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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
My top four and how I see the Superfecta coming in are two different things.
For example, IMO, if I do a line on the race, Curlin is the most likely winner. However, I won't be betting him to win (odds related decision)
Anyway....here are the three different ways I view this race.....when tallying up your consensus, please only score the one you feel best describes the category you're looking for.
Most Likely Winner of race:
Curlin
Any Given Saturday
Hard Spun
Nobiz Like Shobiz.
The straight Superfecta I would play from a betting value standpoint:
Any Given Saturday
Curlin
Street Sense
Sam P.
The Superfecta that I believe is most likely to come in:
Curlin
Any Given Saturday
Street Sense
Nobiz Like Shobiz
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The only problem with your post is that usually the superfecta/board is sprinkled with different types of runners. If you sprinkle some closers in here, I think you have it about right. If Curlin does win, I dont see AGS and NoBiz also hanging on for a piece, I think they will succumb. While Ss is a closer of a sort, I am thinking more like Tiago and Circular Quay will mix in w/ Curlin or Hard Spun for the super..