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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I'll be honest with you Phil.......I think he is much higher than 150-1 to win the Derby. I honestly don't know that he's even 10-1 to have the earnings for the Derby.
But, he's got a lot of ability.
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I figure he's 2-1 to finish in the top 3 of the FL Derby, which will likely be their next objective, and probably enough earnings to make the cut (usually right around $120k). Obviously he's got some issues... but this is IEAH. They're DESPERATE for a Derby starter. Let's say hypothetically he makes it into the gate off an exacta finish in the Fl Derby... how many horses would be lower odds? 4-6, maybe? We're desperate for some talent right now- outside of War Pass, have any of these shown the brilliance required to win the Derby? Cool Coal Man is OK, Pyro is OK, the rest of them, not so much...