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Old 07-08-2006, 05:36 AM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by seconditis
My point being, I hate the race fixing, we all do, but it never really goes through my mind when I bet a race because the way I look at it maybe the races fixed that end up helping me cancel out the others in the long run. What do you think?
I think that if you are a dart thrower who throws his/her darts very late in the betting, then what you say is true. However, if you are a skilled capper, then fixing hurts you.

Say, just for argument, that 10% of the races you bet on have a predermined winner because those races are fixed. Then that means your capping has no correlation to the outcome of those races. You may "benefit" from the fix or you may suffer from the fix. But you are in the same situation as the dart thrower. Your skill is irrelevant. On those fixed races, you can do no better than the track take, and perhaps worse. (I say "perhaps worse" for reasons I'll bring up in a new thread.)

Most of us cap with the idea that we are going to do better than lose at the track take. So, race fixing would hurt us.

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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