.. 2nd
Next Best: #5 Running Bee 9-5: Fave back to middle distance.. WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #2 Beuys 12-1: ALW type will save ground.. 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Fort Washington 9-2: Lost chance early in U.N. 3rd


Must Pay P5 Grid:

7: 1-2-3-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 4x1x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48


12th: 106th Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1), 3+, 10f (DD)

Just 2 shots left to qualify for the Beat Byk final! https://www.ntra.com/nhc/beatbyk/

Most Likely: #7 Arthur's Ride 4-5 5th
Best Value: #5 Pyrenees 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Tapit Trice 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Highland Falls 5-1 WON ($16.00)


13th: NY-MCLM/$30k, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Landauer 10-1 9th ~ Depaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #12 Wild Nugget 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #10 Burn Rubber Late SCR
Super Add: #8 Mama's Middie 2-1 10th


P6 Grid:

8: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x3x4x2x2 = $96
All A's: 1x2x2x2x2x2 = $32
Backup (AAAACA): 1x2x2x2x2x2 = $32 (1-6 in 12th)


P5 Grid:

9: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-10-12 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 1x3x2x2x2 = $32 (1-6 in 12th)


P4 Grid:

10: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 5-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
12: 5-7 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
13: 9-12 (A), 10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-6 in 12th)


Good luck!
Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans

Last edited by Kasept : 09-01-2024 at 09:04 PM.
Reply With Quote