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Originally Posted by DogsUp
Heck I will give my novice opinion
Sinister - 2-2 at Churchill. 14 pt bump in speed rating from his last race. post 1 is sucking at churchill this meet. not impressed with his works. good trainer and Lep picks the 2 over this one. I dont think there will be enough pace for this horse to close into - PASS
War Ruler - I like Wilkes as a trainer (29%). Cannot post back to back decent speed figs. 2nd place horse from the 5/31 race came back and won. Like the 1, will need a good pace but will not get it - PASS
Coach Ryan - Amoss (40%) is having a great meet. Most consistent speed figs. Should be close to the lead and in good position since he has closers to the inside of him. Shortens up in distance which I think is a good move. Seems to be in good form. Horses from the 5/18 race have come back to do rather well - TOP PICK
Niobrara - Best form of the field. 1 for 1 at the distance. Not a published work since his last race is a bit of a concern. Good speed figs the last two races. Should also get a stalking trip. Prob will get first jump, but I think that Coach Ryan will run him down.
EZ Phone Home - Returns back to a sprint which should be good. Fits with this bunch at this level. Should get the lead or being extremely close. I do not think he will be able to finish - PASS
Dr Nick - Well this is more personal because I lost a few dollars on him in the past. 2nd off the layoff is a good sign. Hebert gets the mount and he isnt having a good meet at all. I think the horse needs another race to show that he is healthy once again - PASS
Knock Out Cat - Bridgmohan has been pretty good the past few weeks. The workouts arent that great. The pace will not be fast enough for KOC to close into. Debut was impressive, but I think the step up might be a little too much - PASS
That is it for now because I am tired. But my pick is the 3 horse.
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Nice call to you as well.