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Originally Posted by King Glorious
So you don't believe that taking away the top horses from one area is any more likely to produce new "top" horses than the natural evolution of things? If next year, Lebron James, Kobe Bryant, Allen Iverson, Dwayne Wade, Carmelo Anthony, and Dirk Nowitzki all miss the year with injury and Amare Stoudamire ends up leading the league in scoring, you don't think the absence of those other stars would have anything to do with it? You would think my point is moot because we don't know who would have emerged anyway? It's the same concept. Whether the top horses are taken away by retirements or by injuries or by trainers deciding to run them on a different surface, their departures create voids that will get filled but doesn't necessarily mean that the horses that fill them are just as good or would have done so anyway.
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True but the factors that take away the top horses wont change. We still wont know who will turnout to be our best horses at the end of the year. On Jan 1st last year if I told you Curlin would be horse of the Year you would have told me that no horse had ever emerged in Feb of his 3 yo year and became horse of the year in that same season an that the crop had to have been really soft for that to happen. Of course that would not have been true on any accounts. The problem as I see it is that the turf division in this country has lacked depth for a few years and that trend is likely to contnue if the Euros keep invading the sales with 50 cent dollars to spend. That we are probably producing more turf runners in the shed may mitigate that somewhat. The fact is that too many of our top horses are going to stud too early which is what is the real reason that the top races are weakened.