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Originally Posted by golfer
Quality run-down Scav, I'll just add a few thoughts;
Notional has a very strong pattern, zero first out sprinting, then 2 poly races (7 & 10), comes back at 3 with a 6 and then a 2.75 last at FG, 7 weeks rest. I call this a circle back pattern, sets up well today with the rail.
Scat Daddy, return to top of 1 in last is strong, but the fact that he "bounced" off of his last 1 is cause for concern, although mitigating factor is BC Juvenile, golden rail angle... which makes this a tricky read.. basically as the favorite, play to react, if he were a price, play to pair (that's my general theory on this type of line).
Adore the Gold is also a tough pattern to read, 1-2-4 in last 3 races, certainly not a single in here.
Chelokee is not THAT slow, has a 3 to run back to from last year.
BirdBird has a very healthy pattern, last was buried 3 first off the layoff, has improved or paired every race, need to see how the track is playing to deep closers.
Root, I don't like the pattern on James Wilfred, he has the isolated top of 5, but generally runs 8-9, which is what I would expect today... Green Vegas is FAST, might be the best bet of the day.
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