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Originally Posted by letswastemoney
I would never underestimate what distance breeding can do for a horse in a race like the Belmont. I mean Casino Drive has Better Than Honour and A.P. Indy as his grandsire...what more could you ask for?
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How far will it move him up? How far is being by Boundary going to bring BB back to the field going 12fs?
If Casino Drive had more than a two race foundation the arguement for his pedigree moving him up on a 3 furlong stretch out would be stronger.
Big Brown has shown the ability to rate - switch off - and he responds with almost push button acceleration when asked.
While a case could be made, on naked pedigree analysis, that CD moves up 2 or 3 lengths and BB regresses 2 or 3 lengths .. the lack of racing foundation by CD and the way BB runs almost totally offsets the pedigree stuff.
No one in this crop has a race that makes them competitive with any of Big Brown's races. That's what the problem has been for BB's rivals throughout this series.
The time to take a negative stance against BB would have been in the Derby before he firmly established that he could switch off - rate wide - and still run to his best form at a classic distance.
It seems like people want to invent Casino Drive into a monster because he has the same mother as the hopeless Jazil and Rags To Riches. His two races don't match up to this hype.