Quote:
|
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
You're 75% sure they are not going to run? Based on what? You think they flew him across the Atlantic to scratch because it's soft?
|
For one, it was firm when they flew over and at that point there was no talk about it becoming soft.
For two, before the Arc they weren't really interested about coming to this race anyway. They even said if they won the Arc (which they did) they wouldn't be going to America with him. I don't think they will be too bothered if he doesn't run.
Three. They have a few other runners with half decent chances, it's not as if they have spent lots by just taking him over not to run.
Four. DT has shown he isn't the same horse or anywhere near when running on soft ground. With this likely to be his last run (if he does run) Coolmore will be gutted if he retires on a low note, which is more than likely on soft ground.
Five. The horse has much more to lose than to gain...... does he have anything to gain by winning this? Not really.
Six. The coolmore team are getting very concerned about the Arc winners stats for this race, the soft ground gives them a real excuse to take him out and forget about those dreadful stats. He had a fairly hard race there, and their concerns could be justified.
Seven. Before the Arc they were leaving it until late about whether to run him or not. If the ground was deemed too soft they would have pulled him out.
There are more than enough reasons for him not to run in the Turf. I Cons of running greatly outweigh the pros of running.