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Originally Posted by randallscott35
Huh, should we go to a 1000 races? I mean 250 instances(not races) is plenty....And yes, it will end up closer.
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no that sample will be fine.. i do find it amazing how fast these races are adding up.
i dont know, when grits posted those notes her mentor gave her. it was just really logical and smart and along with discussing this situation with some pro handicappers, they all have sided with the exacta. just kinda makes sense for the long run ROI you know?
you have the advantage with the 250 sample size because as you know, there is only one favorite per race (sometimes not a clear favorite) and there are more than 1 10-1 shot in each race. so you have to figure, is the one longshot that gets the place really the one you would have played? do you take into consideration all those $2WP bets you lost cause the majority of the 10-1 shots ran third or off the board?
on the other hand. I bet WP because I dont know enough about handicapping to play for a living and I'm just there for the instant excitement.