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Originally Posted by brockguy
do u think they wont run him?? im not sure really how bad the ground is, or how bad the ground can get.. if its soft as we call it, id say he'll run but any worse and you could be spot on. the field looks so bad that he should be 2nd at least no matter what ground they have..
The only thing that scares me about D Cat is his ridiculous workout time last week.. If hes back to his best, he can win this by double digits...
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They have far to much to rsk with Dylan. Everyone still expects him to win. This is 99% likely to be his last run before he is reitred. Getting beaten in a weak renewal of the turf won't be something they are comtemplating. We have all seen that he is a good few lengths better on fast ground.
Last week, Monmouth were reporting a dry week and expected firm turf at the weekend. Did you see the state of the track yesterday? The dirt is sloppy and they were off the turf yesterday. More rain expected today (80% chance) and 100% chance of rain all afternoon on Saturday. Jeremy Noseda said the ground was "good to soft" yesterday. They were expecting it to be a little softer today.
Magnier is already getting worried about the stats of Arc winners, and it wouldn't take much for him to pull him out in my opinion.
Even if they only get 50% of the rain they are predicted to get, the turf will be european soft on Saturday.
You're right about Discreet Cat, if he's back to his best he could run the mile twice and win both times, but that is a big IF....... and i wouldn't be able to back him, just hoping he was back to his best. They said he seemed really well last time but in the back of my mind things didn't seem right, and i get the same feeling this time. Godolphin are keen to win the Classic, and if he was back to his very best why aren't they going for that, especially now Coolmore have a runner in it.